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South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr

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2 weeks 2 days ago - 2 weeks 2 days ago #4537 by Brent Graham
South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr was created by Brent Graham
It wasn't a great betting weekend for me, and although I hit profit in two of the four Currie Cup games, my biggest bet was on the Stormers over 3.5 tries, and that never looked a runner.

I never really got involved in the Springboks v New Zealand Second Test and was just relieved that the Boks got the win, although I did throw a few units at the last try-scorer markets. So I was less than impressed with Rassie when my 18/1 pick Thomas du Toit was suddenly put into the starting lineup rather than coming off the bench!

Bookmakers have priced up on the Third Test, and the Boks are currently -6.5 for the match, which takes place at Soccer City in Johannesburg.

We're also down to the Currie Cup semi-finals, with Griquas topping the log and earning themselves a home semi-final against the Lions, who managed to scrape into fourth.

The Cheetahs were well beaten by the Pumas in Nelspruit, but they get an early chance for revenge as they welcome the Pumas to Bloemfontein in their semi-final.

I'll be out with my handicap projections on Monday.

Have a good week, everyone, and I look forward to your thoughts on this thread.
Last edit: 2 weeks 2 days ago by Brent Graham.

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2 weeks 1 day ago #4543 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Currie Cup Blog updated with projected handcaps 

Gone -7.5 in both games 

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2 weeks 4 hours ago #4555 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Boks steady at -7.5 

When I saw the points line at 53.5 I thought "Southpaw is going to fire this" and I was to but the weather looks a concern so keeping the powder dry for now. 

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2 weeks 3 hours ago #4557 by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr

Boks steady at -7.5 

When I saw the points line at 53.5 I thought "Southpaw is going to fire this" and I was to but the weather looks a concern so keeping the powder dry for now. 
Still hurting after the arg aus overs missed. I went into last Saturday feeling bullish after a great Friday betting results but then gave absolutely everything back and kicked myself in the nuts for taking Sa over 3.5 tries when had posted both total pts and SA pts as my early fancies. 

saying all that If pts drop closer to 50 I will be definitely going overs… 

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1 week 6 days ago #4568 by Coil
Replied by Coil on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
All over NZ this weekend , I just can't see them getting beat , will be filling my boots or emptying them out come Saturday evening . 

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1 week 6 days ago #4569 by Dan f
Replied by Dan f on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Hello lads looking forward to the show tomorrow. Any sign of the mossman or hanrick missed their insights on the npc. Having to stream the games here in the uk though there’s no coverage 

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1 week 6 days ago #4571 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Hi Dan, Mossman started a new job so the timing does not suit him at the moment but we will hopefully find a way to get him back into the action soon 

Boks v All Blacks Preview is up and updated with an early bet 

New Zealand over 22.5 points at 17/20 

Weather forecast appears to be improving a bit and I can see this line moving to 24.5 or even 25.5 if it stays that way - I don't have the patience to wait 
 

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1 week 6 days ago - 1 week 6 days ago #4573 by JacquesT
Replied by JacquesT on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Has anyone ever tipped a draw on the rugby forum? Its been a close series thus far with a few soft moments and 50/50 referee decisions being the difference between the teams. I don't think a draw is totally out of the occasion on Saturday and would set up a dream finale for the final test in the States.

SA v NZ - Draw @ 25/1

That said, I feel there won't be more than a single score between the teams, so NZ +8 @ 93/100. 
Last edit: 1 week 6 days ago by JacquesT.

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1 week 6 days ago #4574 by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
still waiting on more bookies to open pts markets but looks like the line will settle at 53.5 to 54.5, and i will likely be an overs player here, weather forecast improving as brent points out.

Another interesting market - NZ to score more tries @ 13/10, feels a runner given have outscored boks on tries in first 2 tests.

 

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1 week 5 days ago #4584 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
@JacquesT I like that draw call 

The Understaker and Couch Critic join Oracle and myself on tonights show live at 21h00 so we will have some NPC discussion 

Click here to watch or set a reminder on You Tube 
The following user(s) said Thank You: Wager Warlock

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1 week 5 days ago #4587 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
There is this match tonight, part of SA Under 20 Cup

Cheetahs U20 vs Bulls U20

The total is set at 75.5 points @1.83.

Anyone knows anything about this competition?

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1 week 5 days ago #4588 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Hi Quill, I have not been following but man that is a high points line 

The weather will be worth watching as it looks as though the predicted cold front and rain is on its way 

Added a speculative play to the SA v NZL preview 

Drop Goal YES at 6/1 

Not value just a gut feel 
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1 week 5 days ago #4590 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
A heads up on the weather 

Got very dark and cold, can hear thunder and its started to rain 

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1 week 4 days ago #4595 by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Quite like Malcolm Marx for player of match around 14/1. Think he goes deep into this game and gets more minutes than a normal starting 2 and he is such a crucial player to Boks. 

 

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1 week 4 days ago #4596 by Wager Warlock
Replied by Wager Warlock on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr

A heads up on the weather 

Got very dark and cold, can hear thunder and its started to rain 

"Today’s SA Rugby U20 Cup match between the Fidelity ADT Lions U20 and the Hollywoodbets Sharks Gen has been postponed due to adverse weather conditions."

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1 week 4 days ago #4599 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
There was some storms about but that cancellation surprises me as it passed quickly. Still windy but clouds a lot higher 

Arg v Aus preview 

Over 55.5 at 10/11 

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1 week 4 days ago #4600 by Coil
Replied by Coil on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
So I've nailed my bellend to the mast , NZ plus 7.5 , NZ outright . 

Pumas plus 5.5 , Pumas outright . 
Lastly Canada plus 38.5 

Yu hear me ??

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1 week 4 days ago #4606 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
We hear you Coil 
[img


A weather update is that we had some rain in Joburg yesterday afternoon and overnight, woken up to overcast skies and windy conditions. It could rain further for sure but if it stays like this I think conditions will be ok 

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1 week 4 days ago #4607 by Wager Warlock
Replied by Wager Warlock on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
Lions team named. They resisted the urge to use URC guys. Firing Kwaste - 9.5

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1 week 4 days ago #4608 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic South Africa v New Zealand Third Test, Currie Cup Semi-Finals, Argentina v Austr
I cant recall a more one sided game so far in the Waikato match. Canterbury dominating but only 5pts in front @35mins. 

The Undertakers -36pts bet is looking dodgy ... :-)

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