All Football Tips w/c 15th May

Leicester vs Liverpool

Looking at this match I've come across the fact that Jamie Vardy, who has been playing well in the past three games, scored twice and shot on target 6 times in 186 minutes.

Dean Smith changed Leicester into an offensive team. After four matches in charge their attack has generated 10 big scoring chances and scored 8 goals.
He hasn’t really changed the formation from what Brendan Rodgers was playing, but he is playing an attacking style of football.

Liverpool were very fortunate to have couple of offsides called on Brentford, including a goal that got cancelled for offside.
Liverpool’s offense has been creating a lot of chances since Jurgen Klopp put Trent Alexander-Arnold into midfield.

Given how Leicester are playing under Smith, this is going to be an open match, so I'm betting on Vardy to play a good game at home and goals.

Bet 1: Vardy over 0.5 shots on target @1.80
Bet 2: Over 3.25 goals @1.96
Bet 3: Bet builder - Vardy over 0.5 shots on target + over 2.5 goals @2.40

Leicester v Liverpool
Like that Quill pick of a Vardy shot on target and have taken that at 9/10.
Also think this is last chance saloon for Leicester and they may as well throw caution to the wind and go for it.

Leicester over 1.5 match goals @ 17/10

Holding that 11/1 Milan to exit in the semi's ticket so quite happy at this point in time.

Luton v Sunderland
Made a few bucks on the Sunderland over 1.5 goals last time out and think there is value in this bet again. Luton are very comfortable playing on the break - possession at Kenilworth Road last time out against Millwall 40%. Away to Blackburn possession of 38%. Now they have to win a match and the fans are going to demand they own the ball. I think Sunderland may just pick them apart here

Sunderland over 1.5 match goals @ 23/10

Smalls on the Milan Derby

Inter v Milan
Was hoping Inzaghi may start Lukaku for that 19/10 ATGS but he has gone with Dzeko. Expect this to be a war of attrition so taking a few beers

BTTS - No @ evens

Man City vs Real Madrid

At bet365 I have this mega boost (up from 1.50): Haaland over 0.5 shots on goal + Benzema over 0.5 shots on goal @2.00

I saw this double @1.80 as well.

Stiffs on Sunderland last night Chris. Had that sinking feeling when the simple hand-ball was missed minutes after the Luton goal. A really poor call from the officials.

Man City v Real Madrid
A few beers for the watch this evening
ATGS Vinicus + Real Madrid over 1.5 goals @ 6/1

Newcastle vs Brighton

Callum Wilson is in great form for Newcastle, with 7 goals in the last 5 games.

Bet 1: Callum Wilson to have 1 or more shots on target In 1st Half @2.25
Bet 2: Bet builder - C. Wilson over 0.5 shots on target in the match + Newcastle or Draw + Over 1.5 goals @2.10

A-League semifinal, second leg

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC

in Sydney it was 1-1.

Both teams are scoring, have good attacking players.
There will be no away goals rule, so they have to go for it here.

Bet 1: BTTS Yes and over 2.5 goals @2.10
Bet 2: Sydney to win by 1 goal margin @7.10 - cheap beer money
Bet 3: Melbourne to win by 1 goal margin @3.75 - cheap beer money

Brentford started life without Toney last week by scoring two goals and managing 24 shots. Caught some of the match and they had that cavalier end of season look so may be a bit of a handful for Spurs today

Spurs v Brentford
Brentford over 1.5 match goals @ 7/4

BTTS - Yes at
Spurs
Fulham
Notts Forest
@ 9/2

Bournemouth v Man Utd
Still no Rashford so goals at a premium. Varane is back so Shaw will overlap with Sancho who is allergic to shooting.

Match goals under 2.5 @ 33/20
ATGS Shaw @ 11/1

Brighton vs Southampton

The bets on Southampton not to score a goal and BTTS No are below 2.00, whereas a bet for Brighton to win to nil is 2.10.
I think Brighton will win and I'm taking it to win to nil for some value.

Brighton to win to nil @2.10