UFC Fight Night takes place at the O2 Arena in London, England on Saturday the 21st of March with a featherweight bout headlining the event as Movsar Evloev faces Lerone Murphy. We take a closer look at the Main Event as well as two additional fights on the Main Card from a betting perspective below.
Click here to bet on the full fight card.
MOVSAR EVLOEV vs LERONE MURPHY
Featherweight – Main Event:
Movsar Evloev steps into this headline bout holding a UFC record of 9 wins without a loss. The Russian featherweight has built a reputation as one of the most consistent operators in the division, using his strong wrestling base, relentless pressure and control to wear opponents down across three rounds.
He last fought in December 2024 where he earned a unanimous decision victory over Aljamain Sterling. Prior to that he secured another unanimous decision win against Arnold Allen in January 2024 and had earlier recorded a unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes in May 2023.
Lerone Murphy arrives with a tally of 9 wins and 1 draw without a defeat within the institution. The English contender has developed into a polished and dangerous fighter, combining sharp striking with patience and composure. Murphy has shown the ability to control distance effectively while also carrying enough power to trouble opponents when openings appear.
His latest action came in August 2025 where he secured a first-round knockout victory over Aaron Pico. Before that he earned a five-round unanimous decision win against Josh Emmett in April 2025 and defeated Dan Ige by unanimous decision in October 2024.
BETTING – click here to bet
Evloev 1.40
Murphy 3.00
PREDICTION:
Evloev brings the stronger wrestling foundation and a style built around control, while Murphy offers the cleaner striking and comes into this fight with strong momentum. This could be a close tactical contest but Evloev’s ability to close distance and bank control time may prove decisive. I am expecting Evloev to edge out a decision victory.
LUKE RILEY vs MICHAEL ASWELL
Featherweight – Co-Main Event:
Luke Riley enters this fight with a UFC record of 1 win without a loss and overall professional record of 12-0. The English prospect has quickly earned attention as a dangerous finisher, showing strong attacking instincts and confidence when he gets on the front foot.
His most recent appearance came in November 2025 where he stopped Bogdan Grad by second-round knockout, prior to this he was on a solid run of form under the Cage Warriors organisation.
Michael Aswell steps into this bout with 1 win and 1 loss behind him in the UFC. The American has shown that he carries danger early in fights and can produce a finish when opportunities present themselves. At the same time, his short run under the promotion has also highlighted some inconsistency.
Aswell last competed in October 2025 where he secured a first-round knockout victory over Lucas Almeida. Before that he suffered a unanimous decision defeat to Bolaji Oki in June 2025.
BETTING – click here to bet
Riley 1.49
Aswell 2.70
PREDICTION:
Riley looks like the more polished fighter and should have the edge in confidence, especially with the support behind him in England. Aswell has power and could be dangerous early but Riley’s pressure and finishing ability make him the more likely winner. I am expecting Riley to secure a stoppage victory early on.
MICHAEL PAGE vs SAM PATTERSON
Welterweight – Main Card Bout:
Michael Page enters the octagon with a UFC record of 3 wins and 1 loss. The English veteran is known for his unique striking style, excellent movement and ability to manage range with precision.
He last stepped into the octagon in August 2025 where he earned a unanimous decision victory over Jared Cannonier. Prior to that he defeated Shara Magomedov by unanimous decision in February 2025 but had earlier suffered a unanimous decision defeat to Ian Machado Garry in June 2024.
Sam Patterson possesses 4 wins and 1 loss since his debut for the UFC. The English welterweight has proven to be a dangerous finisher with both his striking and submission game, often wasting little time when opportunities present themself.
His latest appearance came in September 2025 where he scored a first-round knockout victory over Trey Waters. Before that he earned another first-round knockout against Danny Barlow in March 2025 and submitted Kiefer Crosbie in the opening round in July 2024.
BETTING – click here to bet
Page 1.53
Patterson 2.60
PREDICTION:
Page has the experience and striking craft to frustrate opponents over three rounds but Patterson’s finishing threat makes him a live underdog throughout the fight. If Patterson can force exchanges or bring his grappling into play he could create problems, though Page’s movement and accuracy may allow him to stay in control for long stretches. I am expecting Page to get the job done by decision.
SUGGESTED BETS:
Evloev vs Murphy
Evloev by Decision at 1.87
Riley vs Aswell
Riley by Knockout at 3.15
Page vs Patterson
Page by Decision at 3.15
The treble of all 3 of my best to win works out to 18.56
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but subject to change.
