Tennis, Australian Open

Barty + Australia (soccer) + Japan (soccer) @1.85

Collins vs Swiatek

Collins has shown grit and determination so far at this tournament.
After beating Caroline Dolehide and Ana Konjuh in straight sets, she climbed from deficits against Clara Tauson and Elise Mertens.
In the previous round she was furious with herself in the match against Alize Cornet, after allowing a 5-2 lead in the opening set to melt away, but she fought back and won seven games in a row, then won the second set 6-1.
Swiatek won her first three rounds in straight sets, but after that she showed the same grit and determination to come back from one set down and beat Sorana Cirstea and Kaia Kanepi.

This looks like a match between two players who showed that they know how to fight back.

Bet: Over 22 games @1.85

Berrettini vs Nadal

Nadal has been tested by Shapovalov, went through injuries and stomach problems, but prevailed after a tough 5-setter.

Both players are coming off huge matches and Berrettini’s huge serve and forehand should keep this competitive from start to finish.

Bet: Over 38.5 Games @1.80

Quill wrote: Berrettini vs Nadal

Nadal has been tested by Shapovalov, went through injuries and stomach problems, but prevailed after a tough 5-setter.

Both players are coming off huge matches and Berrettini’s huge serve and forehand should keep this competitive from start to finish.

Bet: Over 38.5 Games @1.80

Unbelievable how lame Berrettini played.
Considering how Rafa went through his quarter-final match against Shapovalov, the dehydration, the weight loss, the stomach cramps, and by his own admission, he was happy he survived it, I thought this would have been one of the most difficult matches for him at this tournament, but it looked like a walk in the park.
Berrettini was far from the player who turned Monfils around with just a couple of nights before, the young roaring lion ready to conquer the world.
Not yet.

Tsitsipas vs Medvedev

These two guys first faced each other at the 2018 Miami Masters, when Medvedev prevailed 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 and they had to be separated by the chair umpire during a post-match altercation.
There has been no love lost ever since, even though incidents have been few and far between for the most part aside from some verbal jousting in the press room.
The roles are somewhat reversed from last year’s showdown at Melbourne Park. Heading into that semifinal, Tsitsipas was coming off a five-set struggle with Rafael Nadal while Medvedev had been thrashing his opponents. This time around, Tsitsipas crushed Jannik Sinner 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 in the quarters before Medvedev survived the match of the tournament–saving a match point and overcoming Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-7(4), 3-6, 7-6(2), 7-5, 6-4 in four hours and 42 minutes.
Medvedev also had problems against Cressy, as he couldn't cope with the American's style of play.

The last match that Tsitsipas played was one of the best matches we've seen from him the whole tournament.

The number of aces that these two players have fired so far in the tournament in their 4 sets matches (I don't think this will finish in 3 sets) are:
Medvedev
vs Kyrgios 31 aces
vs Cressy 15 aces
vs Auger-Aliassime 15 aces

Tsitsipas
vs Baez 12 aces
vs Paire 21 aces
vs Fritz 19 aces

Both players are very good returners as well as very good servers, capable of blasting 215km/h serves.

Bet 1: Over 38.5 games @1.80
Bet 2: Over 21.5 aces @1.72

Barty vs Collins
Kokkinakis/Kyrgios vs Ebden/Purcell

Barty has demolished all her opponents at this Open, including big hitters like Giorgi, Anisimova and Keys. She is on the brink of making history here, as she can become the first Australian woman to win the Open since 1978. Based on her form and results here so far, Barty should win this.
In the doubles final we have an all Australian match. Kokkinakis and Kyrgios are forming a solid doubles pair. They are very good friends and they rallied the crowds with them. They have put up a very good show here and eliminated three top seeds from the competition.
Their first serves and their shots are very powerful, won them many points, and Kyrgios said it out loud that he wants to win this.
Ebden/Purcell aren't as good, they just aren't. They don't have the weapons to beat Kokkinakis/Kyrgios.
Kokkinakis/Kyrgios will put on a show for the crowds, the crowds will carry them to the trophy.

Bet: Barty + Kokkinakis/Kyrgios @1.80

Nadal vs Medvedev

For this final Nadal is in the best shape and form that he has been in a long time. Most of the finals he has played at the Australian Open he was coming from severe injuries and was not completely recovered.
Now he is feeling good, he is in form and let's see...
He had to get past dangerous opponents, like Shapovalov and Berrettini and him and his team should know what they have to do for this final.
Medvedev is also in great form, and he showed mental strength too, in that he was able to come back from 2 sets down and match point down and win. That being said, he showed some mental frailties, as during the match against Cressy there were times when he couldn't get past the American's game and he was shouting loud on the court that Cressy was lucky, etc.
He then had a very disrespectful go at the umpire during his semifinal against Tsitsipas.
If Nadal can exploit Medvedev's mental weaknesses, his ups and downs during the course of a long match, he stands a good chance.
Also, Nadal leads Medvedev 3-1 on hard courts.
A small bet that Nadal will at least keep it close.

Bet: Nadal +4.0 @1.85

Woohoo!!
Nadal!!