URC Rd 15, Super Rugby Pacific Rd 10, Varsity Cup Final + other rugby

I had a decent weekend of Super Rugby and my only Champions Cup Bet (the Newsletter play on Bordeaux) landed. 
I also had some fun reviewing the rugby model and will continue to do so this week in both Super Rugby and URC. 

The Super Rugby Pacific blog is up and here are my handicap projections 

Blues -10.5 vs Highlanders 
Waratahs -21.5 vs Moana Pasifika 
Chiefs -4.5 vs Hurricanes 
Brumbies -24.5 vs Fijian Drua 
Western Force +7.5 vs Crusaders 

The URC returns and we only have rounds left - below are the fixtures and I will l ook at the early betting in the blog tomorrow 

Friday 17 April 2026
Edinburgh vs Zebre Parma
Ulster vs Leinster
Dragons vs Vodacom Bulls

Saturday 18 April 2026
DHL Stormers vs Connacht
Lions vs Glasgow Warriors
Scarlets vs Cardiff Rugby
Benetton vs Munster
Ospreys vs Sharks

The Varsity Cup final takes place in Pretoria and Tuks are -2.5 v Pukke in the early betting 

I am a Tuks supporter but I think Pukke are the bet here and they seem to be leaking at the right time 

Have a great week everyone 

Loads of rain in Joburg overnight this morning and I am assuming Pretoria is the same so points punters make sure to check conditions before buying 

SRP handicaps are out and with the model in agreement an early move has been made 

Brumbies -19.5 v Drua 

I see some bookies go 9/10 the pair but Hollywood are -3.5 Tuks with Pukke 14/10 to win and although I like Pukke my heart is with Tuks so I will stick to a points play 

Under 60.5 at 17/20 - I don't think this line will move much and may wait for a few more bookies to price up before getting on 

I took a decent strike on Pukke +4.5 at Sunbet. I think they win this...

Agree Shaft. That scrum looked scary last week and they had pace to burn out wide.

Pukke win  @  14/10

Sharks -1 @ 10/11

i'm going to base this on theory sharks pick as many first choice players as possible as is a must win given position in league, and also given rested a number of guys in the connacht match.

 

URC blog is up with a look at current caps (I missed the early ones) and where the model is pointing pre-team announcements 

Nothing strong but marginal leans from the model