UFC Fight Night takes place at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington on Saturday the 28th of March (early morning in South Africa) with a middleweight bout headlining the event as Israel Adesanya faces Joe Pyfer. We take a closer look at the Main Event as well as two additional fights on the Main Card from a betting perspective and put together a 15.05 treble.
Click here to bet on the full fight card.
ISRAEL ADESANYA vs JOE PYFER
Middleweight – Main Event:
Israel Adesanya enters this headline bout holding a professional record of 12 wins and 5 losses under the organisation. The former champion remains one of the most experienced fighters in the middleweight division, known for his elite striking, movement and ability to control fights over five rounds.
He last fought in February 2025 where he suffered a second-round knockout defeat to Nassourdine Imavov. Prior to that he lost via submission to Dricus Du Plessis in August 2024 and also suffered a unanimous decision defeat to Sean Strickland in September 2023. Earlier in his career he recorded major victories over Alex Pereira, Robert Whittaker and Jared Cannonier during his title reign which spanned roughly five years.
Joe Pyfer comes into this fight with a tally of 6 wins and 1 loss inside the UFC. The American middleweight has built a reputation as a powerful and aggressive finisher with multiple stoppage victories in recent fights.
His latest appearance came in October 2025 where he submitted Abus Magomedov in the second round. Prior to that he secured a unanimous decision win over Kelvin Gastelum in June 2025 and knocked out Marc-Andre Barriault in June 2024. His only recent defeat came in a five-round decision loss to Jack Hermansson in February 2024.
BETTING – click here to bet
Adesanya 1.67
Pyfer 2.25
PREDICTION:
Adesanya brings the higher level experience and striking ability, while Pyfer carries serious power and finishing ability. If Adesanya can manage distance and control the pace he should be able to outpoint Pyfer over the rounds. I am expecting Adesanya to win by decision.
MMA Double Up
Single/ Straight bets only.
Pre-match bets only.
Free Bets do not count towards this offer.
Refund must be claimed within 24 hours of the fight finishing.
Refund limited to 1 refund per customer per event.
Free Bet vouchers received must be used within 7 days.
Max refund per account per day in Free Bets:
Free Bets terms and conditions apply.
Simply email
ALEXA GRASSO vs MAYCEE BARBER
Women’s Flyweight – Co-Main Event:
Alexa Grasso enters this contest with a professional record of 8 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw. The Mexican flyweight is a well-rounded fighter with solid boxing and submission ability, highlighted by her submission championship victory over Valentina Shevchenko in early 2023.
She last fought in May 2025 where she suffered a unanimous decision defeat to Natalia Silva. Before that she lost a decision to Valentina Shevchenko in September 2024 after previously fighting her to a draw in 2023.
Maycee Barber comes into this bout holding a resume of 10 wins and 2 losses within the UFC. The American contender has been in strong form over the past few years and has built a solid winning streak in the flyweight division currently on 7 fights without a loss.
Her most recent outing came in December 2025 where she secured a unanimous decision victory over Karine Silva. Prior to that she recorded decision wins over Katlyn Cerminara and Andrea Lee and a knockout victory over Amanda Ribas before that.
BETTING – click here to bet
Grasso 2.60
Barber 1.54
PREDICTION:
This looks like a competitive fight between two high-level flyweights. Grasso has championship experience and strong boxing skills, while Barber has momentum and physical strength. This could be a close fight, but Barber’s recent form and consistency may lean things in her favour as the fight progresses. I am expecting Barber to win by decision.
MICHAEL CHIESA vs NIKO PRICE
Welterweight – Main Card Bout:
Michael Chiesa enters the octagon with a UFC record of 13 wins and 7 losses. The American welterweight is known for his grappling and submission talent and has picked up several strong wins in the last few years.
He last fought in June 2025 where he earned a unanimous decision victory over Court McGee which followed a submission triumph over Max Griffin in December 2024 and he also submitted Tony Ferguson in August 2024, reflecting solid form on the canvas.
Niko Price steps into the octagon with a tally of 8 wins, 10 losses and 2 no contests. Price is known as an aggressive and unpredictable fighter with knockout power but has struggled with consistency throughout his career under the institution.
His latest appearance came in February 2026 where he suffered a first-round knockout defeat to Nikolay Veretennikov. Before that he lost via submission to Jacobe Smith in June 2025 and dropped a decision to Themba Gorimbo in October 2024.
BETTING – click here to bet
Chiesa 1.12
Price 6.75
PREDICTION:
Chiesa has the stronger grappling and more consistent recent form, while Price is always dangerous with his striking. If Chiesa can bring the fight to the ground, he should be able to control proceedings and look for a submission. I am expecting Chiesa to win via submission.
SUGGESTED BETS:
Adesanya vs Pyfer
Adesanya by Decision at 2.90
Grasso vs Barber
Barber by Decision at 3.00
Chiesa vs Price
Chiesa by Submission 1.73
All 3 of my bets to win works out at a juicy 15.05
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but subject to change.