Autumn Internationals incl ITAvRSA, ENGvNZL & IREvAUS
- Brent Graham
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The Newsletter best bet was France -4.5 and that was also the final leg of the handicap acca. At 13-0 up and with the Boks down a man I thought it was home and hosed but it was not to be and in the end a rare missed conversion cost me. No argument though I thought the Boks were the better team.
The newsletter acca ended on Saracens -2.5 HT and I would not have included if I knew it wasn't on TV and I had to watch the live score to see it go up in flames. I then lost on the New Zealand XV and All Blacks and all things considered it as a poor weekend masked by a big win that saw me end nicely in front.
It looks like we only have Internationals this weekend and here are my projected handicaps
Wales -17.5 v Georgi
Italy +10.5 v South Africa
Scotland -4.5 v Argentina
England +3.5 v New Zealand
Ireland -7.5 v Australia
France -23.5 v Japan
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BG
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- Brent Graham
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England +3.5 (+1.5) v New Zealand - Opened +3.5 England now +1.5
Ireland -7.5 (-13.5) v Australia
I think +13.5 Australia is too big. They took a chance with team selection against Italy something that backfired but that given they have 5 games on the trot they probably had to do
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- Brent Graham
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- Brad Breath
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Took more conservative and lower price of +15.5 @ 1.73
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- wslark1
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What are we thinking there?
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- Wager Warlock
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- Zambusta
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The boks covered this HT cap in their last three games of the rugby championship.
South Africa HT -8.5
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- Kirky
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Will wait see other options for Italy also.
We're not going to push them around like we used to.
We just possibly might have made a mistake fooling around with our selections, and although our bomb-squad does look ferocious, they might force us to deploy them sooner than we anticipate.
Its happened before...
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- Mondo86
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SCOvsARG
SCO -3.5 @1.93
With Finn back the Scots are a different team and I think it will be a bridge too far for Argentina to get up again -
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- wslark1
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- coil
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Brent Graham wrote: Just the 2 handicaps out so far and a big difference in the Ireland match
England +3.5 (+1.5) v New Zealand - Opened +3.5 England now +1.5
Ireland -7.5 (-13.5) v Australia
I think +13.5 Australia is too big. They took a chance with team selection against Italy something that backfired but that given they have 5 games on the trot they probably had to do
My first bet of the weekend is Aussie plus , think they'll go close here .
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- southpaw
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Looking for SA A to pitch up tonight and waiting for their caps and points lines.
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: I see WSB go +7.5 Bristol - taking SA minus
That’s a great line. Would be all over the minus but can’t get on at WSB. Hoping others price up same.
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- Brent Graham
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Superb atmosphere and fan base.
At single digits - I love the minus but if this gets up to 15/16, I'll be firmly in the Bears camp.
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Will throw in how I expect the points line to come out:
Italy vs Boks:
53.5: 17.5 - 35.5
Fancy the Italians to cover the 19.5 here. Good Bok side but new combinations in second row swing it for me. Kieran Crowley is a smart operator and will have a plan.
Scots vs Argies:
52.5: 28.5 - 24.5
All over the Scots here at -2.5 at 8/10. Argies can't only get results when they play with passion/emotion - some consistency is required in order to mingle with the best. Scots team is underrated in my opinion - arguably one of the most dangerous back 3s paired with one of the best distributors in World Rugby. Watson injury a concern but fancy Jamie Ritchie to put in a shift.
Eng - NZ:
52.5
24.5 - 28.5
Finally Eddie doesn't pick a second rower in the back row. Simmonds a great tactical pick - offers go forward off set pieces and in the wide channels. I like the NZ side especially the move of Barrett to blindside. An either team by 7 or less for me but if pushed, would lean ABs at 7/10 or -1.5 at 8/10.
France vs Japan:
60.5: 41.5 - 19.5
French traditionally bad to back on a big minus although I expect that trend to break this weekend. Rumoured to be picking a strong side so can see cap hit 24/25.
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- southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: Line already leapt up 2 points _ I took -7.5 and -8.5 (1/1) not able to bet big there though
12.5 general opening line in UK. Will be points for me instead.
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- southpaw
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NZ -2 @ 10/11.
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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- Flemenstar
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Kirky
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Yep, Oracle was strongly bullish on a Portugal win. Good enough for meFlemenstar wrote: Anyone any opinions World Cup qualifier game today USA Portugal
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- Zambusta
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In other news, looks like Kenya Rugby Union is in a complete mess. Players haven't received any of their allowances for these world cup qualification matches, and as such have refused to train this whole week for today's game against Hong Kong. Not sure how much motivation there will be from the Kenyan players and Hong Kong has looked energetic in their games and have a good rolling maul.
Hong Kong points overs looks a good play:
HT over 18.5
FT over 41.5
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- Kirky
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Hong Kong -27.5 @ 1.88
R4.10 @ Sunbet
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- southpaw
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Zambusta wrote: Portugal has looked impressive and well-coached in their games.
In other news, looks like Kenya Rugby Union is in a complete mess. Players haven't received any of their allowances for these world cup qualification matches, and as such have refused to train this whole week for today's game against Hong Kong. Not sure how much motivation there will be from the Kenyan players and Hong Kong has looked energetic in their games and have a good rolling maul.
Hong Kong points overs looks a good play:
HT over 18.5
FT over 41.5
joined u on the HK over 41.5 @ 5/6.
small interest HK win to nil @ 18/1
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- Mondo86
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- Brent Graham
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Scotland -3.5 at 15/20
Italy v Boks betting preview
Italy over 16.5 at 17/20
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- southpaw
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Mondo86 wrote: HK trying everything they can to bottle this and Kenya seem to have found some extra magic in their Pronutro this morning - Overs might be the bet on this one!
must have been paid all their money and more by kick-off.
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- Brent Graham
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Eng +2.5
Ireland v Australia betting preview
You know where my money is on this one - still some +12.5 available
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- Zambusta
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southpaw wrote:
Mondo86 wrote: HK trying everything they can to bottle this and Kenya seem to have found some extra magic in their Pronutro this morning - Overs might be the bet on this one!
must have been paid all their money and more by kick-off.
I think the envelopes may have appeared
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- southpaw
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Throwing in a few exotics -
1st try Mbonambi @ 8/1
last try Marx @ 8/1
1st and 2nd try Mbonambi @ 80/1
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Kirky
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Another ugly weekend for me.Kirky wrote: Portugal W @ 2.14 onto
Hong Kong -27.5 @ 1.88
R4.10 @ Sunbet
7 accas out the window with these 2 gimmes
My Friday nite 'boogey man' continues to mock me...
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- coil
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Thanks RT for pointing out 57.5 pts at Skybet in the UK in the Welsh game , I've lumped on unders there .
Have taken Italy plus 19.5 FT .
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote: Genoa pitch looks narrow as heck. Must just pass the min width requirement for world rugby. And to the eye the in-goal looks tiny as well.
Throwing in a few exotics -
1st try Mbonambi @ 8/1
last try Marx @ 8/1
1st and 2nd try Mbonambi @ 80/1
Jesus you must be livid. 5m out and they take a quick throw!! Betting is the worst.
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- Quill
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French Barbarians consists of French Under-20 and senior players.
The Flying Fijians team plans to finish on a high note in the final ANS Test match.
Head coach Vern Cotter has named a very strong side against the French Barbarians by making seven changes from the Irish match, lost 35-17.
Bet: Fiji -10.5 @1.78
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- southpaw
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: Genoa pitch looks narrow as heck. Must just pass the min width requirement for world rugby. And to the eye the in-goal looks tiny as well.
Throwing in a few exotics -
1st try Mbonambi @ 8/1
last try Marx @ 8/1
1st and 2nd try Mbonambi @ 80/1
Jesus you must be livid. 5m out and they take a quick throw!! Betting is the worst.
fun stakes at these prices Chiefie, no harm done. just happy with the Boks putting on a big 2nd half.
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- Brent Graham
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: Genoa pitch looks narrow as heck. Must just pass the min width requirement for world rugby. And to the eye the in-goal looks tiny as well.
Throwing in a few exotics -
1st try Mbonambi @ 8/1
last try Marx @ 8/1
1st and 2nd try Mbonambi @ 80/1
Jesus you must be livid. 5m out and they take a quick throw!! Betting is the worst.
fun stakes at these prices Chiefie, no harm done. just happy with the Boks putting on a big 2nd half.
Always a good plan! I’d say fire on HT draw or FT draw in this England game
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- southpaw
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote: NZ over 26.5 @ 10/11
Was heavily invested in over 23.5 points total.
I hate this ref. Christ he’s a horror show.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: Genoa pitch looks narrow as heck. Must just pass the min width requirement for world rugby. And to the eye the in-goal looks tiny as well.
Throwing in a few exotics -
1st try Mbonambi @ 8/1
last try Marx @ 8/1
1st and 2nd try Mbonambi @ 80/1
Jesus you must be livid. 5m out and they take a quick throw!! Betting is the worst.
fun stakes at these prices Chiefie, no harm done. just happy with the Boks putting on a big 2nd half.
Always a good plan! I’d say fire on HT draw or FT draw in this England game
Did anybody get on my FT draw?!
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- southpaw
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Try to recover -
Ht over 11.5
2nd half over 11.5
Ire over 18.5
Aus over 12.5
@ 5/6
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- Laraxwell
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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May need Fiji tomorrow…
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