The Rugby Championship + NPC early views + Commonwealth 7s

So if the Boks vs ABs is a choice game then better backing ABs each game than outright at 9/10 if playing them.

Commonwealth Sevens tomorrow.

Women’s
Aus v SA +40.5 - SA team has had quite some preparations and 40 is a lot when the game is won. Expect SA to score at least once.

NZ v Canada +19.5 - NZ hasn’t played much and Canada is always competitive.

Men’s
Aus v Jamaica -39.5 - Australia won London easily and Jamaica was nowhere in Spain this year. Looking for a fast start

NZ v Sri Lanka under 67.5 points. I’m calling this the bet of the day. Admittedly I’ve never seen Sri Lanka play and the old results of theirs shows around 50-60 point games on the higher end.

The maths just don’t add up here. Throw in 11 kick receives, time wasted for conversions and the odd knock-on or lineout, I can’t see 67.5 points scored in 14 minutes.
- 9/10 converted tries
- 8/11 converted tries etc

Pierrebal wrote: Commonwealth Sevens tomorrow.


NZ v Sri Lanka under 67.5 points. I’m calling this the bet of the day. Admittedly I’ve never seen Sri Lanka play and the old results of theirs shows around 50-60 point games on the higher end.

The maths just don’t add up here. Throw in 11 kick receives, time wasted for conversions and the odd knock-on or lineout, I can’t see 67.5 points scored in 14 minutes.
- 9/10 converted tries
- 8/11 converted tries etc

Yeah 100% looking back to 2018 I only count 5 games going over 50 and only 1 game squeaking over 60. All it takes is one messy scrum for time to be your friend.

Fancy Uganda to give the Kenyans a fright

Uganda +14.5 @ 1.91

Beers Uganda win @ 6.50

Pierrebal wrote: Commonwealth Sevens tomorrow.

Women’s
Aus v SA +40.5 - SA team has had quite some preparations and 40 is a lot when the game is won. Expect SA to score at least once.

NZ v Canada +19.5 - NZ hasn’t played much and Canada is always competitive.

Men’s
Aus v Jamaica -39.5 - Australia won London easily and Jamaica was nowhere in Spain this year. Looking for a fast start

NZ v Sri Lanka under 67.5 points. I’m calling this the bet of the day. Admittedly I’ve never seen Sri Lanka play and the old results of theirs shows around 50-60 point games on the higher end.

The maths just don’t add up here. Throw in 11 kick receives, time wasted for conversions and the odd knock-on or lineout, I can’t see 67.5 points scored in 14 minutes.
- 9/10 converted tries
- 8/11 converted tries etc

NZ v Sri Lanka - 63-5. Losing bet. Nice one.

That was terrible to watch, two tries last 70 seconds. Can’t catch a break

Samoa looking strong.

SA -53.5 v malaysia.

Pierrebal wrote: That was terrible to watch, two tries last 70 seconds. Can’t catch a break

Just a tough one. Right call.

R3V3R3NT_ wrote:

Pierrebal wrote: That was terrible to watch, two tries last 70 seconds. Can’t catch a break

Just a tough one. Right call.

Clearly the wrong call. It lost.

Was also invested on over 38.5 in Eng v Samoa - 34-0. Now that was the right call, wrong result.

Chiefie wrote:

R3V3R3NT_ wrote:

Pierrebal wrote: That was terrible to watch, two tries last 70 seconds. Can’t catch a break

Just a tough one. Right call.

Clearly the wrong call. It lost.

Was also invested on over 38.5 in Eng v Samoa - 34-0. Now that was the right call, wrong result.

Do you ever just stop and read what you’re writing?

Giving someone stick because you followed their published bet… nobody is asking you to follow every single tip posted on this forum and then moaning about it until eternity.

Northerner wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

R3V3R3NT_ wrote:

Pierrebal wrote: That was terrible to watch, two tries last 70 seconds. Can’t catch a break

Just a tough one. Right call.

Clearly the wrong call. It lost.

Was also invested on over 38.5 in Eng v Samoa - 34-0. Now that was the right call, wrong result.

Do you ever just stop and read what you’re writing?

Giving someone stick because you followed their published bet… nobody is asking you to follow every single tip posted on this forum and then moaning about it until eternity.

Alright bro - put it in your dream journal. Im just joshing. The number of poor bets I've published is ridiculous.
It was a rough break. Agreed.

Probably easier to shout from the stands when you’ve lost than publishing your bets after the result.

Anyway, following the same plan with Fiji.
Under 64 points, but adding Fiji -38 (9/10) and -44 19/10.

Nice big spread to cover both ways if Zambia does a Sri Lanka

Pierrebal wrote: Probably easier to shout from the stands when you’ve lost than publishing your bets after the result.

Anyway, following the same plan with Fiji.
Under 64 points, but adding Fiji -38 (9/10) and -44 19/10.

Nice big spread to cover both ways if Zambia does a Sri Lanka

Ja lekka man.

Chiefie wrote:

Pierrebal wrote: Probably easier to shout from the stands when you’ve lost than publishing your bets after the result.

Anyway, following the same plan with Fiji.
Under 64 points, but adding Fiji -38 (9/10) and -44 19/10.

Nice big spread to cover both ways if Zambia does a Sri Lanka

Ja lekka man.

Under 72.5 in Nz v Sri Lanka women.
Praying for a bit of fatigue and perhaps a scrum or two.

Seeing every try being scored under the sticks, so 10 tries is max allowance. Very possible! Tight either way.

36-0 at HT. this under 72.5 is looking like a bust.

Ffs, what’s the point of Sri Lanka. Honestly. Like, why is Sri Lanka

That kick into touch at the end was golden.

Kenya over 28.5
Australia -26.5
England -40.5

Canada +24.5 v Fiji

SA -37.5 v Tonga

Uganda Over 33.5 V Jamaica

Strongest bet of the tournament for me. Uganda has looked good in both games and this play comes down to the maths. They should be targeting at least 63 points against very weak opposition. We have seen an upper limit in these games of not much more. But they will not waste time in this one. I see 40 at a minimum and 55 - 65 points giving them a shot at sending Australia home early should the loose to Kenya.

Kenya over 12.5 v Aussie

Nibble on Kenya to win.

Malaysia +14.5 & malaysia to win.

Scotland +12.5

Samoa +2.5 v Aus @ 1.83

Smaller play Samoa win @ 2.30

Wrong favourite for me