Round 7 of the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific season is complete and in this blog we list the results and look at how they have impacted the standings before turning our attention to a reduced Round 8 from a betting angle.
Bet: Reds v Force
Posted 03 April 22h54
2 units (1-5) Reds -12.5 at 10/11 at WSB
The Reds have struggled on their travels this season but they remain a challenge to beat at home. The Force were decent in going down by 10 points at home to the Chiefs last week but their defence has generally been poor this season and I expect the Reds to put them away.
The points line is 56.5 and while there is rain forecast much earlier in the day conditions should be good.
Having come in from -14.5 Reds to -11.5 I see there is some -13.5 around suggesting late money for the Reds.
Bet: Chiefs v Waratahs
Posted 03 April 14h35
2 units (1-5) Waratahs under 21.5 points at 19/20 at Hollywoodbets
I handicapped this game Chiefs -21.5 and after opening -15.5 it has settled around the -18.5 and -19.5 mark.
The points line is 62.5 and while weather looks good for most of the day there is a chance of showers around game time.
Based on my handicap projection I am leaning Chiefs here in what is an important game for the playoffs, but my preference is for Waratahs unders. They have scored 19 ad 20 points against Kiwi opposition this season and those games were at home.
Bet: Crusaders v Drua
Posted 02 April 21h15
2 units (1-5) Crusaders over 43.5 points at 10/11 at WSB
I handicapped this game Crusaders -27.5 and after opening -23.5 it has edged to -25.5. This will be the last game at the Apollo Stadium and I fancy the Crusaders to put on a show in good conditions.
The over 61.5 is tempting but I prefer the Crusaders overs.
Betting Update
Posted 02 April 09h15
Below the latest betting and points lines
Crusaders -25.5 v Fijian Drua, Points 61.5
Chiefs -18.5 v Waratahs, Points 61.5
Reds -11.5 v Western Force, Points 58.5
All 3 line have moved towards my handicap and now sit pretty much exactly in the middle
Round 8 - Early Handicaps
Posted 30 March 06h32
The caps are out for the round 8 matches and they are in brackets next to my projections
Crusaders -27.5 (-23.5) v Fijian Drua
Chiefs -15.5 (-21.5) v Waratahs
Reds -8.5 (-14.5) v Western Force
Some big differences of opinion between me and the bookies but I am not confident in my Super Rugby capping and will wait to see what the market does.
Round 8 Handicap Projections
Posted 29 March 17h34
Here are my handicap projections which will be compared to the bookies tomorrow
Crusaders -27.5 v Fijian Drua
Chiefs -15.5 v Waratahs
Reds -8.5 v Western Force
ROUND 7 RESULTS
Posted 29 March 11h00
Moana Pasifika 19–39 Highlanders – Pasifika started +15.5 and no points in the last 20 minutes meant my Pasifika overs play at 23.5 lost
Brumbies 28–30 Waratahs – Brumbies were -12.5 so this was an upset. I was on under 58.5 and lost with under 2 minutes to play
Hurricanes 52–14 Reds – Hurricanes started -12.5 and beat the cap comfortably. I never got involved.
Blues 40–15 Fijian Drua – the Blues started -21.5 and I took them to win by 21-30 at 57/20 with the minus and the bet landing on the hooter
Western Force 14–24 Chiefs – I was on under 58.5 and it arrived easily as the Force beat the +12.5 handicap
LEAGUE TABLE UPDATE
After seven rounds the Hurricanes remain top of the Super Rugby Pacific standings with 25 points from six matches, continuing their strong run at the top.
The Blues are level on 25 points in 2nd place, having played one game more, while the ACT Brumbies sit 3rd on 20 points.
The Queensland Reds are 4th on 18 points, with the Chiefs moving into 5th on 17 points following their win over the Force.
The Crusaders occupy 6th place on 14 points, level with the NSW Waratahs in 7th, while the Highlanders are 8th also on 14 points.
Further down, the Fijian Drua sit 9th on 8 points, likely out of playoff (top 6) contention, with the Western Force and Moana Pasifika both on 4 points at the bottom end of the table.
ROUND 8 FIXTURES
Friday 3 April 2026
Crusaders v Fijian Drua (08:05)
Saturday 4 April 2026
Chiefs v Waratahs (08:05)
Reds v Western Force (10:35)
I will be back shortly with my handicap projections for Round 8.
