URC Week 11, Gallagher Prem Week 14 + other rugby 30 Dec - 01 January

Exeter +9.5 @1.8 SKY
Leicester +4 @2 365
Bath -5 @1.9 365
Have taken these plays, the lines have moved on other bookies to 7, 3, and 7 so there's some value to be taken here

if Stormers pick full strength side the -15 vs Lions looks a goodie. Lions will not be able to stop the constant attacks. Just a bit wary to fire now as think there is a chance of some rotation.

southpaw wrote: if Stormers pick full strength side the -15 vs Lions looks a goodie. Lions will not be able to stop the constant attacks. Just a bit wary to fire now as think there is a chance of some rotation.

Yup, and if they rotate the bookies will adjust, to be sure..

Montpellier +10.5 @1.80 2u and o43 in the scottish derby @1.877 1u for tomorrow.

Montpellier with some rotations (Mercer, Forletta, Carbonel, Darmon and Verhaeghe out) but stays solid up front and pretty good backline. Bordeaux with some absences as well (Poirot, Tameifuna, Petti, Diaby, Douglas, Roussel, Tambwe, Cros) and doesn´t look monstruous so I expect Montpellier to stay tight. For me is a one scoring match.

Scottish derby will be played at Murrayfield, not too humid and nice pitch. Strong wind canceled due to play at Murrayfield and even at a derby I think line is a little bit low.

Pablo wrote: Montpellier +10.5 @1.80 2u and o43 in the scottish derby @1.877 1u for tomorrow.
...

Scottish derby will be played at Murrayfield, not too humid and nice pitch. Strong wind canceled due to play at Murrayfield and even at a derby I think line is a little bit low.

It was 16-10 last week, when they played in Glasgow, and that's much lower.

Anything to sway me towards your over?

Quill wrote:

Pablo wrote: Montpellier +10.5 @1.80 2u and o43 in the scottish derby @1.877 1u for tomorrow.
...

Scottish derby will be played at Murrayfield, not too humid and nice pitch. Strong wind canceled due to play at Murrayfield and even at a derby I think line is a little bit low.

It was 16-10 last week, when they played in Glasgow, and that's much lower.

Anything to sway me towards your over?

Weather forecast for Edinburgh is for he main rain to clear early afternoon followed by showers so things a bit slippery maybe .....

Jameson wrote:

Quill wrote:

Pablo wrote: Montpellier +10.5 @1.80 2u and o43 in the scottish derby @1.877 1u for tomorrow.
...

Scottish derby will be played at Murrayfield, not too humid and nice pitch. Strong wind canceled due to play at Murrayfield and even at a derby I think line is a little bit low.

It was 16-10 last week, when they played in Glasgow, and that's much lower.

Anything to sway me towards your over?

Weather forecast for Edinburgh is for he main rain to clear early afternoon followed by showers so things a bit slippery maybe .....

Rain will stop 4 hours before kick off and for Murrayfield pitch is more than enough to stay dry at Kick off.

75 % of relative humidity is not too high. For me o43 is just for one unit, small confidence.

Big confidence in Montpellier+10.5 though.

I have to take Saracens -7.5 @1.80 2u as Exeter is missing important players (Hepburn, Cowan-Dickie, Jenkins, Kirsten, Vermeulen, Ewers, Simmonds, Hogg, Whitten). Too light up front and no Hogg for aerial battle in rainy conditions and lacking of big ball carriers means a comfortable home win

7.5 is a great line considering the movement now.

I add Usap +8.5 @1.80 2u as they field a nice team while SR with important absences (Sclavi, Bourgarit, Tanga, Aldritt, Dulin, Seuteni out)

Usap at Aime Giral usually make its games tight and I think they can cope with SR powder.

Merry Christmas to everyone ,

Unfortunately all the game are off pretty much the same time grrrr .
Medium strike Leicester plus 4.5 , Sale should bounce back but the Tigers should make them fight all the way .

All over Montpellier as well but have only managed plus 8.5 points , hope they don't disappoint .

Lastly I do like Edinburgh but the cap looks well set , instead I have taken a small nibble at 4/5 under 44.5 points .

Wish I had stayed in bed , awful .

coil wrote: Wish I had stayed in bed , awful .

lol Surprising score lines all around really

Fortunately, I went over 49.5 in live play after the 2 early tries in the Jock game - that looked gone at 55mins mind.

Pablo wrote: Montpellier +10.5 @1.80 2u and o43 in the scottish derby @1.877 1u for tomorrow.

Montpellier with some rotations (Mercer, Forletta, Carbonel, Darmon and Verhaeghe out) but stays solid up front and pretty good backline. Bordeaux with some absences as well (Poirot, Tameifuna, Petti, Diaby, Douglas, Roussel, Tambwe, Cros) and doesn´t look monstruous so I expect Montpellier to stay tight. For me is a one scoring match.

Scottish derby will be played at Murrayfield, not too humid and nice pitch. Strong wind canceled due to play at Murrayfield and even at a derby I think line is a little bit low.

Biggest friday tip was completely off the target, Montpellier didnt show on second half ...

Five accas down the toilet with Edinburgh loss. Again. All they had to do was win, at home. That's not asking too much surely
i hope they ..... cos they've put the last big blob of shit onto a really KAK year for me

Fuck, I'm a sore loser.

Overs for me in SA derbies today, hopefully end year on a high -

51.5 @ 10/11 sharks bulls

55.5 @ 20/21 stormers lions

Kirky wrote: Five accas down the toilet with Edinburgh loss. Again. All they had to do was win, at home. That's not asking too much surely
i hope they ..... cos they've put the last big blob of shit onto a really KAK year for me

Fuck, I'm a sore loser.

Its not over yet - still time to do more harm!

I've gone Sharks -4 ....

I have to take o43 @1.90 2u in Bayonne-Toulon. Good weather and I have the feeling there will be points, so line is low for me.

Weather looks OK in Parma and Zebre defense unlikely to keep any opposition under 30 points this season.

Benneton over 28.5 @ 8/10

The Vann wrote: Weather looks OK in Parma and Zebre defense unlikely to keep any opposition under 30 points this season.

Benneton over 28.5 @ 8/10

Took a red card for this to come good!

I see that the Sharks are busy losing me cash again ......

EDIT: Its rare that after I open my gob, then my team does good

southpaw wrote: Overs for me in SA derbies today, hopefully end year on a high -

51.5 @ 10/11 sharks bulls

55.5 @ 20/21 stormers lions

Sharks bulls overs my bigger of 2 bets today as was less confident on stormers lions being a later game. Taken under 56.5 @ 20/21 to effectively cancel out.

Happy new year to all, hope for a prosperous punting year in 2023.

southpaw wrote:

southpaw wrote: Overs for me in SA derbies today, hopefully end year on a high -

51.5 @ 10/11 sharks bulls

55.5 @ 20/21 stormers lions

Sharks bulls overs my bigger of 2 bets today as was less confident on stormers lions being a later game. Taken under 56.5 @ 20/21 to effectively cancel out.

Happy new year to all, hope for a prosperous punting year in 2023.

Wise move - too many mistakes by the players and the officials for overs to have come good in this one ...

Happy new year!

Jameson wrote:

Kirky wrote: Fuck, I'm a sore loser.

Its not over yet - still time to do more harm!

I've gone Sharks -4 ....

Thanx for the encouragement bud, I cracked a few beautiful punts after that. Think I'm heading for my best weekend of 2022 here - fingers crossed..
If it is so, I'm gonna count it as week 1 of 2023

HAPPY HAPPY EVERYONE - let's get the bookies this year

Anyone fancy anything Quins Saints or the Cardiff game?

Flemenstar wrote: Anyone fancy anything Quins Saints or the Cardiff game?

There is talk of a late change to the O's team. I'm going Cardiff -4.

Jameson wrote:

Flemenstar wrote: Anyone fancy anything Quins Saints or the Cardiff game?

There is talk of a late change to the O's team. I'm going Cardiff -4.

Weather deteriorating now - heavy rain which favours O's .......

Taking Ospreys +7.5 @ HT

Those scrum pens will keep coming with the bench they've got

I do like the Dragons next up , plus 7.5 at 4/5 have pressed .

Brad Breath wrote: Taking Ospreys +7.5 @ HT

Those scrum pens will keep coming with the bench they've got

Yeah good call - penalty count is horrendous for Cardiff.

Super stuff BB !

coil wrote: I do like the Dragons next up , plus 7.5 at 4/5 have pressed .

I'm going over 44.5 here. Weather looks dry and these 2 teams will (hopefully!) score tries ....

Ulster vs Munster

Munster are resting several players, while Ulster have a strong team.
Conditions are very good for running rugby.

Ulster -6.5 @1.90
Total Over 43.5 points @1.84

Quill wrote: Ulster vs Munster

Munster are resting several players, while Ulster have a strong team.
Conditions are very good for running rugby.

Ulster -6.5 @1.90
Total Over 43.5 points @1.84

Agree , best o luck , joining u

Leinster vs Connacht

Similar story here, as Connacht are missing several players, while Leinster have a scary squad.

Bet 1: Leinster -18.5 @1.90
Bet 2: Team Total Tries Leinster Over 4.5 @1.63
Bet 3: Team Total Points Leinster Over 34.5 @1.85

Oh hell, howz my form , Scarlets get a red card and the plus 7.5 still can't arrive ,
Have started the new year a little worst for wear . The red came in the pack and the Scarlets 7 still shunted the Dragons , couldn't even get a losing bonus point .

Jameson wrote:

coil wrote: I do like the Dragons next up , plus 7.5 at 4/5 have pressed .

I'm going over 44.5 here. Weather looks dry and these 2 teams will (hopefully!) score tries ....

Never in doubt - bloody hell!