Lions EllisParkThe United Rugby Championship (URC) continues this weekend with action taking place from the 24th to the 26th of January. In this blog Brent Graham shares any early thoughts, highlights what he considers to be early value and provides a bet on each game.

 

 

 

 

CLICK HERE to get Brent’s Free Betting Newsletter focusing mainly on rugby.

 

Our regular rugby punters have their say in our forum, all welcome

 

A SUNDAY DOUBLE UP 

Posted 26 Jan 10h04 

I am going to resist the temptation to chase those Stormers losses and have settled on a double on Sundays action 

 

Glasgow v Connacht should be a good game and it appears as though the rain will come after the game. Glasgow are -5.5 but I like the over 43.5 points. 

 

Ulster should hammer this Zebre side. The line has moved from -21.5 to -24.5 and I am not sure thats enogh. The points line is 46.6 and it looks like some rain about. 

This is likely the final post of the weekend (of course if overs misses in game 1 I could be back LOL) so look out for next weeks rugby blog which will be up Monday morning. 

 

BET: Double over 43.5 at 0.88/1 Glagow game onto Ulster -24.5 at 19/20. 3 units at 2.66/1 at Betxchange

 

WE GO AGAIN 

Posted 26 Jan 08h58

On the face of it not a bad day strike rate wise yesterday and the overs on Sharks and Munster games were a nice end to the day but I went big on the Stormers whose woeful performance means I am well behind heading into Sunday. 

 

2 games today and will be back with thoughts shortly. 

 

DRAGONS v MUNSTER 

Posted 25 Jan 10h54 

The handicap moved from -8.5 Munster to -11.5 earlier in the week and has been stable since. 

Once again I find myself looking at the points line in the mid 40's. 

Conditions don't look too bad and I am once again heading overs. 

 

BET:  3 units over 45.5 at 19/20 at WSB

 

LIONS v BULLS 

Posted 25 Jan 10h46

Full Preview Here 

 

BET: 2 units either team by 7 or less incl. draw at 27/20 at Betxchange

 

CARDIFF v SHARKS 

Posted 25 Jan 10h44

Full preview here 

 

BET: 4 units over 44.5 points at 9/10 at Pokerbet

 

SCARLETS v EDINBURGH 

Posted 25 Jan 10h11

Both sides are hard hit by 6 Nations call ups and I must say I am finding this a tricky game to call. The Scarlets backline looks a bit thin but they have a pack which has not been that disrupted and a very good recent home record. 

Keeping this simple and going Scarlets win. 

The points line is 43.5 and if pushed I would go overs as it looks like being clear with rain only arriving after the game. 

 

BET: 3 units Scarlets win at 17/20 at Pokerbet

 

LEINSTER v STORMERS 

Posted 24 Jan 22h54

This game has it's own preview and here are the bets 

 

BET: 5 units Stormers +12.5 at 10/11 at Sportingbet

 

BET: 1 units Stormers win at 5/1 at WSB

 

OSPREYS V BENETTON 

Posted 24 Jan 14h11

The handicap hasn't moved much all week and is currently -6.5 or -7.5 Ospreys depending on where you shop. The points line is 43.5 and the forecast looks gloomy with rain and wind about. 

Both sides are impacted by 6 Nations call ups but benetton are comfortably the hardest hit and I like the Ospreys to beat this handicap to get our weekend off to a flyer. 

 

BET: 4 units Ospreys -6.5 at 10/11 at Betxchange 

 

THE HANDICAP: URC ROUND 10 BETTING PREVIEW 

Posted Jan 24 09h38

We go live at 16h00 today and all team news will be available - here is the link to watch and set a reminder on You Tube

Will have a bet up for tonights game early afternoon. 

 

MONEY FOR THE STORMERS 

Posted 23 Jan 19h26 

Most of the handicaps are stable but the Stormers have shortened from +14.5 to +10.5 away to Leinster on confirmation that Leinster will have more than a full starting XV of players missing. 

 

ALL QUIET ON THE BETTING FRONT 

Posted 22 Jan 19h20

There has been very little movement on the handicaps so far. 

Note that our rugby betting show THE HANDICAP will be live on Friday evening South African time - details to follow. 

Note the Glasgow v Connact game has been moved to Sunday due to extreme weather. 

 

WEATHER LINKS FOR THE WEEKEND

Posted 21 Jan 16h56

Nobody studies weather like a rugby punter – here are links to weather sites for this weeks venues and the forecast at much time at the time of posting – Friday up so far and the balance to follow

 

 

Ospreys v Benetton – Friday 21h35 – Swansea.com Stadium (Hybrid) – cold but clear

Lions v Bulls – Saturday 14h45 – Emirates Airline Park (Grass) – Hot and clear

Scarlets v Edinburgh – Saturday 17h00 – Parc-y-Scarlets (Hybrid) – cool, clear, windy

Leinster v Stormers - Saturday 19h00 - Aviva Stadium (Hybrid) - freezing, chance of rain 

Cardiff v Sharks - Saturday 19h15 - Cardiff Arms Park (3G Artifical) -  cold but clear 

Dragons v Munster - Saturday 21h35 - Rodney Parade (Hybrid) - cold but clear

Glasgow v Connacht – Sunday 17h30 – Scotstoun Stadium (Synthetic) – Freezing but clear

Ulster v Zebre - Sunday 19h30 - Kingspan Stadium (3G Artificial) -  freezing, windy, humid 

 

 

Let me know if this is useful to you for future weekends @brentgraham on X or This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

 

HANDICAPS ARE OUT 

Posted 20 Jan 16h41

The handicaps are out and here is the current caps at Betxchange 

 

Friday

  • 21:35: Glasgow Warriors -8.5 vs Connacht
  • 21:35: Ospreys -7.5 vs Benetton

Saturday

  • 14:45: Lions +3.5 vs Bulls
  • 17:00: Scarlets +2.5 vs Edinburgh
  • 19:00: Leinster -14.5 vs Stormers
  • 19:15: Cardiff +8.5 vs Sharks
  • 21:35: Dragons +7.5 vs Munster

Sunday

  • 19:30: Ulster -21.5 vs Zebre

 

Stormers +14.5 looks tempting although hearing Leinster may have Sheehan and Lowe this weekend as they return from injury. 

 

LOG & OUTRIGHT BETTING 

Posted 20 Jan 13h14

 

Here is the latest log 

URC Table 20 Jan

 

The latest outright betting from World Sports Betting - as at 13h14 and subject to change 

URC betting 20 Jan

 

 

 

A NEW WEEK BUT NOT EASY TO HANDICAP

 

Posted 20 Jan 08h00

 

I am quite worn out after a hectic weekend of Investec Champions Cup action. The newsletter bet Bulls over 5.5 tries arrived with ease (get on my mailing list here) and I also hit the over 5.5 Racing tries hard but Sunday was a shocker with all of my bets going missing.

 

A small profit overall but a feeling that things should have been better.

 

Here are the fixtures

 

Friday

  • 21:35: Glasgow Warriors vs Connacht Rugby

  • 21:35: Ospreys vs Benetton Treviso

 

Saturday

  • 14:45: Lions vs Bulls

  • 17:00: Scarlets vs Edinburgh Rugby

  • 19:00: Leinster Rugby vs Stormers

  • 19:15: Cardiff Rugby vs Sharks

  • 21:35: Dragons vs Munster

 

Sunday

  • 19:30: Ulster Rugby vs Zebre Rugby

 

6 NATIONS PLAYERS NOT AVAILABLE

 

I am not going to try and handicap the games due to the break but also the number of players unavailable due to 6 Nations commitments.

 

Below a summary of the players missing from each club (I cannot guarantee 100% accuracy)

 

Edinburgh Rugby: 11 players

Glasgow Warriors: 16 players

Cardiff Rugby: 8 players

Scarlets: 7 players

Ospreys: 5 players

Dragons: 3 players

Leinster: 21 players

Connacht: 7 players

Munster: 5 players

Ulster: 4 players

Benetton Rugby: 11 players

Zebre Parma: 9 players

 

I will keep an eye out for early handicaps.