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Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November

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6 days 6 hours ago - 6 days 6 hours ago #5266 by Brent Graham
Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November was created by Brent Graham
An up and down weekend for me with the All Blacks delivering against Scotland, both the -8.5 and over 33.5 but Argentina and Australia ketting me down badly 

Will have the round 5 blog including a betting review of round 4 up shortly but here are the fixtures with my projected handicaps 

Nations Championship Round 5 Fixtures 
Friday 13 November
 France +3.5 v South Africa – Paris
 Saturday 14 November
 Italy +12.5 v Argentina – Genoa
 Wales +27.5 v New Zealand – Cardiff
 England -28.5 v Japan – London
 Ireland -22.5 v Fiji – Dublin
 Sunday 15 November
 Scotland -4.5 v Australia – Edinburgh

Anything you would jump on? 
Last edit: 6 days 6 hours ago by Brent Graham.

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6 days 4 hours ago #5268 by enriquegouws64@gmail.com
Replied by enriquegouws64@gmail.com on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
NZ -27.5 and England -28.5 look like a banker double to me.NZ were 3/1 to win the Nations Championship before the weekend. They’ll take all five points against Wales, and I fancy them to beat England next week. If the Boks beat France without a bonus point or lose, NZ at 3/1 would look like great outright value. Still can’t see myself cheering for the All Blacks though.
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5 days 18 hours ago #5271 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
I suspect we will get 7/2 New Zealand now and while I am on already I think now is the time to get on if you are prepared to cheer for them. 
The reason is that the betting could change alot if SA get beat by Framce and I cannot see New Zealand getting anything but a full house against Wales 
If they are still level after this week I don't see the All Black price changing much 

I see 3 handicaps are out, all within 2 points of mine - the more one sided games to come though and those are tougher to cap 

France +5.5 v SA 
Italy +10.5 v Argentina 
Scotland -6.5 v Australia 

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5 days 13 hours ago #5275 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Blog updated with early betting 

Boks now -7.5 in places 

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4 days 17 hours ago #5277 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Away from betting for a minute lads 

One of our forum members and sometimes show guest Darren has put together a rugby quiz game 

7 questions a day and pretty cool - although I finished in the bottom 10% 

Here is the link if you want to give it a go  touchlinerugby.vercel.app/
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4 days 11 hours ago #5279 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
I see those bastard bookies are trying to tempt me in to Wales +31.5. Looking at past results, its been over 20 years since the Darkness gave us a proper 50 point winning margin bumming. and more often than not we have managed to stay within that handicap.

Hmmmmmmmmmmmm clutching at straws? lol

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3 days 18 hours ago #5280 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
31.5 is a huge handicap but I think the main danger is if New Zealand do start running away with it they are unlikely to take their foot off the gas given the possible importance of points difference 

South I see points down to 58.5 in France 

Blog updated with handicaps, points lines and weather 

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3 days 7 hours ago #5285 by shaft
Replied by shaft on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
France under 25.5 at 8/10

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2 days 18 hours ago #5287 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Blog updated with bet in France v SA 

Under 59.5 at 10/11 
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1 day 16 hours ago #5294 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Blog updated with bets in Ireland and Wales games 

Ireland -12.5 HT cap at 10/11 
NZL over 46.5 points at 8/10 

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1 day 15 hours ago #5295 by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
France v SA

Both teams over 9.5 pts each half @ 5/2

Both teams to get a yellow card @ 5/2

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1 day 5 hours ago #5299 by Coil
Replied by Coil on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Been somewhat off form and keeping stakes low , time to be gelded perhaps. 

Really like the unders tonight and am under 58.5 . The handicap looks tricky and I was hoping for plus 9.5 considering the French re-shuffle. Will standby on that and maybe look for an in running plus . 

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1 day 4 hours ago - 1 day 2 hours ago #5300 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Surely the Frogs are going to get 'twatted' this evening?

SA -7.5 @10/11

Edit: Or not. Looks like the officials want France to win!
Last edit: 1 day 2 hours ago by Jameson.

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1 day 1 hour ago #5301 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
What a match, that was seriously tense 

Unders arrives easily in the end but bigger for me is that New Zealand now have their destiny in their own hands 

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19 hours 36 minutes ago #5302 by enriquegouws64@gmail.com
Replied by enriquegouws64@gmail.com on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
I hate betting against my beloved Springboks, but thank God I placed that bet on Thursday morning! And the final’s in London. France play Argentina next week and should top the North pool. If it’s the All Blacks against France in London, I can only see one winner there. 

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19 hours 7 minutes ago #5303 by Mojo
Replied by Mojo on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Jameson without a doubt .
That match was reffed by the Tmo , Piardi never stood a chance .

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19 hours 1 minute ago #5304 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Likewise, it was tough pulling for the French although it certainly wasn't the 1st time for me. 

Blog updated with bet in Italy v Argentina (0ver 54.5 at 17/20 but not confident and the altest outright odds 

NZL 15/10 won't hold for long I don't think

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18 hours 38 minutes ago #5305 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
Blog updated with bet in England v Japan 

Over 9.5 tries at 0.87/1 - I prefer this to points at 68.5 

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15 hours 51 minutes ago #5306 by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
As a long suffering Welshman, I have to go Wales +32.5 @10/11

Obviously we have to 'front up' for the full 80 but I'll be gutted if we lose by more than that.

Pray for me!

Cymru am byth !!

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15 hours 20 minutes ago #5307 by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic Nations Championship Round 5 plus other rugby 13-15 November
geez Piardi had a shocker. I called him out last month in URC saying he's had a shocker 2026 but last night he took it to a whole new level.

I'd made my profits by half-time on 5/2 both teams to get a yellow (gift price in retrospect), i went to back boks at ht, they were +3 @ 10/11, submitted, bookie suspended for some reason, and came back at +1. I left it and thank goodness as manie shocker conversion would have been painful.

Onto today, won't get to watch much live, will add some picks later on.

 

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