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- Rugby Championship Round 3, NPC Rd 4, LA 7's + other rugby 22.- 28 Aug
Rugby Championship Round 3, NPC Rd 4, LA 7's + other rugby 22.- 28 Aug
- Brent Graham
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Onto this weekend and some great Rugby Championship action as well as NPC and also the LA 7s
Rugby Championship
Outright Betting at WSB
New Zealand 3/10
Boks 33/10
Australia 9/1
Argentina 40/1
Current handicaps (in brackets) v my original forecast
Australia -4.5 v South Africa (-4.5) - this opened Boks +4.5 overseas and then choice locally but the line now where I expected it
New Zealand -14.5 v Argentina (-20.5) - open -21.5 and has not really moved
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BG
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- BDub
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Per TAB NZ:
Tasman +5.5 v Cantabs
Waikato -26.5 v Manawatu
Hawkes bay -2.5 v North harbour
Auckland -7.5 v Otago
Bop -8.5 v Counties
Wellington -6.5 v Taranaki
Northland -5.5 v Southland
At these lines the initial value for me is Hawkes Bay as they have Brodie Retallick back for the game but it’s always slightly dangerous as it’s a Ranfurly Shield game. Will look for points as well being a afternoon kickoff. NH defense can be awful.
Also like Auckland and Bay of Plenty on the minus. Otago had a heavy “storm” week and lose Dickson to AB’s.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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BDub wrote: Rise and shine its bookie buttkicking time.
Tasman +10.5 (+5.5) v Cantabs
Waikato -18.5 (-26.5) v Manawatu
Hawkes bay +1.5 (-2.5) v North harbor
Auckland Evens (-7.5) v Otago
Bop -7.5 (-8.5)v Counties
Wellington -7.5 (-6.5) v Taranaki
Northland -3.5 (-5.5) v Southland
I have North Harbour going in as the favorite.
Auckland Otago a lot closer IMO Auckland is just tired.
Similarly I'm off a bit on Waikato v Manawatu line, Manawatu has a brutal schedule and another 5 day turnaround. It could get ugly, But will probably look to have a go at Waikato on the minus at half time if Manawatu can hold on for 40. To high otherwise to play pregame.
Canterbury -5.5 is probably a bit of an over reaction to the Taranaki loss. That Taranaki field is a FU$KEN disgrace. No professional team should be playing of a surface like that. Add to that the uprights are not high enough so the touch judges cant tell if the ball is kicked through or not. Hunt for unders on that field all season long.
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- Pablo
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- Brent Graham
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- Chiefie
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Using Google earth as their TMO images. What a shambles that competition is.
Mike Fraser is a disgrace. Jeez he has been utterly shocking in this game.
Birdboxed himself through that 80mins
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- Mondo86
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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- Pablo
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Provence+Montauban+Mont de Marsan around @2 is the valuebet this weekend.
Vannes @1.60 for small stake.
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- southpaw
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Over 14.5 1st half points
Over 14.5 2nd half points
Aus over 16.5
SA over 18.5
@ 5/6
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Beers on SA v Aus Draw @ full time.
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- sunnyskies
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Gone heavy into Harbor +7.5 and Harbour to win.
Beers on SA v Aus Draw @ full time.
I'm with you on the +7.5. It will be a hell of a game and it probably will come down to penalties to decide the game. Gatland is kicking well for Nth Harbour. I'm also adding under 56.5 points as it is a bit windy as well and both sides will be desperate.
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- southpaw
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My bet builder went south so I feel forced to try a bigger odds bet to try recover -
NZ win both halves by more than 12pts @ 5/2
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- BDub
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Can’t have this Argie team.
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- Brent Graham
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- kompos
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BUT
the fact remains the h'cap lines are just smoke and mirrors
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- BDub
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BDub wrote: Nz -20.5 and o38.5
Can’t have this Argie team.
Awful call! The Georgian referee was perfect for Argentina as there was zero flow to the game!
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- R3V3R3NT_
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BDub wrote:
BDub wrote: Nz -20.5 and o38.5
Can’t have this Argie team.
Awful call! TheGeorgian refereeAll black coach was perfect for Argentina as there was zero flow to the game!
FTFY
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Northland V Southland is just screaming out as an unders game.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Northland V Southland is just screaming out as an unders game.
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