Super Rugby Week 16 plus other rugby
- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Blues -11.5 (-6.5) v Bulls -10.5 (-10.5)
Rebels -4.5 (-6.5) v Waratahs -1.5 (-4.5)
Sunwolves +18.5 (+10.5) v Brumbies +21.5 (+17.5)
Chiefs +9.5 (9.5) v Crusaders +9.5 (+10.5)
Reds +3.5 (+3.5) v Jaguares +2.5 (+5.5)
Sharks -3.5 (+2.5) v Hurricanes -5.5 (13/10)
Lions -2.5 (-4.5) v Stormers -2.5 (12/10 Stormers)
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- BookieDave
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@Chris_Lacharge
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- BookieDave
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Blues $1.37 -7.5 $1.90
Bulls $3.14 +7.5 $1.90
Rebels $1.56 -4.5 $1.90
Waratahs $2.44 +4.5 $1.90
Sunwolves $4.95 +13.5 $1.90 --- They must be 8 beers deep also Gary
Brumbies $1.18 -13.5 $1.90
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- BookieDave
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Crusaders $1.25 -10.5 $1.90
Reds $2.47 +3.5 $1.90
Jaguares $1.55 -3.5 $1.90
Sharks $2.33 +2.5 $1.90
Hurricanes $1.61 -2.5 $1.90
Lions $1.60 -3.5 $1.90
Stormers $2.36 +3.5 $190
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- BookieDave
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- threepeat
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"Sunwolves $4.95 +13.5 $1.90 --- They must be 8 beers deep also Gary
Brumbies $1.18 -13.5 $1.90"
All over the "8 beers deep"
Wolves in disarray and Brumbies in the hunt for Aussie Conference.
Max bet on Horses to run rampant. Under two converted tries too good an offer. Betting max Brumbies -13.5 @ $1.90
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- Brent Graham
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- mackem
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- BookieDave
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Yeah, its probably one to wait for teams...
For me, the Brumbies are a 3 point better team than the Rebels. The line started +5.5 last week after a stack of cash for the Sunwolves, in hindsight the line was wrong..but the line cant got from +5.5 v Rebels to +18.5 (or something like that) based on 1 result. When the Brumbies played them in R13 the line closed -18.5 and that was in Canberra. I cant see how this could be anything above 18 mathematically..Just seems like an overreaction...In saying that, im not sure I can back them this way...so I may have just contradicted myself
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- BookieDave
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- Overs_Punter
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- CLrugby
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@Chris_Lacharge
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- CLrugby
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Also taking Rebels -10.5
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- threepeat
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Time to bet Crusaders on the line, currently -11.5 TAB NZ
Sader team not yet named but only player that Saders cannot replace from depth is Richie Mo'unga. Will take that risk.
BET MAX CRUSADERS - 11.5
Good morning Brent, (continental breakfast in Auckland this morning ;- ) )
Thought you would be interested to know that we think Fiji is our home game and there is no home field advantage.
Crowd will be 20,000 and way hotter than last weeks grind in Christchurch.
Savu Reece is the latest Crusader / Fijian star winger to travel home.
Interestingly he was not named in the Fiji world cup squad, which can only mean he is in the AB frame.
Reece is from Queen Victoria School (arguably the rugby school in Fiji) Tailevu, and will be very well supported.
We also have Manasa Mataele on the roster but he had a season ending knee injury.
Chiefs have Fijian Sowakula at #8.
Last time we played in Fiji was 2017 and it was 31-24, a margin of 7. I am adding 5 for no Retallick. 5 more for Razor v Cooper = Saders by 17+. Richie starts Bonus!
PS: We have direct flights from Christchurch to Fiji. You cannot get that in cow country!
GO CRUSADERS!
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/bl...betting-preview.html
2 units, Blues win by 1-12 points, 17/10 BetXchange
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/re...betting-preview.html
2 units, Either team to win by 7 or less points including the draw, 6/4 at Sunbet
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- CLrugby
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Subs: 16 Hugh Roach, 17 Matt Gibbon, 18 Sam Talakai, 19 Ross Haylett-Petty, 20 Angus Cottrell, 21 Michael Ruru, 22 Billy Meakes, 23 Tom Englis
This is their best squad so far this season, Genia who was supposed to be out has recovered, starting XV is top quality and the bench will have a significant impact. Rebels all the way!
@Chris_Lacharge
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- southpaw
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Rebels/Rebels HT/FT @ 10/11
Saders -11.5 @ 5/6
and also taking the double.
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- bradie82
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Racing vs La Rochelle : First of all the game won’t be played in the Arena but in the old Yves-du-Manoir stadium which makes a huge difference., especially on a Friday night. The handicap is set at 10.5 point which I find quite high at this stage but will wait for final starting line. Zebo and Thomas should be back for this game. Under could be the
Lyon vs Montpellier: game will be played Saturday afternoon and the handicap is set at 3.5. While Lyon rested all their key players last week end in Grenoble, Montpellier managed to get a win in Clermont and get qualified thanks to Toulon beating Castres, which is quite an achievement looking at where they were 2 months ago. (I took some MHR to win the top14 @ 41 at that time). Montpellier will be without Picamoles and probably Ouedraogo. I think Lyon should win that game and reach the semi final as they have been impressive this season at home.
Brive vs Grenoble : quite complicated. Brive lost their first chance to reach top14 last week end against Bayonne with a penalty scored at 81”. French Bookies are giving a 3.5 handicap in favour of Brive as they will be playing home and the only bet I would take, if available, is the over penalties scored. 11 were scored last week end in the Brive vs Bayonne game and with Germain probably playing for Grenoble, this would be the best move I reckon.
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- Greedyfly
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I'm sitting on a decent sized 11/1 ticket for Sharks to win the SA conference. It seems as though the Jaguars are set to take it but I'm curious if anyone else is in this position and possible options of at least getting something out of it?
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- hanrick
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Greedyfly wrote: Hi Guys..
I'm sitting on a decent sized 11/1 ticket for Sharks to win the SA conference. It seems as though the Jaguars are set to take it but I'm curious if anyone else is in this position and possible options of at least getting something out of it?
Also on a decent sized bet at 12/1 in that, but have written it off. Can't see a way of really getting anything out of it.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/ch...betting-preview.html
Thanks to threepeat, I agree with Saders minus. There is -10.5 at WSB right now, most books are 12.5.
I'll rate it 3 of 5 units in case humidity in Suva a factor and to a lesser extent, any sort of win will do for Saders.
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- BookieDave
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Yeah its basically the Jags to lose, The only way the sharks can win is if Jags lose v Reds and then the sharks beat them in BA....Here are my 100% prices if it helps!
SOUTH AFRICA CONFERENCE
TEAMS WIN
Jaguares $1.13
Sharks $19.76
Stormers $40.49
Bulls $42.56
Lions $79.37
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- BookieDave
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Blues -7.5 (From -6.5)
Rebels -7.0 (From -6.5) - I really want to be on the Rebels, its their best side ever. However the prices are correct so no bet for me.
Sunwolves +13.0 (From (+10.0) - No Mafi is huge and with out a couple of key players. Brubmies playing full strength. No bet ATM
Chiefs +9.5 (No Change)
Good luck!
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- hanrick
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See the handicap is 16.5 in places
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- mackem
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Sunwolves v Brumbies preview
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- mackem
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- Brad Breath
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With the advantage they'll have at set piece, can't see the Wolves staying within 25 points
My early play this week was a double, Blues -7 into Brumbies -13
Have just emptied an account on Brumbies -13, as I'm half expecting the Blues to let me down lol
Have also got some Rebels -4 @ 1.85
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/re...betting-preview.html
See it being close but a sneaky feeling for the Reds so covering bulk of stake as follows.
2 units Reds win by 1-12 points at 5/2
1 unit Jaguares win by 1-12 points at 18/10
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/sh...betting-preview.html
Bet: 2 units, Sharks to win, 13/10 BetXchange, Betway
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- mackem
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/li...betting-preview.html
2 units Stomers +4.5 points 9/10 at GG Gaming.
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- coil
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My fancies below ..
The Blues vs Bulls , two teams that potentially can lose you money in almost any manner !!!!
Two of the dumbest sides in Super rugby , but I'll admit they have improved the IQ levels even though there is a lot of room for more !!
From what we've seen the Blues should cover this cap , but I won't be going in all guns blazing , will look to go unders on the Bulls points possibly as well.
Ah man , the next one could be a ball breaker , not a fan of either side but really think the Waratahs are one of my better bets of the weekend. There is plus 6.5 around and hoping for a little better come game time.
Don't rate either coach but i do agree that Darryl Gibson is a shocker of note .
Saturday I'm working all day grrrr ..
I'm all over the Brumbies again this weekend , the cap is sliding out again and I concur with Hanrick that the Wolves could battle to score points again . The Brumbies really should cover the 14 cap ok .
The chiefs crusaders both make a few changes , chiefs will battle against the Crusaders of course but I do feel the cap is reasonably priced , if anything I'd lean towards the crusaders on the minus but for smalls.
The Jags have been very good this season and they find themselves favourites this weekend.
The Jags have been superb on the road and will fancy another win.
Can't quite get a good feel here , maybe and unders call , but pepper is the ref, wouldn't mind a bet on a bigger plus on reds in running ...
On the sharks again this weekend , Canes named a strong side but think Sharks should be favourites , so the outright for me and possibly unders again with uncle nic berry in charge.
The Lions played better than expected last weekend , difficult one , but I will lean towards the stormers !!
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- Brad Breath
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Line is 48.5 or 49.5 with other books that have opened.
Most forecasts showing it will be wet, but there will be certainly be a fairly strong westerly wind.
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- bradie82
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Thanks Brad for spotting this - following you on that oneBrad Breath wrote: Have taken some under 53 total points in Blues v Bulls at evens. (With William Hill for those who can get on there).
Line is 48.5 or 49.5 with other books that have opened.
Most forecasts showing it will be wet, but there will be certainly be a fairly strong westerly wind.
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- BookieDave
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Will be cheering you boys home!
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- BookieDave
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Haha love it
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- BookieDave
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Reds +0.5 (From +3.5) - love the Reds in this spot, Key midfielders coming back and I prefer McGahan at #10. No Miotti and Boffelli for the Jags...hence my 3 point move.
Sharks +3.5 (From +2.5) Moved a point based on Conformation BB is back, also having coles on the bench helps. No bets
Lions -5.5 (From -4.5) Like the Lions here, but a lot of public support for Stormers so will probably wait until kick off to back Lions. Yes, No Jantjies does hurt, especially because Reynolds is a spoon. I cant look past the key outs for the Stormers...Van Dyk, Kolisi and PSDT..Eben coming back in helps, but is he fully fit? I have been against the Lions all year, but like them in this spot...
Good luck fellas!
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- hanrick
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Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- threepeat
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Cannot bet against Hurricanes, so have substituted Jags @1.62 to win. Result is a very similar 11-1 ACCA (Multi).
Good luck to everyone.
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- southpaw
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hanrick wrote: Blues to win and under 50.5 match points onto Rebels to win and under 50.5 points at 9/2
really like the first part of this bet given total pts like now down to 41.5 in places, raining quite a bit.
taken Blues win & under 50.5 pts @ 5/6
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- BookieDave
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- coil
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next one i'm swimming against the tide , waratahs i'm all in
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- BookieDave
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- southpaw
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Rebels/Rebels ht/ft 10/11 from earlier in week in next to bounce back.
added Naisarani 20/1 1st try
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- BookieDave
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