Round 13 of the 2025/26 United Rugby Championship season is complete and in this blog we look at the results before looking ahead to Round 14 from a betting angle.

Bet: Stormers v Edinburgh 

Posted March 28 10h44

2 units Edinburgh over 14.5 points at 0.84/1 at Pokerbet

Pokerbet are getting plenty of my business this week and once again I am heading their way. Edinburgh were poor last week but like Southpaw in the forum I am expecting improvement and in dry conditions I am looking for at least 15 points from them. 

The handicap is -19.5 Stormers and I like Edinburgh to cover that but will stick to the points play. 

Bet: Lions v Dragons 

Posted March 28 10h36

2 units under 56.5 points at 0.92/1 at Pokerbet 

The Lions are -19.5 and I reckon this game is well capped. If pushed I would lean Dragons plus.

I got burnt going unders at Ellis Park last week in similar conditions to what we have today with cloud and rain about but also sun at times. I am going back to the well as I think conditions will be sticky and the pitch has also taken alot of rain of late. 

Saturday Betting 

Posted March 28 09h41 

Below the latest handicaps and points lines, I will be posting some thoughts and bets on the Lions and Stormers games. 

Bulls -15.5 v Munster, 56.5 points
Connacht Rugby -10.5 v Ospreys, 50.5 points
Lions -19.5 v Dragons, 56.5 points
Stormers -19.5 v Edinburgh Rugby, 52.5 points
Zebre +11.5 v Ulster, 49.5 points

 

Bet: Bulls v Munster 

Posted March 28 06h06

2.5 units (1-5) over 53.5 points at 0.88/1 at Pokerbet 

The Bulls are -14.5 and the points line rages from 53.5 to 56.5. 

There is the possibility of showers at Loftus but with an afternoon kickoff I simply have to take the 53.5 which will probably go in the next hour as South African punters (like me) wake up for the day. 

Even at 56,5 I am leaning overs but at that level prefer the Munster over 20.5 

Bet: Sharks v Cardiff 

Posted 26 March 23h00

2 units under 48.5 points at 9/10 at Pokerbet 

The Sharks are big favourites here at -19.5 after their crushing win over Munster last week. Cardiff were hammered by the Bulls but after a slow start they held the Bulls to 7-0 in the 2nd half. 

Durban on a Friday night generally screams unders to me and with the possibility of storms I am going to stick with that strategy. 

 

URC Betting Update 

Posted March 26 20h33

Below the latest handicaps, 

Sharks -19.5 v Cardiff Rugby, Points 48.5
Leinster -26.5 v Scarlets, Points 53.5 
Glasgow Warriors -19.5 v Benetton Treviso, 50.5 points
Bulls -13.5 v Munster
Connacht Rugby -8.5 v Ospreys
Lions -19.5 v Dragons
Stormers -18.5 v Edinburgh Rugby
Zebre +10.5 v Ulster

 

Round 14 Early Handicaps 

Posted 23 March 20h02

Below are the early handicaps (I may have missed a few moves)

Sharks -20.5 v Cardiff Rugby
Leinster -21.5 v Scarlets
Glasgow Warriors -17.5 v Benetton Treviso
Bulls -11.5 v Munster
Connacht Rugby -8.5 v Ospreys
Lions -19.5 v Dragons
Stormers -19.5 v Edinburgh Rugby
Zebre +10.5 v Ulster

 
 

ROUND 13 RESULTS

Posted 22 March

Vodacom Bulls 40–7 Cardiff Rugby – the suggested -21.5 Bulls arrived comfortably in a game of 2 halves (40 points in the 1st and just 7 in the 2nd)
Scarlets 36–17 Zebre Parma – Scarlets beat the -16.5 handicap. No bet was made.
Ulster 19–26 Connacht – Ulster were -10.5 but were rolled at home. No bet was made.
Fidelity ADT Lions 54–17 Edinburgh – Lions were backed from -10.5 to -13.5 and the money was spot on. I was on under 53.5 and that was always in trouble.
Hollywoodbets Sharks 45–0 Munster – I took the Sharks by 8-14 and they started -6.5 a handicap they made a mockery of.
Benetton 31–19 Ospreys – Benetton beat the -6.5 handicap, No bet was made.
Glasgow Warriors 38–17 Leinster – Leinster were backed from +3.5 to slight favourites but the Warriors were too strong. I didn’t get involved.
DHL Stormers 29–21 Dragons – The Stormers started -29.5 and I backed them to score over 6.5 tries but after a fast start they were poor.

LEAGUE TABLE UPDATE

After 13 rounds the playoff picture is becoming clearer with a strong group beginning to pull away at the top of the standings.

The Glasgow Warriors lead the table in 1st place on 50 points, extending their advantage at the summit. The DHL Stormers have moved into 2nd place on 46 points, making them the leading South African side and firmly on track for a home playoff.

Ulster sit 3rd on 42 points, with Leinster in 4th on 41 points, keeping both sides well positioned inside the top four.

Just outside the top four are Cardiff Rugby in 5th on 40 points and Munster in 6th on 39 points, while the Fidelity ADT Lions have climbed to 7th on 38 points after an impressive win in Round 13.

The Vodacom Bulls now occupy 8th place on 35 points, holding the final playoff spot, although Connacht in 9th (also on 35 points) remain right on the cutoff line.

From a South African perspective the Hollywoodbets Sharks sit 11th on 29 points and will need a strong finish to break into the top eight.

With several teams tightly grouped around the playoff positions the battle for the top eight looks set to intensify over the coming rounds.

ROUND 14 FIXTURES

I will be back to look at the early handicaps on Monday.

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