Super Rugby Rd 5, URC Week 12, Gallagher Week 13 22-24 March
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Chased hard and ended up having a massive bet on France -4.5 and -5.5 which went belly up and it is almost with relief that I am going to take a break (as in scaling back) and will only leave small balances in those accounts that still have funds.
I have had a terrible run of wrong calls going for handicaps instead of points and then vice versa (eg France) and have had multiple last minute kicks miss which would have landed bets.
A year ago exactly the opposite happened and I had a crazy run of last minute victories.
I am not bitter at all and really just need a bit of a break away from pressure bets. Will still be playing some accas and perhaps a few 1st try scorers etc
Any here are my Super Rugby Caps for Round 5, there is also URC and Gallagher but I will leave those to the bookies to price up.
Hurricanes -18.5 v Rebels
Brumbies -14.5 v Moana Pasifika
Drua +4.5 v Waratahs
Chiefs -12.5 v Highlanders
Blues -9.5 v Crusaders
Force +9.5 v Reds
Have a good weekend everyone and look out for the live Super Rugby and URC shows
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Offline
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Hurricanes -18.5 (-17.5) v Rebels
Brumbies -14.5 (-13.5) v Moana Pasifika
Drua +4.5 (-3.5) v Waratahs
Chiefs -12.5 (-14.5) v Highlanders
Blues -9.5 (-5.5) v Crusaders
Force +9.5 (+11.5) v Reds
Most are close but big difference Drua game where I made Tahs favs and as Vann suggested my Blues minus was too high although I do like the -5.5 Blues
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
I just read Cardiff will be without T Williams, Botham, Mann, Grady, Winnett and Josh Adams for sure. Martin and Lloyd doubts. Glasgow second unit is very powerful and even without all internationals (I expect some of them back) I think they should win by more than two scores.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
La Rochelle just announced that internationals wont play this week plus Danty and Skelton sanctioned and injured respectively.
Bayonne full strength even with Mori back, at home they are very very strong so should be more favourites here.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Naidoo
- Offline
- Posts: 779
- Thank you received: 444
The weather has not been great leading up to this game and more rain is expected ahead of Saturday. Officials are confident the game will go ahead and the drainage should be fine come Saturday. However, like the game against the Crusaders, this game at Lautoka should be another low scoring game with the humidity causing the players problems. By the 20min mark in the Drua game against Crusaders, both sets of players were breathing heavy and you could see them physically struggling.
I think more of the same is on the cards this Saturday and I am backing another low scoring game in Fiji. Taking a bet builder at Hollywoodbets:
Under 60.5 match points & each team under 32.5 points - 9/10 (Hollywoodbets)
Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
Looks like almost all international players back for both sides (Dupont for sure for ST, Jalibert its still doubt) and they play in the Marmut Atlantique no Chaban Delmas so pitch will be perfect.
Looks like a big overs match.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Click here to set a reminder
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- GoGoNoNo
- Offline
- Posts: 40
- Thank you received: 20
Pablo wrote: Bayonne @1.72 2u
La Rochelle just announced that internationals wont play this week plus Danty and Skelton sanctioned and injured respectively.
Bayonne full strength even with Mori back, at home they are very very strong so should be more favourites here.
Hello Pablo, your information is false, the internationals of La Rochelle will be lined up this weekend.
www.blog-rct.com/la-rochelle-a-pris-sa-d...-ses-internationaux/
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
GoGoNoNo wrote:
Pablo wrote: Bayonne @1.72 2u
La Rochelle just announced that internationals wont play this week plus Danty and Skelton sanctioned and injured respectively.
Bayonne full strength even with Mori back, at home they are very very strong so should be more favourites here.
Hello Pablo, your information is false, the internationals of La Rochelle will be lined up this weekend.
www.blog-rct.com/la-rochelle-a-pris-sa-d...-ses-internationaux/
Its what they said in French TV two days ago, that SR internationals were going to rest this week. But I saw some info today that some of them will play, I don´t see Atonio in that info at least and Boudehent 50/50.
By the way, SR still has lots of absences for this match and Bayonne go full strength. Not an easy place to visit Jean Dauger so I stick to my decision.
PD: not needed to say that something is false or not, sometimes info is correct and sometimes is wrong, but never false. That´s a very strong statement. Relax, chico.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- GoGoNoNo
- Offline
- Posts: 40
- Thank you received: 20
Pablo wrote:
GoGoNoNo wrote:
Pablo wrote: Bayonne @1.72 2u
La Rochelle just announced that internationals wont play this week plus Danty and Skelton sanctioned and injured respectively.
Bayonne full strength even with Mori back, at home they are very very strong so should be more favourites here.
Hello Pablo, your information is false, the internationals of La Rochelle will be lined up this weekend.
www.blog-rct.com/la-rochelle-a-pris-sa-d...-ses-internationaux/
Its what they said in French TV two days ago, that SR internationals were going to rest this week. But I saw some info today that some of them will play, I don´t see Atonio in that info at least and Boudehent 50/50.
By the way, SR still has lots of absences for this match and Bayonne go full strength. Not an easy place to visit Jean Dauger so I stick to my decision.
PD: not needed to say that something is false or not, sometimes info is correct and sometimes is wrong, but never false. That´s a very strong statement. Relax, chico.
Pablo, I am very relaxed and there is no aggression in my message towards you. I just wanted to inform you that the internationals would be available for this match.
I don't speak a word of English and I use a translator to communicate on the forum. Maybe the translation seemed too direct but that was not my intention.
Kind regards
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Rebels over 21.5 at 9/10
Brumbies by 11-20 at 5/2
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Naidoo
- Offline
- Posts: 779
- Thank you received: 444
Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Need to see how bad conditions really are.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Over 5.5 Brumbies tries @ 5/6
This Moana side overdue a poor 80.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Sticking with Brumbies 11-20 at 5/2 for an interest
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Roger Rabbit
- Away
- Posts: 106
- Thank you received: 17
southpaw wrote: Drawn into a Friday interest -
Over 5.5 Brumbies tries @ 5/6
This Moana side overdue a poor 80.
Following you here South, let hope for more of the last game.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
GoGoNoNo wrote:
Pablo wrote:
GoGoNoNo wrote:
Pablo wrote: Bayonne @1.72 2u
La Rochelle just announced that internationals wont play this week plus Danty and Skelton sanctioned and injured respectively.
Bayonne full strength even with Mori back, at home they are very very strong so should be more favourites here.
Hello Pablo, your information is false, the internationals of La Rochelle will be lined up this weekend.
www.blog-rct.com/la-rochelle-a-pris-sa-d...-ses-internationaux/
Its what they said in French TV two days ago, that SR internationals were going to rest this week. But I saw some info today that some of them will play, I don´t see Atonio in that info at least and Boudehent 50/50.
By the way, SR still has lots of absences for this match and Bayonne go full strength. Not an easy place to visit Jean Dauger so I stick to my decision.
PD: not needed to say that something is false or not, sometimes info is correct and sometimes is wrong, but never false. That´s a very strong statement. Relax, chico.
Pablo, I am very relaxed and there is no aggression in my message towards you. I just wanted to inform you that the internationals would be available for this match.
I don't speak a word of English and I use a translator to communicate on the forum. Maybe the translation seemed too direct but that was not my intention.
Kind regards
Understood, maybe translation was not correct and I took it as it was too direct when it wasn't. No worries.
Even with your info, that looks correct after checking other sources, Bayonne at home still looks valuable for me (still Wardi, Atonio, Skelton, Botia, Kerr Barlow, Iribarren, Danty out)
Kind regards
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Roger Rabbit
- Away
- Posts: 106
- Thank you received: 17
Roger Rabbit wrote:
southpaw wrote: Drawn into a Friday interest -
Over 5.5 Brumbies tries @ 5/6
This Moana side overdue a poor 80.
Following you here South, lets hope for more of the last game.
great start to the weekend
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Roger Rabbit wrote:
Roger Rabbit wrote:
southpaw wrote: Drawn into a Friday interest -
Over 5.5 Brumbies tries @ 5/6
This Moana side overdue a poor 80.
Following you here South, lets hope for more of the last game.
great start to the weekend
yeah nice to get Friday and weekend off to a winning start. It seriously puts me on back foot when Friday goes wrong. Am now raring to get stuck into a cracking days rugby tomorrow - SR, URC and womens 6N.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
I like the side named and this pitch should suit the Bulls attack and forwards. It's not a full 4G pitch, it's a hybrid and SA sides prefer this than the full artificial ones like in Cardiff.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Offline
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
Ospreys v Munster
Never know what to expect from Swansea so why should the Ospreys be any different? Taking
Ospreys + 6.5 @ 19/20
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Away
- Posts: 523
- Thank you received: 52
The Vann wrote: Having managed 0 from 5 on the cycling and matched that with 0 from 3 on the cricket I need to round off the evening with a small win
Ospreys v Munster
Never know what to expect from Swansea so why should the Ospreys be any different? Taking
Ospreys + 6.5 @ 19/20
Yep - me too. Strong bench there I think - though dodgy half backs!
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Away
- Posts: 523
- Thank you received: 52
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Naidoo
- Offline
- Posts: 779
- Thank you received: 444
Crusaders +16.5 into Sharks +7.5 @ 21/20
Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Rain predicted at all 3 so a rare unders treble -
Drua game under 6.5 tries
Chiefs game under 7.5 tries
Blues game under 6.5 tries
Treble @ 5/1
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- ash190
- Offline
- Posts: 13
- Thank you received: 2
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Quill
- Online
- Posts: 2576
- Thank you received: 640
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
southpaw wrote: Bit late to the rugby this weekend due to other commitments and haven’t even got a bet down. But I’m looking at that 43.5 line on Fiji and not surprisingly to some the overs punter in me is eyeing it up.
Need to see how bad conditions really are.
No major interest in the 2 early morning games but kicking myself for not sticking to gut on overs on Fiji. I put the game on from recorded, sunshine and knew immediately overs was a runner. I hope bookies got hammered on that overs line.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Best drainage ground in world rugby and conditions ok live.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Quill wrote: Your draw arrives Brent, for entirely different reasons than your preview, but who cares!!
Classic, like South I also recorded and could not believe the conditions
I was picturing a 12-12 draw LOL
Needed that one though
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Stormers Edinburgh over 46.5 @ 20/21
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Away
- Posts: 523
- Thank you received: 52
Jameson wrote: Its a game of two halves!
I don't recall ever losing a bet in the circumstance at the death with the Ospreys. Try line at his mercy and player pulls a hamstring ......
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Over 46.5 Stormers game
Under 50.5 Lions game
Bulls by 11-20 at 5/2
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Offline
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
Jameson wrote:
Jameson wrote: Its a game of two halves!
I don't recall ever losing a bet in the circumstance at the death with the Ospreys. Try line at his mercy and player pulls a hamstring ......
About summed up my day
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
Back square for weekend after Blues Saders match, should have never got involved in overs but thankfully a lesser investment than yesterdays better result.
I’m looking for points in Cape Town and Durban today. Humidity looks ok for Durban standards.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Away
- Posts: 414
- Thank you received: 198
Reds today looked like the had a big hangover.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Laraxwell
- Offline
- Posts: 284
- Thank you received: 59
France v Ireland
Bet :France -40pts @ Boylesports ( -42/43 Bet 365)
France won this fixture 3-53 in Cork last season despite a 22nd minute Red Card
5 of the Irish girls remain so lots of changes/ new players.
7's has been main focus of women's rugby in Ire so I expect a difficult day for the XV side.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4828
- Thank you received: 1056
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
France over 7.5 tries @ 8/10 to recover.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Roger Rabbit
- Away
- Posts: 106
- Thank you received: 17
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Away
- Posts: 523
- Thank you received: 52
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Roger Rabbit
- Away
- Posts: 106
- Thank you received: 17
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- doubler
- Offline
- Posts: 96
- Thank you received: 39
Twitter handle @_1Bitsy
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- doubler
- Offline
- Posts: 96
- Thank you received: 39
doubler wrote: Japan League one: Toshiba Brave Lupus o 6.5 tries (1.83) , starts in 20mins
5 first half tries then only 1 second half try by Toshiba in the 75th minute. There's bad beats and then there's terrible ones!
Twitter handle @_1Bitsy
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.