All Football Tips w/c 24th October

Pick: Borussia Dortmund vs Man City/Draw and both teams to score at 1.89

Reasoning:

A game which sees Erling Halaand return to Germany to face his former club promises to be an exciting affair. Whilst Dortmund won 5-0 in their last game, their form over the last 5 games has been mixed, as they have only picked up 2 wins in all competitions. City on the other hand have won 4 out of their last 5 league games but struggled last time out against Copenhagen when they rotated their squad, drawing 0-0 away in Denmark. Pep Guardiola's side know a win away will be good enough to secure top spot in the group and should see City put out their best XI in this tough away game. Both sides having been free-scoring so far this season, with Dortmund having scored 12 goals in their 6 home games so far this seasons, while City have scored 36 league goals across 11 league games.

The game between these two sides earlier this year ended 2-1 to City, although both sides had their chances to score more goals. In fact these sides are playing each other for the 4th time in 2 years, and both teams have scored in each of their previous 3 occasions. I fancy the same to happen tonight, although I expect City to ultimately come away with the win.

Full rounds in L1 and L2 but only one that really appeals"

Portsmouth v Oxford

Take Portsmouth @ 2.379 with Pinnacle

The bookies have been insistent that Oxford (after two top 8 positions in the last two seasons) will overturn their relegation form and have been overly cautious with their odds just in case each match sees them turn the corner.

I saw them play Peterborough at the weekend on iFollow and they were nothing short of awful (until they had a man sent off and got riled up) and as such I am not sure 18,000 at Fratton Park, under lights, is the place they will turn their fortunes around, especially as their main marksman, Matty Taylor, is suspended after Saturdays red card.

Fifth placed Portsmouth, on the other hand, ended a little 4 game non winning streak with Saturdays 1-0 win at Forest green and welcome back Rafferty, main man midfielder Tom Lowery (injuries) and playmaker Marlon Pack (suspension) to the match day squad and should be pretty much at full strength.

I had this priced up at around 1.95, so this is obvious value and I see no reason not to follow the Oxford gravy train for a while longer yet.

My UCL form has delighted the books so a few beers on the early matches

Salzburg BTTS - Yes into
Sevilla Win
@ 37/20

Pondering that 12/10 BTTS at Parc des Princes. Mac H carry a goal threat and PSG have conceded in every round. PSG also need to score as many as possible to shade Benfica on goal difference in the group which may mean a gap or two in the defense.

Nice call Salzburg v Chelsea Chris
Going to take that 12/10 on the PSG match and taking a few beers on
Celtic v Shakhtar Donetsk
Win Shakhtar D @ 4/1 ( Odds too long here in my opinion )

Pick: Club Brugge/Draw vs FC Porto at 1.70

Reasoning:

I simply cannot understand the odds for this game. Club Brugge sit top of their group Champions League group having won 3 of their 4 games, scoring 7 goals and conceding 0. The last time these two sides met, Brugge won 4-0 in Porto. Brugge know that a draw is enough for them to win the group, so much like City last night, if they aren't leading going into the final stages of the game they may not push to score and will settle for a draw.

Also a small sprinkling on Brugge ML at 3.45

UCL
Double on the evenings early matches

At Brugge BTTS - Yes into
Inter Milan v Plzen Over 3.5 match goals
@ 5/2

Tottenham v Sporting

I'm already sick of watching Spurs this season, but the purgatory continues tonight. Got a feeling they might actually turn up this time, but can't trust them.

Spurs 3 or more goals @ 15/8 ( small )

Well Brugge had to miss a penalty twice for me to lose that bet - They managed it.

A double on the late games
Spurs v Sporting Lisbon - Match goals over 2.5 into
Napoli v Rangers - Napoli over 2.5 Goals
@ 9/4

Mo Salah over 2.5 left foot shots @ 6/5

Tranmere v Carlisle (D2 - 29/10/22)

Carlisle have had injury problems since the start season and have done superbly well to still be in the top half. However, with 9 first teamers out on Saturday, including virtually their entire first string back four and having lost their last three, it may be a step too far to expect anything out of an away trip to a Tranmere side who have a recent 4/2/0 record.

Take: Tranmere at 2.119 Pinnacle

DSTV Premiership

Maritzburg v Arrows
Probably catch some of this match on the second feed. Expect few goals ie under 2.5 but so do the books. Like this bet as being offered with same odds as a draw
Highest scoring half - Draw @ 21/10

6/8 last time. we try again

Norwich V Stoke
Derby V Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood V Accrington
Coventry V Blackpool
Hull V Blackburn
Charlton V Ipswich
AFC Wimbledon V Harrogate

BTTS yes @ 49/1

TAA over 0.5 assist @ 5/2

Man Utd v West Ham
Quite an attacking line-up from ten Hag so taking a couple from the shots market
Man Utd over 15.5 shots @ 8/10
Benrhama over 0.5 shots on target @ 13/10