URC Week 3, Gallagher Prem Week 3, NPC Quarters + other rugby

This past weekend I couldn’t do anything right.

The big disappointment was Australia threatening to beat the All Blacks but once again failing to deliver. I also lost on the Boks over 36.5 as they failed to score in the last 20 minutes.In the URC I went 1 from 5, although thankfully it was my biggest bet on Bulls v Leinster overs that landed and saved me from a complete wipeout.

This week we have the URC, Premiership, Bunnings Quarters and Top 14 to look forward to.

Here are my projected handicaps for URC Week 3:

Friday, 10 October 2025
Munster -8.5 v Edinburgh – Virgin Media Park
Scarlets -4.5 v Stormers – Parc y Scarlets

Saturday, 11 October 2025
Benetton -6.5 v Lions – Stadio Comunale di Monigo
Ospreys -8.5 v Zebre – Brewery Field
Glasgow -20.5 v Dragons – Scotstoun Stadium
Leinster -16.5 v Sharks – Aviva Stadium (assuming Leinster bring back their internationals)
Ulster -5.5 v Bulls – Affidea Stadium
Cardiff -2.5 v Connacht – Cardiff Arms Park

The blog will be up and running 1st thing 

nztab early odds for the NPC quarter finals this week. I missed getting the opening odds this week as was out.

Home team listed first......wish everyone a good week.

-Otago -6.5 v Waikato......kickoff Friday 7.10pm nz time

-Bay of Plenty -3.5 v Tasman, Saturday 4.10pm

-Hawkes Bay -1.5 v Taranaki, Saturday 7.10pm

-Canterbury -12.5 v Counties, Sunday 2.10pm

Here's my handicaps for this week's URC:

Friday, 10 October 2025
Munster -6.5 v Edinburgh
Scarlets +3.5 v Stormers

Saturday, 11 October 2025
Benetton -7.5 v Lions
Ospreys -6.5 v Zebre
Glasgow -12.5 v Dragons
Leinster -14.5 v Sharks
Ulster -6.5 v Bulls
Cardiff -2.5 v Connacht

Not too far off yours @Brent Graham with the biggest difference being in the Glasgow and Stormers games

Cheers Wager Warlock and looks like the bookies are split on those agreeing with you on Scarlets and closer to me on Dragons 

Here are my caps v Betx in brackets - red ones are more than 5 points difference 

Friday, 10 October 2025
Munster -8.5 (-10.5) v Edinburgh
Scarlets -4.5 (+3.5) v Stormers

Saturday, 11 October 2025
Benetton -6.5 (-8.5) v Lions
Ospreys -8.5 (-15.5) v Zebre 
Glasgow -20.5 (-23.5) v Dragons
Leinster -16.5 (-26.5) v Sharks
Ulster -5.5 (+3.5) v Bulls
Cardiff -2.5 (-4.5) v Connacht

URC Blog up and running 

Toulouse -13.5 ha @1.90 2u

Big rotation expected by UBB, I have a 14 points advantage for ST but with this news value is in the home side.

Here are the current Bunnings NPC quarters handicaps 

Otago 0.39 | Waikato 2.25 | Draw 21.00
Handicap: Otago -6.5

Bay of Plenty 0.42 | Tasman 2.15 | Draw 20.00
Handicap: Bay of Plenty -7.5

Hawke’s Bay 0.70 | Taranaki 1.27 | Draw 25.00
Handicap: Hawke’s Bay -2.5

Canterbury 0.10 | Counties Manukau 6.20 | Draw 34.00
Handicap: Canterbury -14.5

Nothing much to report on the URC with the Bulls the only 2 point movers from -3.5 to -5.5 v Ulster 

took some Exeter + 8 @ 10/11, has shortened in a bit to +6.

i've added some Exeter win @ 5/2. 

With heart in my mouth, or is this my foot ?
While waiting for the Pro's advice tonight on my best loves - the URC and the Premiership,

I took some some NPC 
1 unit bets on the first three to beat their minus H/C.

I then took Otago and BOP to each win by 11-20, and Hawke's Bay 1-10 into a treble at (wait for it,,,) at odds of 52.95, I've put a half unit - HALLELUJAH
DAMN, am I greedy or what   
good luck out there lads, there's money to made if we've smart 

Sale sharks -20.5 vs Newcastle @1.88

Stormers -3.5 vs scarlets @1.92

Taken Edinburgh +10 and Stormers -4

I'm reluctant to bet against any of my beloved Welsh teams especially at home but that Stormers pack looks far superior. 

I'm going to wait until the Stormers go into a decent early lead and go on the plus. :-o

The Handicap live in about 12 minutes 

Click here to watch on You Tube 

Otago v Waikato. If my strongest or weakest bet hits im in the profit. 


-Waikato +3.5 for the game, 2.30, 2.5 units

-Waikato to win the first half DNB, 2.60, 1 unit

-Red card, yes, 10.00, 0.6 of a unit (no major opinion on this bet, have  bet it mainly because 9-1 is over the odds)

The 1st of the URC bets is up in the blog 

Over 47.5 Stormers game at 0.87/1 

Bath -18.5 vs gloucester @1.91

URC Blog Updated with points lines and a summary of market moves over the last 24 hours 

Money for the Sharks but I still fancy them at +21.5 

Sharks +21.5 at 19/20 

Edinburgh +9.5 ha @1.80 2u
Bath o41.5 @1.83 2u

Agree on Edinburgh feeling, lineup is pretty tasty while Munster with big absences, still nice lineup but I don´t see them that favourites.. Bath with a very strong lineup plus a criminal bench, line to me should be in the 50´s.

EDIT

Glasgow o43.5 @1.83 2u

Strong lineup Glasgow and strong bench, Dragons with medium rotation and injuries (no Jones, Dee, Carter, Wainwright, Rodri Williams, Paea, O´Brien) and left usual starters on the bench. Line to me should be higher given the conditions.

Edinburgh winning margin 1-12 vs munster @3.80

Scarlets +25.5 at 1/2 time? Errr no thanks ......