Currie Cup, Champions Cup, Challenge Cup + other rugby 17-20 Dec
- Brent Graham
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I was titling a bit when I flew into Toulon o25.5 points and it scraped home and I had plenty of in play bets with mixed results but took Exeter -18.5 and Munster -11.5 in play yesterday to ensure a pretty good weekend
Onto this weeks action and here are my Currie Cup handicap projections
Pumas +12.5 v Cheetahs
Griquas +20.5 v Bulls
Lions +0.5 v Sharks
There is also Champions and Challenge Cup action
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- Brent Graham
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Pumas +12.5 v Cheetahs (+11.5)
Griquas +20.5 v Bulls (+16.5)
Lions +0.5 v Sharks (-0.5)
Only real difference is Bulls game
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- Brad Breath
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Scarlets -1 v Toulon
Wasps -16 v Montpellier
Glasgow +4 v Lyon
Leinster -42 v Northampton
Gloucester +5 v Ulster (+9 with Betfair)
La Rochelle-16 v Bath
Clermont -8 v Munster
Sale -7 v Edinburgh
Quins +8 v Racing
Toulouse -3 v Exeter
Connacht +1 v Bristol
Managed to snare some Racing -6 before it shifted
Also like Toulon plus, Clermont minus and Bristol win
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Chiefs +3.5 at 9/10
Tough to go against the Champions of Europe. Don't concede many points even against a high flying Toulouse. Game of the weekend - hope both teams go strength vs strength. Rob Baxter a genius of the North.
Munster +10.5
No real injury concerns for Munster and feel that they will take their strongest outfit to Clermont. Clermont are electric on attack but ominous conditions has me siding with the Irish here.
Bristol to beat Connacht
This is team news depending and I will take this strike at 2pm on Friday afternoon after teams get released. Although they lost at home last week, I fancy Bristol (with Earl, Mullins, Sheedy and co) to cover a choice game. Connacht been very impressive but feel as if they may struggle against the faster Bristol game. A little bit of rain predicted so may keep a close eye on conditions before firing.
Gloucester +9.5 at 8/10
Some interesting transfer news that Danny Cipriani has left the club with immediate effect but this cap feels 4/5 points too generous to the travelling Ulster side that traditionally struggles on the road. Rumours have it that Marcel Coetzee may be out for the Belfast out which would be a huge loss. I capped this around the 4.5 mark so happy to side with the plus especially after Gloucester suffered a Champions Cup record defeat.
Scarlets board at 8/10
Feel as if this will be against the grain but fancy Scarlets to cap off their Bath heroics again this weekend. Toulon are poor on the road and I think they will fall victim against the whistle of the ref and the boot of Halfpenny. Can't see Scarlets rotating as they have a crack at the playoffs so I see a low scoring affair with home side to edge it.
Harlequins +9.5
Quins remind me of the 'Canes in SH rugby. Strong in the dry but suffer in the wet on the road.
Conditions looking clear for the game at the Stoop and with the high tempo game the Quins play, I struggle to see Racing covering a near double digit spread. French sides don't enjoy Champions Cup road games and I feel as if this a couple of points too favourable to the away side.
Once again, team news of paramount importance and this is based on educated speculation.
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- Kirky
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Glasgow v Lyon cancelled (Glasgow players isolating)
Does anyone know why bookies aren't pricing Bordeaux v Dragons ?
There's nothing in the news, just an absence of a price..
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- Brad Breath
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Kirky wrote: Does anyone know why bookies aren't pricing Bordeaux v Dragons ?
There's nothing in the news, just an absence of a price..
Pretty sure its due to the Covid situation at the Dragons.
As well as the Covid absentees, they've also got a lengthy injury list too:
www.southwalesargus.co.uk/sport/18945494...ash-bordeaux-begles/
Books have priced up here today, they have Bordeaux -32
I'm not sure if that will be enough.....but I'm going to await lineups
Edit: Just heard Dragons have another 2 positive cases today, so 2 further players out
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- CLrugby
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@Chris_Lacharge
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- Brent Graham
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Saw CL Rugby post and decided to get this one up early as reckon the line will move in
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- son_of_a_punt
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From our side, we like a few plus plays this weekend.
We have struck on Montpellier +16.5 vs wasps. Wasps missing a few players and this handicap has come in a lot since teams but 15.5 is available at Vegas bets at time of writing.
We also like Bath +15.5 and Munster +10.5 but will probably wait on teams before confirming.
Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
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- Brad Breath
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Wasps much poorer team without Launchbury & J Willis
Took Toulon +2 yesterday, which has shifted a fair bit too
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- Brent Graham
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Thoughts on Sports joins me live at 21h00 to discuss the Currie Cup and European action
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Montpellier +16.5 at 9/10 and +9.5 at 18/10
No play on Scarlets - Toulon.
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- Brent Graham
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Some solid bets and advise
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- Kirky
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I can hear the Bath management discussion: "Chaps, La Rochelle are going to slaughter us over there. How can we slink out of this without showing we're chickens ? Any ideas ?"
"Hey boss, what about we say a bunch of our chaps, maybe we can get as many as 12, were in contact with that Scarlets' fellow who tested positive for bat-flu last week ?"
"What a jolly good idea Arthur, we can even save the cost of travelling to France AND not get a bloody good hiding in the bargain. Tally-ho chaps, let's all go down to the local for a pint..."
Grrrr...
And let it not be said that I'm a cynic
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- mackem
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Rugby/...betting-preview.html
3 units, Tribet, any other result at 22/10 with WSB (neither side to win by 7 or more points)
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- Brad Breath
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Stronger than expected side named, though will still be a nervous one all the way to 80 mins I feel.....
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- Chiefie
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- Chiefie
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Pumas are going to lose this by 25
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- The Vann
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I must tell you CL that The Vann's Christmas was riding on this match. When that clock ran past 80min you were in danger of collecting several extra guests to fight over the turkey. Well done young manCLrugby wrote: I am going on Pumas + and also few coins on a straight win. Cheetahs are collapsing with players leaving every week, Schoeman and Jaer have dropped, Steyn will play at 10, I almost believe Pumas pack will now be stronger than Cheetahs.
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- Delon
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- Chiefie
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- Chiefie
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4 missed kicks in 20 minutes. That’s 11 points missed.
What a garbage game this is. Absolute stinking garbage.
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- Chiefie
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4 missed kicks in 20 minutes. That’s 11 points missed.
What a garbage game this is. Absolute stinking garbage.
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- Quill
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I took some @1.80.
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- coil
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Quill wrote: Montpellier +17.5 at half time (12-7 to Wasps).
I took some @1.80.
Joined u Quill
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- Chiefie
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4 mins to reset one scrum. 4 mins.
And now we’re having lectures before each scrum.
Between 50 - 60 mins, we had two scrums. Reset 7 times. Time to laugh off rugby and focus on league and NFL.
And another 3 min reset scrum. This is a joke.
I’ve needed 1 point in 20 mins. Now 1 point in 9 minutes. Andrew Brace is a disgrace. Clueless.
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- coil
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- Quill
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Quill wrote: Montpellier +17.5 at half time (12-7 to Wasps).
I took some @1.80.
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- southpaw
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Expecting something around 52.5 and will be on or possibly Sharks line if around 25.
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- bradie82
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Leinster vs Saints :
Over 55,5 @ 1.91
Leinster Race 45 @ 1.85
Gloucester vs Ulster:
Over 5,5 tries @ 1.66
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- Brent Graham
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- Laraxwell
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10 minute betting market at Bet365
Over 0.5 penalties scored is 9/2
Also Over 0.5pts for Northampton is 6/1
Worth a flutter at those odds
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- Kirky
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Will the game actually be played ? Yes/No - even money
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- Quill
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Bet 1: Leinster over 44.5 points @1.83
Bet 2: Total over 54.5 points @1.89
Bet 3: Northampton over 10.5 points @1.88
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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They got 22 into the wind now need 25 against it
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- bradie82
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- Experienced Novice
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Half time result: Edinburgh +3.5 @ 9/10
Winning Margin: Sale by 1 - 12 @ 5/4
Total Points: Under 41.5 @ 9/10
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- Brent Graham
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That Leinster came hurt me earlier so firing hard into this one
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- Chiefie
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Never back the overs in a sharks game. That applies to Sale, Natal and Cronulla.
Never follow Brent Graham on his bet. Always oppose. (JK).
If we don’t get to 51 Points, I’m going to fkn lose it
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- The Vann
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Would prefer it if you just got upset/pissed off at your own bets. No need to slag off a fellow punter.Chiefie wrote: I’ve broken the fundamental rules of betting.
Never back the overs in a sharks game. That applies to Sale, Natal and Cronulla.
Never follow Brent Graham on his bet. Always oppose. (JK).
If we don’t get to 51 Points, I’m going to fkn lose it
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- Chiefie
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You see the (JK) - that means just kidding.
Don’t take your overs sharks bet frustration out on me.
Nohambas service is bordering on Cameron Wright levels here. Slow, inconsistent and sloppy. Don’t mentio him being anywhere near being Bok ready.
Jaco peyper has no clue what’s going on at the maul. Players entering from the side. Collapsing. Changing binds. PLAY ON. What a joke
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- The Vann
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Extensive and unending apologies Chiefie - Only bet running at the moment is large on Everton over 1.5 match goals @ 13/10. Landed before half time if you are interested.Chiefie wrote: It’s a joke Vann. A joke.
You see the (JK) - that means just kidding.
Don’t take your overs sharks bet frustration out on me.
Nohambas service is bordering on Cameron Wright levels here. Slow, inconsistent and sloppy. Don’t mentio him being anywhere near being Bok ready.
Jaco peyper has no clue what’s going on at the maul. Players entering from the side. Collapsing. Changing binds. PLAY ON. What a joke
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- Chiefie
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- Kirky
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Drums full of green ink, but I never get to use it.
If my bookie accounts had anything left in them (not gonna replenish them), I would try a strategy of picking a loser, then betting on them.
If I'd been doing that since kung-flu started, I'd be a millionaire now
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- Chiefie
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Firing in to over 46.5 points.
Afternoon game at the stoop, Quins rolling nicely and the french lack of fitness in the last 20 should see some tries being scored.
Would expect there to be at least 50-55 points in the game.
Good luck everyone. And remember. The sharks are kak
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- coil
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My best of the day is probably Quin's plus 5.5 although to be fair I think the over 45.5 in the Connacht game is golden, the referee is a clown called Mike Adamson. Must be the worse referee since old Tapa Henning was on the scene and Carl Spannenberg were plying their trades , Adamson misses everything !!! Which could at times go against points but overall he is a points machine.
Lastly conditions very good in London today , London irish should benefit from that today and there should be plenty of points , I feel this will encourage the Frogs and as a result Pau plus 21.5 is my play .
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