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Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby

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3 weeks 4 days ago #959 by Brent Graham
Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby was created by Brent Graham
I’m battling to find my rhythm in the internationals at the moment. While I landed unders in France v South Africa and the tribet in Italy v Australia, there were a few small wins mixed with a bigger loss on England overs, and overall this one went to the bookmakers.The Week 3 Betting Blog is up, and here are my projected handicaps for the key matches this coming weekend:
  • Italy +16.5 v South Africa
  • England +4.5 v New Zealand
  • Ireland -8.5 v Australia
  • Scotland -2.5 v Argentina
I look forward to your thoughts and early leans. 

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3 weeks 4 days ago #960 by TheAdmiral
Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
My handicaps for the week:
Italy vs SA +17.5
England NZ +4.5
Wales Japan -11
France Fiji -25
Ireland Australia -4
Scotland Argentina -0
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3 weeks 4 days ago - 3 weeks 4 days ago #964 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Betting is out and I see England vs NZ and Scotland vs Argentina are both basically choice games. I like both home teams to win there.

Score flattered NZ against Scotland. NZ didn't impress me. Argentina also got some very soft tries against Wales.
Last edit: 3 weeks 4 days ago by hanrick.
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3 weeks 4 days ago #965 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
If you take out the tries from missed tackles and needless offside penalties then Wales would have won!! :-)

Score flattered England too I think - thought they were poor for the most part.

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3 weeks 4 days ago #967 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Here are the early lines in brackets compared to mine 

Italy +16.5 (+20.5) v South Africa England +4.5 (-0.5) v New ZealandIreland -8.5 (-10.5) v AustraliaScotland  -2.5 (-0.5)  v Argentina I was really hoping for an England plus and I reckon they beat the AB's 

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3 weeks 3 days ago #968 by TheAdmiral
Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Australia +13 my early strong play.

Ikitau and Skelton should be back. Skelton in particular has given Ireland and Irish club teams huge problems before and our best answer to him (Joe McCarthy) is out injured

Ireland’s attack is so turgid at the moment I struggle to see them going past 30 points. 20-25 is a realistic shout and it’s very difficult to cover +13 if you’re only scoring that. 
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3 weeks 3 days ago #970 by Wager Warlock
Replied by Wager Warlock on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
@TheAdmiral

Just read that Skelton is unavailable for the final 2 weekends due to an injury picked up playing for his club on Saturday.

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3 weeks 2 days ago #974 by TheAdmiral
Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Ye saw that news yesterday, very annoying. I’d argue it was a bit ridiculous he was playing a club game last week. 

That definitely makes me less confident on the Aussies, but still like them to cover the cap. 

I’ve also taken ABs win @ 2.2. I wanted to wait longer for more money on England but Chesham and Freeman are major doubts and Scott Barrett looks like he’ll be fit, so I expect the money to come more the New Zealand now. 
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3 weeks 2 days ago #976 by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
argentina over 22.5 pts @ 9/10

even in defeat in 2025 the argies have troubled opponents in most games, i expect them to stick to the attacking approach this weekend. do like the plus 3.5 but will stick with team points only for now.
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3 weeks 1 day ago #985 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Japan over 20.5 points onto Italy over 17.5 points at 26/10

Like this double strong

Jac Morgan out so nobody to slow Japan's ball. Would not be surprised if Japan win the game.

Italy have shown that they can score points. Quality side.
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3 weeks 13 hours ago #991 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
No way will Japan beat Wales. We put 28 pts on the Argies and will score more here.

This is a must win game for us with regard to RWC qualifying.

Wales by 15 !!

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3 weeks 10 hours ago #993 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Blog updated with 1st bet 

Over 49.5 Scotland v Argentina 
 

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3 weeks 3 hours ago #994 by Kirky
Replied by Kirky on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby

No way will Japan beat Wales. We put 28 pts on the Argies and will score more here.

This is a must win game for us with regard to RWC qualifying.

Wales by 15 !!
I'll be rooting for you Jameson.
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2 weeks 6 days ago #998 by BigRassie
Replied by BigRassie on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Pablo , have you any fancies in the French D2 tonight ? 

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2 weeks 6 days ago #999 by pablo
Replied by pablo on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby

Pablo , have you any fancies in the French D2 tonight ? 
Nothing yet, I didnt have time to check everything properly but at first sight only Aurillac dnb @1.83
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2 weeks 6 days ago #1000 by Laraxwell
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Ireland v Australia
Aus were +13.5pts which has reeled in to +11.5pts
I've seen nothing to suggest that Ireland can beat Aus by 12pts or more. Lions hangover/ huge reliance on a Leinster side yet to hit their straps.
Australia coming off a loss to Italy so expect a reaction there.
Australia +11.5pts for me

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2 weeks 6 days ago #1001 by Laraxwell
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Small play also on Australia ML
10/3 @ Boylesports

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2 weeks 6 days ago #1002 by pablo
Replied by pablo on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
u47.5 aurillac-provence @1.83 2u

Heavy rain expected in Aurillac and medium wind, both teams going strong, line to me in the low 40´s so value in the under here.
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2 weeks 6 days ago #1003 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Blog updated with a bet in the Bok game 

Italy over 17.5 points at 17/20 
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2 weeks 6 days ago #1007 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Autumn Internationals Week 3 incl Eng v NZL, ITA v SA + other rugby
Grim weather in Gloucester for the visit of Bath (live on youtube) - under 44.5 anyone??

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