Heineken Cup Quarters, Super Rugby Pacific, Currie Cup 6-8 May

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1 year 11 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
A fairly quiet week for me although overall profitable with a good return on the preview picks and the Best Bet of overs in the Lions game landing.

An interesting weekend of rugby ahead of us starting with Super Rugby Pacific with my handicap projections below - as I was about to post I saw WSB caps were out already so their in brackets

Blues -18.5 (-24.5) v Rebels
Reds -5.5 (-4.5) v Highlanders
Moana Pasifika +5.5 (+7.5) v Waratahs
Chiefs -6.5 (-7.5) v Brumbies
Force +16.5 (+16.5) v Crusaders
Hurricanes -17.5 (-15.5) v Fijian Drua

All pretty close although a 6 point difference in the Blues game - suspect I was wrong with my cap there

The Currie Cup returns and here are my projected handicaps (really battled with these)

Lions +22.5 v Cheetahs (wondering whether the Lions may bolster their squad with URC players but assuming not)
Sharks -5.5 v Pumas
Bulls -12.5 v Griquas

Then there is Heineken Cup quarter-finals where handicaps are already available.

THE HANDICAP
Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos

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Have a good one

BG

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1 year 11 months ago #2 by Brent Graham
A look at how the early Currie Cup lines compare to mine WSB in brackets

Lions +22.5 (+20.5) v Cheetahs
Sharks -5.5 (-10.5) v Pumas
Bulls -12.5 (-18.5)v Griquas

Quite big differences in the Sharks and Lions games and I fancy the Pumas +10.5 early doors - going to mull over it a bit though

I see Currie Cup 1st Division is priced up but will need to do some research on that one

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1 year 11 months ago #3 by Brent Graham
A quiet week on the forum so far suggests the bookies have priced up well so hopefully we can find some value on tonight's THE HANDICAP live at 21h00

Click here to watch on You Tube


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1 year 11 months ago #4 by Brent Graham
Blues v Rebels betting preview

Blues HT cap at -10.5

Reds v Highlanders betting preview

Reds by 1-12 at 1.75/1 at Sunbet

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1 year 11 months ago #5 by southpaw
Highlanders over 19.5 @ 10/11
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1 year 11 months ago #6 by Brad Breath
Landers +5.5 @ 1.85

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1 year 11 months ago #7 by coil
Hehe lads, enjoyed the show , watched it a few min ago.

All over the Highlanders like a cheap ho , plus 5.5 have fired .

In Europe, I like Munster on the plus , I don't feel Toulouse are as good as last year , unders in the Leicester game, Montpellier on the plus and undecided on Sunday.
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1 year 11 months ago #8 by AUP
Hi guys, first time poster but been watching the Handicap a fair while - love it!

Interesting view on the Sarries game - imo it could either way with the team that Sarries have put out.
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1 year 11 months ago #9 by Brent Graham
Welcome AUP and pleased you enjoy the show

Sharks v Pumas betting preview

Over 53.5 in Durbs

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1 year 11 months ago #10 by coil
Welcome @ AUP, happy punting .

Sharks game under 54.5
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1 year 11 months ago #11 by Brent Graham
LOL Coil lets hope for 54 points exactly

Lions v Cheetahs betting preview

Lions overs at 20.5

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1 year 11 months ago #12 by The Vann
To win by over 12.5 points double

Sharks/Cheetahs @ 26/10

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1 year 11 months ago #13 by southpaw
Moana Pasifika v tahs, over 52.5 @ 10/11

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1 year 11 months ago #14 by Brent Graham
Sharks woeful but Lions do the job

Moana Pasifika v Waratahs betting preview

Over 52.5

Chiefs v Brumbies betting preview

Liking overs this weekend - over 50.5

Force v Crusaders Betting Preview

Saders o35.5

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1 year 11 months ago #15 by Brent Graham
Hurricanes v Drua betting preview

Canes all the way -17.5

The final preview

Bulls v Griquas Betting Preview

Bull ht cap -9.5 with more to follow on points

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1 year 11 months ago #16 by southpaw
Also like the Saders points , generally go well after a disappointing performance.

Saders over 36.5 @ 10/11

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1 year 11 months ago #17 by Brent Graham
Over 7.5 tries in Moana game at 23/20

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1 year 11 months ago #18 by Chiefie

Brent Graham wrote: Sharks woeful but Lions do the job

Moana Pasifika v Waratahs betting preview

Over 52.5

Chiefs v Brumbies betting preview

Liking overs this weekend - over 50.5

Force v Crusaders Betting Preview

Saders o35.5


Pickerill reffing chiefs brumbies game. Over 50.5 - RISKY

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1 year 11 months ago #19 by southpaw

southpaw wrote: Also like the Saders points , generally go well after a disappointing performance.

Saders over 36.5 @ 10/11


After tahs game disappointment I’m getting more into the Saders, pressing the over 36.5

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1 year 11 months ago #20 by Brad Breath

southpaw wrote:

southpaw wrote: Also like the Saders points , generally go well after a disappointing performance.

Saders over 36.5 @ 10/11


After tahs game disappointment I’m getting more into the Saders, pressing the over 36.5


Had a play at this too - but just seen 4 late changes to Saders: Oli Jager, Zach Gallagher, Mitch Drummond and Dominic Gardiner all out :unsure:

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1 year 11 months ago #21 by southpaw

Brad Breath wrote:

southpaw wrote:

southpaw wrote: Also like the Saders points , generally go well after a disappointing performance.

Saders over 36.5 @ 10/11


After tahs game disappointment I’m getting more into the Saders, pressing the over 36.5


Had a play at this too - but just seen 4 late changes to Saders: Oli Jager, Zach Gallagher, Mitch Drummond and Dominic Gardiner all out :unsure:


one of those situations where you just know if you bail now they run riot. Will stick it out, backline still looks good/unaffected.

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1 year 11 months ago #22 by Brad Breath
Leinster -4.5 @ 1.8

Smaller bet Leinster over 25.5 points @ 1.83

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1 year 11 months ago #23 by Brad Breath
Canes over 35.5 @ 1.85

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1 year 11 months ago #24 by southpaw
Over 55.5 @ 17/20 canes drua

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1 year 11 months ago #25 by Jameson
Racing -10 pts @evens

You might expect these over paid playboys to do the bizz here??!!

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1 year 11 months ago #26 by Quill
United Rugby Championship

Ospreys vs Dragons

The Ospreys have named a strong squad for this match and they welcome George North back in the starting XV, after returning from injury last week.
The Dragons have several players missing, including five Wales internationals.
The Ospreys require a bonus-point win in this game and in their other remaining fixture - at home to Bulls - to guarantee they finish as the highest placed Welsh side and secure a Heineken Champions Cup place for next season.

Ospreys have won their last two URC fixtures - against Cardiff and Scarlets - and have won their last five at home.

The Dragons are coming into this match after a disappointing 23-18 defeat to the last placed Zebre, a team who had not won a single match until last week.

Bet 1: Ospreys -17.5 @1.83, Unibet
Bet 2: Team Total Points - Ospreys Over 36.5 @1.86, sportsbet

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1 year 11 months ago #27 by Chiefie
Not sure who is worse?

Andrew Brace
Joy Neville
Rob Du Preezi
Nolli Waterman - channel 4 commentator.

Horrific

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