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VC Final, Super Rugby Pacific, URC, Gallagher + other rugby 29 April - 1 May
- Brent Graham
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As far as the Newsletter Best Bet goes the original bet Sharks -3.5 just landed but as the market moved so quickly I sent out an alternative which was Gloucester to win at 8/10 and sadly they conceded a late try to lose the match - worse still I already had this in the 10/1 acca and it ended up being the leg which cost us the win.
Onto this week and I have included the Varsity Cup final in this thread - here is the latest betting - WSN and (Sunbet)
Maties -8.5 (-7.5) v Tuks - I like Maties here
Here are my Super Rugby handicap projections
Reds +5.5 v Chiefs
Force +14.5 v Blues
Drua +9.5 v Highlanders (from what I can tell they are playing at home, I am not 100% certain though)
Waratahs +17.5 v Crusaders
Rebels -8.5 v Moana Pasifika
Brumbies -3.5 v Hurricanes
and the URC projections where SA teams are playing
Bulls -13.5 v Glasgow
Lions -9.5 v Benetton
Sharks -7.5 v Connacht
Stormers -12.5 v Leinster
There is also Gallagher Premiership action
Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos
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Have a good week everyone
BG
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- Brad Breath
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1st proper home game in Suva, just can't see them beating an average Landers by 2 clear scores - even if they get Aaron Smith back
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- The Vann
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Tuks were at home in the league match in round two which Maties won by 10 points. Since then Tuks have sharpened up their attack and generally look around 20-30% better. Maties, on the other hand, are a much better outfit. Their performance against UCT last time out was 70-80% better then the match they lost only four weeks earlier.
Really looks like a no brainer this evening but we must keep in mind the words of that sage - Oracle "Remember these are just kids" - so not too large
Maties -8.5 @ 17/20
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Super Rugby and URC markets up and here is how they compare to mine - WSB in brackets
Reds +5.5 (+7.5) v Chiefs
Force +14.5 (+22.5) v Blues
Drua +9.5 (+11.5) v Highlanders (from what I can tell they are playing at home, I am not 100% certain though)
Waratahs +17.5 (+23.5) v Crusaders
Rebels -8.5 (-5.5) v Moana Pasifika
Brumbies -3.5 (+2.5) v Hurricanes
Some differences and I like the Drua plus on the back of Brads post and also leaning Waratahs and Brumbies plus
and the URC projections where SA teams are playing - couldn't find Bulls and Stormers games
Bulls -13.5 v Glasgow
Lions -9.5 (-12.5) v Benetton
Sharks -7.5 (-9.5) v Connacht
Stormers -12.5 v Leinster
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- Brad Breath
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And bench looks particularly weak.
Waratahs +22.5 @ 1.91
Edit - in truth only Mo'unga missing weakens them, plenty of depth elsewhere. But he is so key for them.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...nd-betting-tips.html
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Onto
Over 56.5 force blues
@ 5/2
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...nd-betting-tips.html
3 Units Reds + 5.5 at 9/10 at BetXchange
Force v Blues from Brent
goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...nd-betting-tips.html
5 Units under 57.5 points at 17/20 at SportingBet
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Rugby/...review-and-tips.html
4 Units Bulls (-5.5) second-half handicap at 0.86/1 at Sunbet
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- Couch Critic
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Brent Graham wrote: Loads of rugby to chat about tonight - we are live at 21h00
Click here to watch on You Tube
Some beautiful work by BW on the show last night:
"Usually I enjoy a 69 on Sunday buy not this time..."
Twitter: @HDiemont
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- coil
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Couch Critic wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Loads of rugby to chat about tonight - we are live at 21h00
Click here to watch on You Tube
Some beautiful work by BW on the show last night:
"Usually I enjoy a 69 on Sunday buy not this time..."
He is one dirty bastad hein
have a good weekend lads , there is so much rugby it's going to be tough to keep a finger on all the games
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- coil
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- Brad Breath
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Smalls Chiefs -4.5 and bigger play over 48.5
Not big bets as much stronger on other games this weekend
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- coil
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Brad Breath wrote: Lol Coil going dead against you
Smalls Chiefs -4.5 and bigger play over 48.5
Not big bets as much stronger on other games this weekend[/quote
, that's ok BB , not strong on this at all , agree many other games to feast our eyes on this weekend .
I am going rather large on unders 57.5 in the Blues game after this and a healthy strike on the Farce plus 20.5 ....
We need to know what Chiefies grubby little paws are involved in this weekend
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- Quill
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Western Force vs Blues
Seven All Blacks have returned to the Blues lineup.
They’ve got weapons all across the park, especially up front. A big physical forward pack.
The Force was struck by Covid last week and their players have come out of isolation, so training would have been impacted.
The weather is nice in Perth and we should see points.
Bet 1: Blues -20.5 @1.88
Bet 2: Over 54.5 Points @1.83
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- coil
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- Quill
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coil wrote: Some nice action this game , big picks involved and I'm hoping it's a dog fest from the Blues and the Farce hog the ball for 70 minutes LOL
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- Chiefie
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coil wrote:
Brad Breath wrote: Lol Coil going dead against you
Smalls Chiefs -4.5 and bigger play over 48.5
Not big bets as much stronger on other games this weekend[/quote
I am going rather large on unders 57.5 in the Blues game after this and a healthy strike on the Farce plus 20.5 ....
We need to know what Chiefies grubby little paws are involved in this weekend
On the second leg here on a double. Need under 58.5 - hoping force get battered by 20 points and decline attempts at goal. I hope Pickerill is reffing, no idea.
Tonight, have Marcus Smith to score 15+ at 3-1
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- Brent Graham
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Dru +10.5 at 8/10
Rebels v Moana Pasifika betting preview
Moana +6.5 at 19/20
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- coil
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- ballaholic
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Saders tend to start slow and haven't scored more than 18.5 in first half of any game this year.
Obviously that is mostly against NZ opposition, but
- only scored 7 in first half against Rebels last week.
- quite a few changes this week so might take a while to gel.
- few ABS resting and no Mounga key.
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- coil
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Remaining previews
Brumbies v Hurricanes betting preview
Either team by 7 or less
Sharks v Connacht betting preview
Connacht +10.5
Stormers v Leinster betting preview
Over 48.5
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- Experienced Novice
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Reckon they will score a try and at least a single penalty.
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- coil
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- Chiefie
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coil wrote: Howz that one Chiefie , fired under 53.5 in the Fiji game and Pick my ring saved my ass !!
You must have been sweating bullets in that second half. Although you’d probably resigned yourself to the fact the bet was a loser after that Landers try in the 62min. Pickerill hey, can always count on him to deliver the unders.
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- Chiefie
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ballaholic wrote: Crusaders U18.5 first half points (bet365)
Saders tend to start slow and haven't scored more than 18.5 in first half of any game this year.
Obviously that is mostly against NZ opposition, but
- only scored 7 in first half against Rebels last week.
- quite a few changes this week so might take a while to gel.
- few ABS resting and no Mounga key.
Top topping this. Get this man a bells.
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- Jameson
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- southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: Lions v Benetton Betting Preview
Loving the over 51.5 in Joburg
FOllowing Brent, all over the overs, could only get 52.5 @ 5/6 but seen it as big as 56.5 so will take it.
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- Brad Breath
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Moana +7.5 @ 1.85
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Lions v Benetton Betting Preview
Loving the over 51.5 in Joburg
FOllowing Brent, all over the overs, could only get 52.5 @ 5/6 but seen it as big as 56.5 so will take it.
Brent thanks for your confidence on this one. Was a bit miffed for missing watching earlier games that I didn’t punt, so this one more than made up for it!
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- Chiefie
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coil wrote: Lions minus 11.5 points main bet , I can't bring myself to go overs for too much so just a small stake over 55.5 .
Treviso score in the 80th minute - 37-29.
Honestly Coil, it’s not worth it.
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- Chiefie
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coil wrote: And the feckin useless Lions just had to kick it out , brainless .
I’ve got the sharks in a killer accumulator, they’re losing by 11.
Odds to win at 1/5 - I mean, why.
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- The Vann
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Half time Leinster +5.5 @ 9/10
and a beer
HT/FT
Leinster/Stormers @ 13/2
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- Brent Graham
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- coil
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- southpaw
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Over 52.5 @ 5/6 bru v hur
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- BuggerBoy
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Has been free money taking the minus handicap against them so far:
Australia -43.5 (58-0 final)
Canada -35.5 (43-0 final)
Spain -31.5 (53-0 final)
Brazil -31.5 looks to be a cracker. Their only previous meeting saw Brazil win 45-0 in 2019. Brazil women’s 7s team has improved greatly since 2019 as well, so the -31.5 seems a gift.
And another absolute peach of a bet has to be France +8.5 vs Fiji. Not sure what the bookies are thinking here. France are undefeated this weekend and have beat Fiji in 6 of the last 7 head to head. Fiji has looked good, but them being favoured by that much is absurd. I’d have it as a pickem or France as slight favourites.
Women’s 7s Day 2 Bets
Brazil -31.5 vs Mexico @ 1.90
France +8.5 vs Fiji @ 1.80
France W vs Fiji @ 3.75
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- BuggerBoy
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Didn’t post in my original plays, but also got a slice of France 13+ at a whopping 17.00!
The Brazil -31.5 has moved out to -39.5, so feeling confident about completing the clean sweep in the first session. Will be posting bets throughout the day as handicaps are posted.
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- coil
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BuggerBoy wrote: The day is off to a rocking start as the France +8.5 and France Win both hit as France romp to a 31-14 victory against Fiji.
Didn’t post in my original plays, but also got a slice of France 13+ at a whopping 17.00!
The Brazil -31.5 has moved out to -39.5, so feeling confident about completing the clean sweep in the first session. Will be posting bets throughout the day as handicaps are posted.
That French result was something , 14 -0 down to smash them in the end , well done
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- Zambusta
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BuggerBoy wrote: The day is off to a rocking start as the France +8.5 and France Win both hit as France romp to a 31-14 victory against Fiji.
Didn’t post in my original plays, but also got a slice of France 13+ at a whopping 17.00!
The Brazil -31.5 has moved out to -39.5, so feeling confident about completing the clean sweep in the first session. Will be posting bets throughout the day as handicaps are posted.
Great calls!
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- BuggerBoy
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Do yourself a favour and watch the Mexican ladies in about 15 minutes time if you need a good laugh. They’ve been able to get outside of their own half only once this weekend, and it was a result of a restart out on the full giving them a free kick at halfway.
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- coil
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BuggerBoy wrote: Certainly was a nervy start going 14-0 down two minutes in, but 12 minutes is an eternity in 7s.
Do yourself a favour and watch the Mexican ladies in about 15 minutes time if you need a good laugh. They e been able to get outside of their own half only once this weekend, and it was a result of a restart out on the full giving them a free kick at halfway
God love them , I'll be watching for sure LOL
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- BuggerBoy
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Even with the yellow card this should be cleared with ease
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