Icehockey 30.3 - 05.4

Maybe the most utopic thread in an South African forum, and it's not running well 😬.

Yesterday: -7.24
YTD: -27.02

Today many games which I like.

Sweden SHL:

Frölunda - Lulea 19:00 cet 

Frölunda reg.time ~1.74 4/10
Frölunda -1.5 ~2.31 2/10

They can finish this series today. And I hope they will in style. Stronger team and Lulea not that good away from home.

Edit: Sorry, don't know where I was here, Frölunda is 1-3 behind in the series, but would have made the same bet anyway.

Skelleftea - Malmö 19:00 cet 

Skelleftea reg.time ~1.77   8/10

Lead 3-1 in the series. Also this should be over today, hopefully in regulation time. Way stronger team. Would be disappointed if they don't win.

Russia KHL:

Jekaterinburg - Salavat Ufa 16:00 cet 

Jekaterinburg reg.time ~1.98 6/10

1-3 in the series, but at home today again and I hope the can extend this series.

Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk 18:30 cet 

Kazan reg.time ~2.01 4/10

3-1 series lead but at close one. Home factor hopefully will do it. 

Cherepovets - Novgorod 18:30 cet 

Cherepovets reg.time ~1.96 2/10

1-3 behind. So a must win, if the want to keep their season alive.

Swiss National League 

Lausanne - Servette Genf 20:00 cet 

Servette Genf incl.OT ~2.25 4/10
Servette Genf reg.time ~3.0 2/10

Bit of an back and forth series, many wins away from home. Close on too, so hope Genf wins and takes it home for a deciding 7th game.

Ajoie - Ambri Piotta 20:00 vet

Over 5.5 goals ~2.0 4/10

Many goals so far, Ajoie behind 0-3. So they need to attack and I hope they do early, also if they concede they need to open up.

🍀🍀

Best bets I think Jekaterinburg to win and Skelleftea to win.
 

Frölunda 2-1 unfortunately no HC win 
Skelleftea never in doubt 
Jekaterinburg also
Kazan, Cherepovets lost.
Servette miracle win in OT after 0-3.
Ajoie - Ambri never close to over.

+5 

YTD: -22.02

Today so far:

Russia:

Magnitogorsk - Novosibirsk 16:00 cet 
Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS 14:30 CET

Magnitogorsk incl.OT+Novokuznetsk incl.OT ~1.8 5/10

Both should win their series today.

Novokuznetsk reg.time ~1.61 5/10
Novokuznetsk -1.5 ~2.15 2/10

Quite confident on the best team after the reg.season with a very strong home record versus the team which was place 16 and just qualified.

🍀🍀

Will add more later.
 

Would be tough if Novokuznetsk really loses their home game. 😬

Anyway confident in Magnitogorsk and Yaroslavl to finish. Also Fribourg with the chance at home. And Rögle to extend the series.

Magnitogorsk - Novosibirsk 16:00 vet

Magnitogorsk reg.time ~1.48 6/10
Magnitogorsk -1.5 ~ 1.95 3/10

Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow 18:30 cet 

Yaroslavl reg.time ~1.64 4/10
Yaroslavl -1.5 ~2.2 2/10

3-1, series lead, let's finish this.

Sweden SHL

Rögle - Färjestads 19:00 cet 

Rögle incl.OT ~1.7 8/10
Rögle reg.time ~2.14 4/10
Rögle -1.5 ~3.0 2/10

I mean they led the game 5-0 last time and home and lost. I hope they show up today and get the win, which keeps them alive.

Växjö - Brynäs 19:00 cet 

Växjö incl.OT ~1.83 3/10

Chance to finish it, a very strong home team against an inconsistent opponent.

Switzerland National League:

Fribourg - Rapperswil 20:00 cet 

Fribourg reg.time ~1.63 5/10
Fribourg -1.5 2.15 2/10

2nd vs. 7th after reg season. Back and forth series, but hopefully the stronger team shows finally up at home and wins the deciding game.

🍀🍀

Lots of units on stake 🙏🏻

Fribourg up 2-0 but just won in OT. Can't catch a day since month without a let down which would really push me forward.

-1.91

YTD:  -23.93

Today:

Finnland Liga:

Kookoo - Pelicans 17:30 CET 

Kookoo reg.time ~1.65 5/10
Kookoo -1.5 2.18 2/10

Kookoo finally a good performance, please repeat this at home. Much better team.

Tappara - HPK 17:30 CET 

Tappara -1.5 1.82 2/10

Just small, as Tappara wasn't convincing so far, usually they should beat them quite easily.

Sweden SHL:

Lulea - Frölunda 19:00 CET 

Frölunda incl. OT 1.8 2/10

Also just small, but I think Frölunda can extend the series to a final game. It's tough to win there tho.

Switzerland National League:

Servette Genf - Lausanne 20:00 CET

Genf reg.time ~1.91  3/10

Back and forth series, 7th game. And I'm going for a home win.

🍀🍀

Every bet won, beside Frölunda with a narrow 0-1 loss.

+7,98

YTD: -15.95

Today short and sweet:


Czech Extraliiga Playoffs:

Pardubice - Sparta Prague 17:00 CET

Pardubice reg.time ~1.83 3/10

I counted Sparta out already, somehow they came back from a 3-1 series deficit and won the best of seven series.

A very rare thing in icehockey. 

Pardubice is the better team, just hope they are not rusty and Sparta on a roll. 

Russia VHL:

CSK VVS - Novokuznetsk 17:00 CET 

Novokuznetsk incl.OT ~1.6 4/10
Novokuznetsk reg.time ~1.93 2/10

Props to Samara (CSK VVS) didn't think they can win 2 games in this series. It's very close given the class difference which I think is and should be there.

I mean at least I think and hope Novokuznetsk can finish this today and doesn't bring it back home for a do or die game.
 

chrisdre wrote:

Pardubice reg.time ~1.83 3/10
Novokuznetsk incl.OT ~1.6 4/10
Novokuznetsk reg.time ~1.93 2/10

 

Pardubice 6-2
Novokuznetsk won 3-2

+6.75

YTD: - 9.2

Germany DEL:

Ingolstadt - Munich 14:00 CET

Ingolstadt incl.OT ~1.84 2/10

Small on the home team, bit of a back and forth, and I think Ingolstadt are good enough for another home win.

Finland Liga:

Would think both away teams ein, but odds aren't really good. And 3way plays to get an higher odd,.oh well..I'm staying away.

Czech Extraliga: 

Pardubice - Sparta Prague 17:00 CET 

Pardubice reg.time ~1.71 4/10
Pardubice -1.5 ~2.33 2/10

Win yesterday was a bit too high, game was close for the most part of it. But I think we will see another home win, and maybe a convincing one again.

Swiss National League:

Davos - Zürich 20:00 CET

Davos reg.time 1.96 2/10

Both teams very good and in superb form. I'm going with the home team tho. Could be a close one.

Fribourg - Servette Genf 20:00 CET

Fribourg reg.time 1.87 4/10
Fribourg -1.5 2.6 2/10
Over 5.5 Goals 2.14 2/10

I really like the home team. The are strong at home, but had a hard series vs. Rapperswil. But so had Servette. It could be close but I hope for a home win.

Goals well, hope some teams scores early and then it easily could sail over. Wouldn't touch under...

🍀🍀




 

Swiss League saved the day. Otherwise would have been horrible.

-1.4

YTD: -10.6

Soon:

Sweden SHL:

Rögle - Färjestads 15:00 CET

Rögle reg.time ~2.01 4/10
Rögle -1.5 ~2.75 2/10
Game over 5 goals 1.93 4/10
Game over 5.5 goals 2.5 1/10

Rögle fought back in the series in am incredible way. Down 1-3, also after losing a home game from 5-0 up in the first period.

So today game 7 at home and a big chance to advance. Hope they come out firing. Games in Rögle have been goalfests, so I hope today, and in a do or die game there is always a chance for some late empty net goals.

Austrian ICE Hockey League:

Fehervar - Graz 99ers  16:30 CET 

Graz 99ers reg.time 1.91 2/10

Graz totally dominating this series. My only fear is they want another home game for money reasons.

Ljubljana - Pustertal 18:30 CET

Pustertal incl.OT ~2.0 3/10
Pustertal reg.time ~2.55 1/10

Well Pustertal didn't concede a goal for over 200 minutes.

Every game in the series ended 3-0 for Pustertal. They are up 3-0 and could advance today.

I would have rated the series as a coin toss before. But with those results and the odds today I take a chance for another win from Pustertal they are red hot and play without mistakes it seems.

🍀🍀

 

Rögle 3-1 after 24. minutes.
Just 1 more goal in 36 minutes, For the right team tho. But well.

Graz won easily 5-1.

Just can't get a fkin break, Could have been a clean sweep. Pustertal led 1-0,2-1 and was up 4-3 with 2 minutes to go.
Ljubljana got a 2 minute minor, so they pulled their goalie and it was 5 vs. 5 and still they scored the tying goal in the last minute.

+7,36

Pustertal incl.OT 3/10 still pending.

And surprisingly Pustertal lost in OT.

So it's +4.36

YTD:  -6.24

Today:

Finnland Liiga:

Kalpa - Ilves 17:30 CET 

Ilves incl.OT ~1.65 2/10

Small play in on the overall better team imho.

🍀

Ilves no chance, bad play 

-2

YTD: -8.24

Today 

Finland Liiga:

Kookoo - Pelicans 17:30 CET 

Kookoo reg.time ~1.56 4/10
Kookoo -1.5 ~2.02 2/10
Game over 5 goals 1.87 2/10

Good chance to close out the series at home for the better team!

Tappara - HPK 17:30

Tappara -1.5 ~1.86 2/10

Odds kinda low, but Tappara are heavy favorites. Just need a good last game from them at home to advance.

Sweden SHL:

Skelleftea - Lulea 19:00 CET 

Skelleftea reg.time ~1.76 6/10
Skelleftea -1.5 ~2.3 2/10

Better team, first hime game, I hope the find their rhythm from the beginning, not like against Malmö.

Straight home I think.

Czech Extraliga:

Sparta Prag - Pardubice 19:15 CET

Pardubice incl.OT ~1.8 3/10

Visitors are the better team, 1-1 after their first home games. I think they can get their home advantage back and make it 1-2 today.

🍀

Kookoo 4-1
Tappara just 1-0
Skelleftea up 3-1 with 19 minutes to go, not enough, won in OT 4-3
Pardubice won in OT 2-1

-3.32

YTD: -11.56

on to tomorrow.💁🏻‍♂️

 

Russia KHL;

Omsk - CSKA Moscow 15:00 CET

Omsk incl.OT ~1.62 3/10
Omsk reg.time ~2.02 1/10

Omsk is somehow my nemesis, the lose the certain games I bet them, and win whenever I'm against them 😅.

Nonetheless the are the offensive better team and kinda dominated them this season.

Finland Liiga:

Ilves - Kalpa 17:30 CET 

Kalpa incl.OT 2.85 1/10

Small on the dogs, as odds are too high in my opinion.

Sweden SHL:

Växjö - Rögle 19:00 CET 

Växjö incl.OT ~1.99 5/10
Växjö reg.time ~2.6 2/10
Game over 5 Goals ~2.04 1/10

I don't get why Växjö should be dogs at home. Really no clue. Saw parts of the last game from Rögle and they were kinda lucky to get away with a win.

Växjö a strong home team. Fancy their chances with those odds.

Switzerland National League:

Fribourg - Servette Genf 20:00 CET 

Fribourg incl.OT ~1.61 4/10
Fribourg reg.time ~1.96 2/10
Game over 5.5 goals ~1.93 2/10

Fribourg at home, kinda good also goals are very likely again. I just trust the home team 🫢

🍀

I don't want to write the words which would describe my feelings right now. It's just sickening. Every game I stake higher loses from a very good winning position. And I can't catch a fkin break.

Växjö up 3-0 halfway of the game, loses 3-5!
Kalpa up 1-0 till 30 seconds before the end, loses in OT.
Omsk won 3-0
Genf 2-1

What could be a nice winning day is: -1.72

YTD: -13.28
-

Russia KHL:

Magnitogorsk - Novgorod 16:00 CET

Magnitogorsk reg.time 1.54  3/10
Magnitogorsk -1.5 ~2.02 1/10

Better team overall and home factor quite huge in Russia.

D.Minsk - Kazan 18:30 CET

Minsk incl.OT ~1.63 5/10
Minsk reg.time 2.02 2/10
Game over 5 goals ~1.79 3/10

Minsk very good at home, lots of firepower and I think we see at least some goals.

Sweden SHL:

Skelleftea - Lulea 20:00 CET

Skelleftea reg.time ~1.68 7/10
Skelleftea -1.5 ~2.18 2/10

Thought the would win the first game quite clear. But ended up in a draw after a 3-1 lead. I think they win again, hopefully in regulation.

🍀

Minsk result far from were I thought it would be. Such losses are more easy to take on, when you are completely wrong. Never thought Minsk would just score 1 goal all game.

 -2.26

YTD: -15.54

Russia KHL;

Omsk - CSKA Moscow 15:30 CET

Omsk incl.OT ~1.62 3/10

Same as the first game, home field advantage. Will be a close one again I think.

Yaroslavl - Salavat Ufa 18:30

Yaroslavl reg.time ~1.65 4/10
Yaroslavl -1.5 ~2.3 2/10

Very narrow win (1-0) in the first game. Yaroslavl the better team and huge home field advantage. Expect something like 3-1, 2-0, 4-1 ...

Sweden SHL:

Växjö - Rögle 19:00 CET

Växjö incl.OT ~2.03 4/10
Växjö reg.time ~2.7 2/10
Game over 5 goals ~1.97 1/10

I need to try this again. They led 3-0 in the first game and blew it within 10 minutes. Expect a better overall performance.

Germany DEL:

München - Mannheim 19:00 CET

Mannheim incl.OT ~2.12 2/10

Small play on Mannheim here.

🍀 Might add something from Switzerland.
Best play I think is a Yaroslavl win, well they are huge favs.