Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
- Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #51
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Cheers Vann that Bennett loss was annoying although I think he had to come over the top of the final climb alone to win it
Great win Nizzolo yesterday
Monster summit finish today - those last 3km I couldn't walk up - Bernal clear favourite and I think it will be GC battle
Got to try and beat him though
Great win Nizzolo yesterday
Monster summit finish today - those last 3km I couldn't walk up - Bernal clear favourite and I think it will be GC battle
Got to try and beat him though
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2 years 11 months ago #52
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Finish on the Zoncolan today. Good TV to see climbers struggling to turn pedals but my heart always goes out to the sprinters and lead out men who have to drag their much heavier bodies up here with the time threat hanging over them.
Have to fancy Bernal from a GC finish in the predicted poorer weather. His odds of 16/10 just do not do it for me. Watching Bouchard on that Vendrame stage I thought he looked tired so spending today's Bernal stake on
KOM
Bernal @ 3/1
Giro Stage 14
Win
Vanhoucke @ 33/1
Bardet @ 40/1
and a double
Bardet/Caruso - Carthy/Yates @ 34/10
Have to fancy Bernal from a GC finish in the predicted poorer weather. His odds of 16/10 just do not do it for me. Watching Bouchard on that Vendrame stage I thought he looked tired so spending today's Bernal stake on
KOM
Bernal @ 3/1
Giro Stage 14
Win
Vanhoucke @ 33/1
Bardet @ 40/1
and a double
Bardet/Caruso - Carthy/Yates @ 34/10
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2 years 11 months ago #53
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Remco comes roaring back today - i unit on him and 0.5 units on the others
Bernal a worthy fav though
Evenepoel, Remco (Winner)
Winner
16/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Hirt, Jan (Winner)
Winner
66/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Nieve, Mikel (Winner)
Winner
80/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Bardet, Romain (Winner)
Winner
50/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Bernal a worthy fav though
Evenepoel, Remco (Winner)
Winner
16/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Hirt, Jan (Winner)
Winner
66/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Nieve, Mikel (Winner)
Winner
80/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Bardet, Romain (Winner)
Winner
50/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
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2 years 11 months ago #54
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Wow what a Giro to be a bookmaker - I had never even heard of yesterdays winner
Interesting stage today - will Bora control it for Sagan? A big ask and more likely I think he gets in the break. If so he is vulnerable to late attack and would hope to have a teammate with him
I wouldn't be backing him at current prices and for me today
0.25u Arndt 100/1 and Fiorelli 100/1
0.5 unit Cavagna 25/1
Interesting stage today - will Bora control it for Sagan? A big ask and more likely I think he gets in the break. If so he is vulnerable to late attack and would hope to have a teammate with him
I wouldn't be backing him at current prices and for me today
0.25u Arndt 100/1 and Fiorelli 100/1
0.5 unit Cavagna 25/1
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- The Vann
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2 years 11 months ago #55
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
With you on the bookmaker quip Brent. My Nibali out rights bit the dust yesterday. Also not interested in those very short Sagan odds so going with
Giro Stage 15
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
de Bondt @ 80/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 250/1
Rivi @ 600/1
Giro Stage 15
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
de Bondt @ 80/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 250/1
Rivi @ 600/1
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2 years 11 months ago #56
by The Vann
Found some Arndt at 150/1 so joining there.
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
The Vann wrote: With you on the bookmaker quip Brent. My Nibali out rights bit the dust yesterday. Also not interested in those very short Sagan odds so going with
Giro Stage 15
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
de Bondt @ 80/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 250/1
Rivi @ 600/1
Found some Arndt at 150/1 so joining there.
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2 years 11 months ago #57
by kcmarinopirlo
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Having a pop on Ulissi ew today @200/1
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2 years 11 months ago #58
by The Vann
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Thankfully took Arndt e/w so made the 30/1. Thanks Brent.
Unless someone tries to jump Ineos I see the break staying today. Books have rather short odds on my picks but I just can't spot the 250/1 rider with a chance today.
Giro Stage 16
Win
Grosschartner @ 16/1
Bouwman @ 18/1
Lafay @ 50/1
Vanhoucke @ 80/1
Unless someone tries to jump Ineos I see the break staying today. Books have rather short odds on my picks but I just can't spot the 250/1 rider with a chance today.
Giro Stage 16
Win
Grosschartner @ 16/1
Bouwman @ 18/1
Lafay @ 50/1
Vanhoucke @ 80/1
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2 years 11 months ago #59
by The Vann
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After extensive research found some value near the bottom of the list.
Giro Stage 16
e/w
Schmid @ 500/1
and taking a full cycling punt on
Carthy/Vlasov @ 23/20
Giro Stage 16
e/w
Schmid @ 500/1
and taking a full cycling punt on
Carthy/Vlasov @ 23/20
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2 years 11 months ago #60
by The Vann
Stage has been shortened by 60km with 2 of the 4 climbs removed but the final descent stays - this virtually kills my match bet. Adding another dart that can make the shortened stage
Win
Bouchard @ 50/1
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
The Vann wrote: After extensive research found some value near the bottom of the list.
Giro Stage 16
e/w
Schmid @ 500/1
and taking a full cycling punt on
Carthy/Vlasov @ 23/20
Stage has been shortened by 60km with 2 of the 4 climbs removed but the final descent stays - this virtually kills my match bet. Adding another dart that can make the shortened stage
Win
Bouchard @ 50/1
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2 years 11 months ago #61
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
So busy missed the start of the stage and any bets - half a unit 14/1 Izigirre in running
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2 years 11 months ago - 2 years 11 months ago #62
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Arsed my match bet yesterday when Vlasov's rain jacket got tangled in his wheels and he could not get back. Need somewhere to go with my rest day stake. Not many options but settled on the following
Vlasov sits 38 sec behind Carthy in 4th. In second is Caruso who is riding out of his skin so he may fade. Of the stages left its only the final climb on Stage 19 that may favor Carthy over Vlasov but Vlasov could pull 15-20sec on Stage 18 with that short climb before the end. By my calculations (consists of sucking left thumb) Vlasov has Carthy by 70-80 sec in the Stage 21 ITT.
Rest day stake heading to
Top 3 Finish
Vlasov @ 9/4
Vlasov sits 38 sec behind Carthy in 4th. In second is Caruso who is riding out of his skin so he may fade. Of the stages left its only the final climb on Stage 19 that may favor Carthy over Vlasov but Vlasov could pull 15-20sec on Stage 18 with that short climb before the end. By my calculations (consists of sucking left thumb) Vlasov has Carthy by 70-80 sec in the Stage 21 ITT.
Rest day stake heading to
Top 3 Finish
Vlasov @ 9/4
Last edit: 2 years 11 months ago by The Vann.
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2 years 11 months ago #63
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
I am also hopeful for Vlasov and my main bet today is 4 units Vlasov/Carthy at 27/20 WSB
Then 1 unit Pedrero 14/1 and
0.5u on
Lafay 66/1
Vervaeke 60/1
FRankiny 250/1
This has been a tough Giro and and while my stakes are small if I had not been winning at rugby I would be under pressure.
Then 1 unit Pedrero 14/1 and
0.5u on
Lafay 66/1
Vervaeke 60/1
FRankiny 250/1
This has been a tough Giro and and while my stakes are small if I had not been winning at rugby I would be under pressure.
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- The Vann
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2 years 11 months ago #64
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Not sure we get a quality break today as there is a lot of downhill over the first 50km which is going to make it difficult for the light climbers to get in. Still not stopping me from a few darts
Giro Stage 17
Win
Grosschartner @ 50/1
Vanhoucke @ 66/1
e/w
Sepulveda @ 125/1
Carboni @ 200/1
and I feel Bardet is starting to look good
Bardet/Caruso @ 5/4
Giro Stage 17
Win
Grosschartner @ 50/1
Vanhoucke @ 66/1
e/w
Sepulveda @ 125/1
Carboni @ 200/1
and I feel Bardet is starting to look good
Bardet/Caruso @ 5/4
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2 years 11 months ago #65
by kcmarinopirlo
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Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Taking another lottery pick on James Knox @100/1
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2 years 11 months ago #66
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
No idea how Vlasov/Carthy arrived after Vlasov dropped so early
What a stage - Bernal came pretty close to cracking, what a pity we don't have a big mountain stage on Thursday
What a stage - Bernal came pretty close to cracking, what a pity we don't have a big mountain stage on Thursday
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2 years 11 months ago #67
by The Vann
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The chase by Bike Exchange took out my break picks. Had hopes for that Carboni podium and I think the board picks of Knox and Pedrero had a decent shot. Once again amazed by how different riders are after a rest day - I should really learn to play reduced stakes on those days.
Hoping for the break to stay today
Giro Stage 18
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 125/1
Rivi @ 400/1
Marengo @ 500/1
Hoping for the break to stay today
Giro Stage 18
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 125/1
Rivi @ 400/1
Marengo @ 500/1
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2 years 11 months ago #68
by Couch Critic
Twitter: @HDiemont
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Ulissi for me today @ 14/1
Reckon Inoes as well as Bora will be happy to let a break go which is to their satisfaction.
Will throw in my man Mollema as I cant have him winning when I'm not on! (80/1)
Reckon Inoes as well as Bora will be happy to let a break go which is to their satisfaction.
Will throw in my man Mollema as I cant have him winning when I'm not on! (80/1)
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2 years 11 months ago #69
by The Vann
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Would have to say the Bernal body language today was bad and the Ineos team ditched the team comp to give him as easy a day as possible. I have nowhere to lay a bet but if I did I would take a full strike on Bernal not to win. The only option we have is to pick Yates or Caruso to win - the problem here being Caruso is 62sec ahead and probably has Yates by around 35-45sec in the ITT so a tough call. I am going to drink on it for a while.
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2 years 11 months ago #70
by The Vann
Giro Out Right
Bernal to Win - No - @ 5/2 at Sunnies
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
The Vann wrote: Would have to say the Bernal body language today was bad and the Ineos team ditched the team comp to give him as easy a day as possible. I have nowhere to lay a bet but if I did I would take a full strike on Bernal not to win. The only option we have is to pick Yates or Caruso to win - the problem here being Caruso is 62sec ahead and probably has Yates by around 35-45sec in the ITT so a tough call. I am going to drink on it for a while.
Giro Out Right
Bernal to Win - No - @ 5/2 at Sunnies
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2 years 11 months ago #71
by The Vann
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Leaking money at an alarming rate on the stages but was OK with it as the Cimola and Ineos large out rights were looking good. The Ineos punt now in ICU so real pressure on the last three stages.
Giro Stage 19
Win
Vanhoucke @ 80/1
e/w
Lafay @ 125/1
Hamilton @ 125/1
Sepulveda @ 200/1
and the match bet
Bardet/Foss @ 11/10
Giro Stage 19
Win
Vanhoucke @ 80/1
e/w
Lafay @ 125/1
Hamilton @ 125/1
Sepulveda @ 200/1
and the match bet
Bardet/Foss @ 11/10
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2 years 11 months ago #72
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Can't buy a win on this Giro - Bardet + Foss ride in together after 166km with Foss nicking it by a tyre.
Giro Stage 20
e/w
Sepulveda @ 125/1
Hamilton @ 200/1
Giro Stage 20
e/w
Sepulveda @ 125/1
Hamilton @ 200/1
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2 years 11 months ago #73
by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Sorry Vann, Giro been very tough this year.
I am going with my 2 darts
Bardet @ 66/1
Trantik @ 250/1
Hope one of us can celebrate today
I am going with my 2 darts
Bardet @ 66/1
Trantik @ 250/1
Hope one of us can celebrate today
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2 years 11 months ago #74
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Ok boys 1 big bet today which I think is cracking value
Vlasov top 3 at 10/1 3 units on
He was 5th yesterday just 4 seconds off the top 3 and while his form has been in and out he is a proven climber and if the GC guys contest the stage as I suspect they will he must have a shot although believe he would battle to win
That being said 0.5u on each of the following from the break
Hirt 50/1
Pedrero 22/1
Vervaeke 80/1
Taaramae 150/1
Going to look at match bets now
Vlasov top 3 at 10/1 3 units on
He was 5th yesterday just 4 seconds off the top 3 and while his form has been in and out he is a proven climber and if the GC guys contest the stage as I suspect they will he must have a shot although believe he would battle to win
That being said 0.5u on each of the following from the break
Hirt 50/1
Pedrero 22/1
Vervaeke 80/1
Taaramae 150/1
Going to look at match bets now
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2 years 11 months ago #75
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Added 5 units Almedia/Yates
Yates also not that stable and Almedia can play the tactical game
Yates also not that stable and Almedia can play the tactical game
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2 years 11 months ago #76
by The Vann
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Can't have Ganna at those odds and don't see a podium dark horse at anything over 5/1. Settled on two match bets
Giro Stage 21
Bevin/Tratnik @ 11/10
Foss/Almeida @ 12/10
Giro Stage 21
Bevin/Tratnik @ 11/10
Foss/Almeida @ 12/10
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2 years 11 months ago #77
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
The end of a very enjoyable, if not profitable Giro
Ganna should win this but agree he is too short to back and 2 bets for me today
3 units Foss/Almeida at 12/10 (thanks Vann) and
5 units Cavagna top 3 at 8/10
Ganna should win this but agree he is too short to back and 2 bets for me today
3 units Foss/Almeida at 12/10 (thanks Vann) and
5 units Cavagna top 3 at 8/10
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2 years 11 months ago #78
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Same thoughts from me. Last stage of a GT so what the heck. Full bet on that Cavagna podium. Have not seen him in the last few days so either ill or resting for today. Ganna definitely worked harder.
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2 years 11 months ago #79
by The Vann
If your rods held up through that Cavagna crash they are better then mine
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
Brent Graham wrote: The end of a very enjoyable, if not profitable Gir
5 units Cavagna top 3 at 8/10
If your rods held up through that Cavagna crash they are better then mine
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