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- Super Rugby Week 12, URC Week 16, Gallagher Week 17 + other rugby 10-12 May
Super Rugby Week 12, URC Week 16, Gallagher Week 17 + other rugby 10-12 May
- Brent Graham
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Battling to find the middle of the bat at the moment. and hopefully things will turn this week
Here are my Super Rugby handicap projections
Moana Pasifika +25.5 v Chiefs (in Auckland)
Reds -11.5 v Rebels
Blues -5.5 v Hurricanes
Highlanders +1.5 v Crusaders
Waratahs +1.5 v Brumbies
Force -8.5 v Drua
The URC is back, here are my handicaps, don't have a strong feel for the URC at the moment - team news going to be critical and expecting to be well out on a few
Edinburgh -18.5 v Zebre
Dragons +9.5 v Stormers
Bulls -6.5 v Glasgow (assuming Glasgow send a strong team to defend top spot)
Scarlets +10.5 v Ulster
Sharks -4.5 v Benetton (reckon Sharks rest a few, Benetton will surely throw everything into URC now)
Lions -16.5 v Cardiff
Munster -9.5 v Connacht
Leinster -10.5 v Ospreys (assume Leinster rest a few and play a hybrid team)
This thread can also cover any other rugby including the Gallagher Prem.
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- Kirky
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Newcastle Falcons +21.5 vs Bath
Sale Sharks -4.5 vs Leicester Tigers
Bristol +4.5 vs Saracens
Northampton Saints -19.5 vs Gloucester (Assuming Saints will be all in, and Gloucester to rest a few)
Exeter Chiefs -3.5 vs Harlequins (Assuming Quins will rest a few)
Only two more weeks of regular Premiership to go
My face is still red from my almost fatal tits-up -1.5's, which I compounded with a 5 units punt at Toulouse -17.5.
Stopped watching at half time and everything looking Rosie, but alas. Not really surprised.
Best of luck to us all
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- hanrick
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Brent Graham wrote: An up and down weekend for me for the most part but a significant loss on Leinster and also Toulouse minuses meant it was a poor one for me.
Battling to find the middle of the bat at the moment. and hopefully things will turn this week
Here are my Super Rugby handicap projections
Moana Pasifika +25.5 v Chiefs (in Auckland)
Reds -11.5 v Rebels
Blues -5.5 v Hurricanes
Highlanders +1.5 v Crusaders
Waratahs +1.5 v Brumbies
Force -8.5 v Drua
The URC is back, here are my handicaps, don't have a strong feel for the URC at the moment - team news going to be critical and expecting to be well out on a few
Edinburgh -18.5 v Zebre
Dragons +9.5 v Stormers
Bulls -6.5 v Glasgow (assuming Glasgow send a strong team to defend top spot)
Scarlets +10.5 v Ulster
Sharks -4.5 v Benetton (reckon Sharks rest a few, Benetton will surely throw everything into URC now)
Lions -16.5 v Cardiff
Munster -9.5 v Connacht
Leinster -10.5 v Ospreys (assume Leinster rest a few and play a hybrid team)
This thread can also cover any other rugby including the Gallagher Prem.
Drua will beat the Force. Would love a plus of converted try or more on the Drua
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- hanrick
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Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Moana Pasifika +25.5 (+29.5) v Chiefs
Reds -11.5 (-11.5) v Rebels
Blues -5.5 (-1.5) v Hurricanes
Highlanders +1.5 (+5.5) v Crusaders
Waratahs +1.5 (+10.5) v Brumbies
Force -8.5 (+1.5) v Drua
Force outright at 13/10 my early play
Also taking a double Blues -1.5 Waratahs +10.5 at 5/2
Also Blues, Highlanders and Force to win at 12/1
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- TheAdmiral
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Think zebre +25 vs Edinburgh may be too big, but not getting involved yet.
In super rugby my early fancy is force on the board, I capped it exactly where you had it Brent. However there’s been some early money for the Drua so I’ll wait until it settles down. The Farce may be bad but the Drua have never won an away game apart from Moana (does that really count). The force have also won their last 2 home games vs Crusaders and Reds
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- southpaw
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hanrick wrote: I've taken the Junior Boks -3.5 at 9/10 against Australia in the under 20 Rugby Championship. Australia playing at home, but after the first games last week I expected the Boks to closer to double digit favourites. Australia looked terrible against Argentina and the Boks impressed me against NZ.
Looks like good early value. Wonder if it will be like water polo again? Total lines in low 40s so bookies a bit more awake this time.
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- hanrick
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southpaw wrote:
hanrick wrote: I've taken the Junior Boks -3.5 at 9/10 against Australia in the under 20 Rugby Championship. Australia playing at home, but after the first games last week I expected the Boks to closer to double digit favourites. Australia looked terrible against Argentina and the Boks impressed me against NZ.
Looks like good early value. Wonder if it will be like water polo again? Total lines in low 40s so bookies a bit more awake this time.
Hopefully more like a swimming pool than a rugby field again. Rain throughout the day and strong wind tomorrow in Bokarina. Drainage didn't look good on Thursday judging by all the puddles and with the ground already soaked after last week's rain I expect a few puddles again tomorrow. Even at 10 points lower quote I fancy the unders. Lots of changes to all 4 teams also can't be good for attacking synchronisation.
Edit: The wind favoured the one team heavily on Thursday. With a strong wind predicted again, it could be wise to back the team playing with the wind in the 2nd half at halftime.
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Pablo
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Attention in Top14 because there's only 4 rounds left and some teams are very concerned about JIFF's. Clermont and Montpellier far away of minimum required so they should rotate heavily at least one of those rounds and this one sounds right to do It as they play away from home.
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- Brent Graham
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Edinburgh -18.5 (-24.5) v Zebre my cap was wrong
Dragons +9.5 (+10.5)v Stormers
Bulls -6.5 (-12.5) v Glasgow would like to see Glasgow team, if full strength I think they could push Bulls
Scarlets +10.5 (+8.5) v Ulster
Sharks -4.5(-8.5) v Benetton I am expecting Sharks to rest players, Benetton may as well I guess - no action yet
Lions -16.5 (-14.5) v Cardiff - believe this opened -7.5 overseas
Munster -9.5 (-10.5) v Connacht
Leinster -10.5 (-16.5) v Ospreys I expect Leinster to rest 1st XV, if so +16.5 may be worth a go
In short too many unknowns for me to get involved at this point but will be watching markets and team talk with interest
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- wslark1
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- Brad Breath
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- Kirky
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Pro D2 all the favorites (8 home teams) to win for 2 units at 8.40
Top 14 all the Saturday favorites (6 home teams)
3 for the W, then Toulonne -14.5, Pau -17.5, Perpignon -10.5, for 2 units at 14.50
All at Pokerbet.
When the caps out at Sunbet, I'll repeat these bets with them
Hope I get to shout 'bingo' a couple of times after last week's balls-up
Best of luck and all that
No bingos. Train wreck of a weekend for me overall 
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- Brent Graham
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Super Rugby Picks and the 4 URC matches not featuring SA teams will be posted here
Small interest Reds -14.5 and Chiefs -27.5 this morning
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- Brent Graham
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- Pablo
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Dax rotates but nice compo, with this weather line should be around 45.5 so some value here.
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- southpaw
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- Wager Warlock
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Stormers, Bulls, Sharks & Lions To Win By 10+ | Was 12 Now @15
and
Bulls, Sharks & Lions To Win By 10+ | Was 8 Now @10
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- Pablo
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Looks like a big big home win, o43.5 also worth 2u
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- southpaw
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- Jameson
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- henryscat
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- Roger Rabbit
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No one likes a bullyhenryscat wrote: Stormers being bullied by the worst team in Wales.
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- Jameson
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Jameson wrote: Dragons +15 @ evens
Arse.
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- coil
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Benetton to shock the Sharks at 9/2
Lions v Cardiff Preview
Lions over 35.5
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- Pablo
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Pablo wrote: O40.5 dax-agen @1.83 2u
Dax rotates but nice compo, with this weather line should be around 45.5 so some value here.
Nice end of the season
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- Chiefie
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Lock of the day. Expecting blues to suffocate them canes.
Can see this ending 26-17, something like that.
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- southpaw
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- Kirky
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100% Spot-on. Great call PabloPablo wrote: O40.5 dax-agen @1.83 2u
Dax rotates but nice compo, with this weather line should be around 45.5 so some value here.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote: Blues Hurricanes Under 52.5 at 5/6
Lock of the day. Expecting blues to suffocate them canes.
Can see this ending 26-17, something like that.
Very shit indeed.
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- southpaw
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Over 53.5 @ 5/6 highlanders crusaders.
This ground has not been good for points this season which is odd as used to be guaranteed in past. Looking for a trend change and both sides to throw it about.
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- Jameson
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- Jameson
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Still, it all ends well.
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- Brent Graham
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- shaft
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I can’t get on myself but would’ve been all over Griekwas -49.5 at WSB.
Griekwas have been strengthened by Stormers fringe players. Could get really ugly for SWD.
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Pablo
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Bayonne +5.5 @1.80 for 1u
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- Matador
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Brent Graham wrote: Sharks v Benetton Preview
Benetton to shock the Sharks at 9/2
Lions v Cardiff Preview
Lions over 35.5
Hats off to you Mr Graham!!!! Well freaking done!
Absolute sh*tshow of a team the Sharks are.
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- Jameson
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Matador wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Sharks v Benetton Preview
Benetton to shock the Sharks at 9/2
Lions v Cardiff Preview
Lions over 35.5
Hats off to you Mr Graham!!!! Well freaking done!
Absolute sh*tshow of a team the Sharks are.
Hats back on for the Lions game!
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- Jameson
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25pt start is still big though so a small interest in overs @54.5
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- Brent Graham
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Will finish ahead this weekend but once again feel like the big one got away
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- Chiefie
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Jameson wrote: Leinster fielding a stronger team than I was expecting. Its more like Ireland v Ospreys.
25pt start is still big though so a small interest in overs @54.5
Went under 70.5 at HT.
4 tries in 10 mins kills my bet.
Fucking hell.
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- Jameson
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Chiefie wrote:
Jameson wrote: Leinster fielding a stronger team than I was expecting. Its more like Ireland v Ospreys.
25pt start is still big though so a small interest in overs @54.5
Went under 70.5 at HT.
4 tries in 10 mins kills my bet.
Fucking hell.
lol you must be lucky at something dude
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- Chiefie
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Jameson wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Jameson wrote: Leinster fielding a stronger team than I was expecting. Its more like Ireland v Ospreys.
25pt start is still big though so a small interest in overs @54.5
Went under 70.5 at HT.
4 tries in 10 mins kills my bet.
Fucking hell.
lol you must be lucky at something dude
I did have a few decent wins yesterday, but that was a bad loss. I think the bet was right. Leinster won the second half 40-0, with 4 of 6 tries in the final 10.
State of welsh rugby is not good, not good at all.
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