In this blog we wrap up the round of 16 action, project the quarter-finals handicaps and keep an eye on the weather and the betting offering up a bet in each.
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Toulon v Toulouse
Posted 13 April 10h42
This handicap opened +5.5 Toulon and after shortening to +3.5 with +4.5 now the average. Toulouse looked shaky last week but they are a big match team and I will back them to win by 5 or more.
The points line is 54.5 but I will stick to the handicap
BET: 4 units Toulouse -4.5 at 0.92/1 at Betxchange
Northampton Saints v Castres
Posted 11 April 22h57
The Saints were impressive winners at home to Clermont last week and they have been steady at -16.5 all week against a Castres team that only scraped past Benetton in France.
I am not convinced that Castres are going to put the white flag up here and lets not forget the last time they played in the UK they beat Saracens with players missing and rolled a 30 point handicap.
BET: 3 units Castres +16.5 at 9/10 at Hollywoodbets
BET: 0.5 units Castres win at 7/1 at WSB
BORDEAUX v MUNSTER
Posted 11 April 22h46
Munster delivered a 3/1 ML play for me last week but I think they will battle to reach those levels against a strong Bordeaux team who took some time to get going last week and only beat Ulster by 8.
I am expeting a more focused Bordeaux and a comfortable win by the home team.
BET:3 units Bordeaux -11.5 at 9/10 at Pokerbet
Sorry no weather links this week, under major work pressure and heading down to the coast for a week tomorrow
Leinster vs Glasgow
Posted 10 April 23h58
Leinster were so impressive last week and against a Glasgow team missing some players I can see them dishing out more pain.
The handicap is -19.5 in places having opened -14.5 and I am going to snaffle the -17.5 at Pokerbet
The points line is 51.5 and the Glasgow unders at 16.5 is well worth considering given the Leinster "D".
BET: 3 units Leinster -17.5 at 9/10 at Pokerbet
MARKET UPDATE
Posted 9 April 09h46
Minor moves of a point on Leinster game from -14.5 to -15.5 and Bordeaux -10.5 to -11.5 and a 2 point move in Toulon match from +5.5 to +3.5.
QUARTER-FINAL HANDICAPS ARE UP
Posted 07 April 13h20
The handicaps are out and below I compare Betxchange caps in brackets next to mine
Leinster Rugby -15.5 (-14.5) vs Glasgow Warriors
Bordeaux Bègles 12.5 (-10.5) vs Munster Rugby
Northampton Saints -7.5 (-16.5) vs Castres Olympique
RC Toulon +5.5 vs (+5.5) Stade Toulousain (Toulouse)
The big difference is the Saints game and I will mull over that
Champions Cup Quarter-Finals Handicap Projections
Friday, 11 April 2025
21:00 – Leinster Rugby -15.5 vs Glasgow Warriors, Aviva Stadium
Saturday, 12 April 2025
16:00 – Bordeaux Bègles 12.5 vs Munster Rugby, Stade Chaban-Delmas
18:30 – Northampton Saints -7.5 vs Castres Olympique, cinch Stadium @ Franklin's Gardens
Sunday, 13 April 2025
16:00 – RC Toulon +5.5 vs Stade Toulousain (Toulouse), Stade Félix Mayol
ROUND OF 16 WRAP
Posted 06 April 22h17
1st up a massive apology to those who logged on Sunday for bets on the Bordeaux and Toulouse games. For some unexplained reason I could not save the bets and ended up placing them in the forum.
Champions Cup – Round of 16 Results
Friday, 4 April 2025
Northampton Saints 46–24 Clermont Auvergne, Saints started -10.5 and the preview pick Saints over 31.5 points landed
Saturday, 5 April 2025
RC Toulon 72–42 Saracens, Toulon started -16.5 and the preview selection -71.5 arrived after looking dead and buried
Leinster Rugby 62–0 Harlequins, Leinster started -21.5 and the preview selection Leinster over 17.5 1st half points landed
Castres Olympique 39–37 Benetton Rugby, Castres started -8.5 and the preview pick Castres over 29.5 points arrived
La Rochelle 24–25 Munster, Munster started +6.5 and our ML pick Munster at 3/1 landed
Glasgow Warriors 43–19 Leicester Tigers, Glasgow started -8.5 and the speculative preview pick Glasgow by 11-20 points (53/20) missed
Sunday, 6 April 2025
Bordeaux Bègles 43–31 Ulster Rugby, Bordeaux started -25.5 and the over 64.5 points put up in the forum landed
Toulouse 38–15 Sale Sharks, Toulouse started -22.5 and the -22.5 forum pick scraped home
Overall a good week with 7/8 picks landed
Punt well guys
