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Super Rugby Trans-Tasman, Rainbow Cup, Premiership + other rugby 11-13 June
- Brent Graham
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Below my handicap projections for the weekend ahead
Super Rugby TT
Hurricanes -7.5 v Reds -Hurricanes have to win to stay alive but deep down they know they are gone
Brumbies +7.5 v Highlanders - Highlanders (2nd) are ahead of Crusaders (3rd) on points difference, they have to push for a bonus point and points difference
Rebels +32.5 v Crusaders - a tough game to cap, Crusaders will know what they have to do and I expect they will get the job done
Blues -28.5 v Force - Blues need to win with a bonus point to guarantee their spot at the top of the log
Waratahs +19.5 v Chiefs - 2 teams with nothing to play for, points should flow
Rainbow Cup SA
Stormers -8.5 v Lions
Sharks +4.5 v Bulls - I think Sharks need to win with a bonus point without the Bulls getting a point
There is also Rainbow Cup Pro 14 and Gallagher Premiership action
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- southpaw
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Will have seen how Canes came unstuck, know they need a win and bonus point too.
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- Brent Graham
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Super Rugby TT
Hurricanes -7.5 v Reds (-12.5)
Brumbies +7.5 v Highlanders (+8.5)
Rebels +32.5 v Crusaders (+25.5)
Blues -28.5 v Force (-25.5)
Waratahs +19.5 v Chiefs (+21.5)
Early thoughts
5 points difference Canes v Reds, if the Reds are at full strength I will be on the plus
7 points difference Rebels game - I like the Crusaders -25.5 and think this line will edge closer to 30
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- Brent Graham
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WSB the same as me on Stormers and a 3 point difference in Sharks game - not sure what to make of it though
Stormers -8.5 v Lions (-8.5)
Sharks +4.5 v Bulls (+1.5)
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- Brent Graham
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Hurricanes v Reds Betting Preview
I have not read Couch's preview yet (I will though Couch I promise) and would be surprised if the name Asafao Aumua did not come up
I have taken his at 12/1 FTS
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Click here for the Podcast
A couple more previews up
Brumbies v Highlanders Betting Preview
Finally settled on Highlanders minus
Rebels v Crusaders Betting Preview
I think this line moves before kick off and if the Highlanders do the business in Canberra it could stretch to the 30's
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- Brent Graham
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Firing the 8/10 half time handicap (-10.5) at Playa
Sharks v Bulls betting preview
Hou by die blou!! Preference for Bulls to lead at the break.
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- Quill
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Following you here and addedsouthpaw wrote: Hurricanes over 35.5 @ evens
Hurricanes -13.5 @1.91
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- Quill
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This looks like a copy-paste of the earlier betsouthpaw wrote: Highlanders over 30.5 @ 10/11
Following.
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- Brent Graham
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have to go for it tomorrow.
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- Bookie Basher
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southpaw wrote: taken Crusaders -27 @ 10/11.
have to go for it tomorrow.
Agree, not just bonus point required but given that Highlanders have a points difference of 103 and Crusaders currently 71 they will have a lot of points to cover.
From a betting point of view, they will have to cover the current -27.5 handicap otherwise they are out of the final given that Blues just need to win their respective game.
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coil wrote: Paris derby tonight and on the plus 9.5 for Stadt
I was thinking the same Coil, but I would rather have a safety net of 3 additional points in the favor of Racing (at better odds as well) by playing Racing to win by 1 - 12 as opposed to Stade on the +9.5 handicap. I really do not think that Stade will be able to beat Racing, so the handicap is not really a value play to me.
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- Quill
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Leinster lost the chance of getting to the finals when they lost away in Glasgow 15-12 last week.
These teams have nothing to play for now, however Leinster will welcome 1200 fans in the stands, which will provide plenty of motivation to end the season on a high.
Bet 1: Team Total Leinster Over 43.5 points @1.91
Bet 2: Leinster -26.5 @1.91
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- Thrasher6
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- Quill
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So even a -39.5 handicap is not out of the question, while the Rebels are without Toomua.
I took the following:
Crusaders over 54.5 points @1.83, bet365
Crusaders over 8.5 tries @2.24
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- Brent Graham
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I think they will try and put pressure on the Blues to get the bonus point win and reckon they will need to win by 40+ to do so
Got -26.5 and also some -30.5 at 11/10 and considering Saders overs
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and couldnt resist Crusaders over 54.5 at Sunbet
FIRE CRUSADERS FIRE
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: taken Crusaders -27 @ 10/11.
have to go for it tomorrow.
For smaller additional interested -
1st try Havili 14/1 ew
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- southpaw
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Will look for a decent tryscorer price in running.
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- Quill
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Blues over 39.5 points @1.86
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- Brent Graham
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Final betting preview - Waratahs v Chiefs
Over 61.5
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Kevin wrote: Bristol - Irish over 57
Agree , have followed
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Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
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