International Rugby, Bunnings NPC Round 2 18-20 August

Tonga vs Canada today.

Five days ago they played an ugly match, about which the Tongan press said that the players didn't show much commitment and preparation and it was a poor quality match, not what the spectators expected: 28-3 to Tonga.

G. Moala got red carded.

Today Canada plays largely with the same team, while Tonga made several changes.

J. Doleman is the ref.

The handicap is set at -30.5 and total points at 50.5.

Not sure what to make of this match.

Tonga vs Canada

Canada made only three changes from the match 5 days ago.
Tonga changed half a team, with seven uncapped players, two in the starting lineup.

There's still more than enough talent in this Tongan team to score a strong win over the Canadians.

I expect a better showing from the Tongans, compared to the first match.
Doleman is the ref, so I took these two bets:

Tonga over 41.5 points @1.89
Tonga over 6.5 tries @1.90

Anyone with the score update on this Tonga- Canada match or link?

doubler wrote: Anyone with the score update on this Tonga- Canada match or link?

Flashscore has just updated it and it's 26-0 to Tonga HT.

Hawkes Bay -4.5 @1.83 2.5u

Strong team with little rotation (Parsons and Flanders most important players rested) while Waikato with a second string team. For me this should be double digit win for the Magpies.

Pablo wrote: Hawkes Bay -4.5 @1.83 2.5u

Strong team with little rotation (Parsons and Flanders most important players rested) while Waikato with a second string team. For me this should be double digit win for the Magpies.

7-22 HT.

Unreal

I read in NZ news about the changes to Waikato and the 6 debutants... Shocking!

Quill wrote:

Pablo wrote: Hawkes Bay -4.5 @1.83 2.5u

Strong team with little rotation (Parsons and Flanders most important players rested) while Waikato with a second string team. For me this should be double digit win for the Magpies.

7-22 HT.

Unreal

I read in NZ news about the changes to Waikato and the 6 debutants... Shocking!

I cannot understand this result but if you don't have a proper lineout ...

My bet of the weekend is Fiji +17.5 v France 5 units @ 1.82 Sunbet.
I figure France will be a bit gun-shy after the loss of Ntamack, and the Fijians are playing brutal rugby atm.
Similar reasoning on England +14.5 just feel the cap is too high.

I've been feeding very nicely (profitably) the past 2 rounds of the NPC on the 1-12 markets. I really hope that it continues.

The French ProD2 (Thurs and Fri) and the Top 14 (Saturday) both begin this weekend, with a combined 14 games per weekend.
These teams usually always win at home most of the time. I win good money on these every year.

I cash in on the home W in multi's when the home team has a h/c of around -4 or -5, then the individual win pays about 1.50 I stay away from 'choice' games, and sometimes dabble in 1-12 also.
As we don't get the games televised here, you bet and forget, and check later on Flashscore for a more often than not, a lovely surprise

When you take four or more teams to win at home, the payout can be 4 times your stake, or more.
If you can get 6 or 7 correct to win at home, the payout can be quite hefty.
Cheers guys, good luck out there

I agree with you Kirky on Fiyi +17.5 with the absences of Ntamack and Baille. I'm not sure France will go strong after such a bad news.

I also add Italy -34.5 @1.90 2u. May seem a big hándicap but Italy go full strength and Romania is miles away (they lost 56-6 last week in Georgia) and they left important players out of the world cup squad. For me Italy is +40 points stronger than Romania.

In the always interesting Pro D2 I go today with Montauban over 32.5 @1.83 2u

Strong team they field, specially the backline, and good weather expected. The recently promoted Valence didn't have a proper recruitment for the season and I cannot see them coping with Montauban backline.

Cheeky weekend multi, but quite strong -

South Africa over 28.5 & Fiji +21.5 & Canterbury over 44.5 @ 4.9

Anyone with a Sunbet account (or access to half time markets) -

South Africa over 12.5 HT

This is way way way too low. Expected a line of 17.5/ 18.5 which I still would have had a look at. Roof is closed, Wales are ragged after back-to-back bruisers against England and are losing players like socks in the wash. Boks with a very strong side picked and the Hendrikse/ Libbok axis could spark some magic!

This is a smash bet. Grannies pension.

5-0 near HT Jesus

Monster scores in the NPC with all 3 so far going overs. But I had no interest.

So I've gone with over 52 in the last game, Northland v Tasman hoping the trend will continue.

Dreading the half time score of 3 - 3 ....

I feel like I was too slow on Bol points line but like you Brent still eyeing it out.

That 12.5 HT points line is still there but im another who always gets these wrong.

For now -

1st try Marx @ 10/1 - a big runner I feel.
Player match - DeAllende @ 16/1 - should have some joy against this Welsh midfield and should be on pitch full game given 6/2 bench.

Jameson wrote: Monster scores in the NPC with all 3 so far going overs. But I had no interest.

So I've gone with over 52 in the last game, Northland v Tasman hoping the trend will continue.

Dreading the half time score of 3 - 3 ....

Jinx on toast, my favourite Saturday morning breakfast

Mondo86 wrote:

Jameson wrote: Monster scores in the NPC with all 3 so far going overs. But I had no interest.

So I've gone with over 52 in the last game, Northland v Tasman hoping the trend will continue.

Dreading the half time score of 3 - 3 ....

Jinx on toast, my favourite Saturday morning breakfast

lol a brief flicker early in the 2nd half followed by nearly 30 mins with no score - marvellous ......

Boks over 3.5 tries @ 17/20

Was looking at points but line is 29.5 to 30.5, and I worry about our kickers accuracy. Will take the tries instead.

Kirky wrote:

I've been feeding very nicely (profitably) the past 2 rounds of the NPC on the 1-12 markets. I really hope that it continues.

So, just after I open my big yap to say something about how clever I am, my feet magically raise up off the floor, knock a few of my teeth out, and end up lodged in my throat
My selections in the Bunnings NPC go vrot as two upsets arrive
You'd swear I could have learned by now to keep my trap shut
Fiji +17.5 pretty-please

have taken some Bordeaux plus 6.5 for a small interest and managed some 2/1 on the board .

Wales keep drifting due their injury concerns and hoping for the biggest plus I can find , looking at unders in that game too at 48.5 .

England despite being very very shite will have my interest on the best plus later on

Thanks Mondo and South for those cracking Bok bets

First Fiji try radrada 8/1
Last try Vincent 20/1

Great calls, lads. I watched the game with my South African father in law, so had a bit on ht overs ( cheers, Mondo ). Was gonna get on South's superb Marx call, but was engaged in a mental convo with the father in law about the validity of the moon landing and missed it before kick off. Lesson to be learned there FFS lol.

Any RWC promos going around yet?