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- Super Rugby Unlocked, Mitre 10, Tri Nations, Autumn Nations + other 09-16 Nov
Super Rugby Unlocked, Mitre 10, Tri Nations, Autumn Nations + other 09-16 Nov
- Brent Graham
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We also have 2 Pro 14 games tonight
A decent weekend for me with the Best Bet arriving (u54.5 in Durban) and I was cruising heading into Lions v Bulls but got a bit greedy with Lions o25.5 points
Here are my SR Unlocked handicap projections (where I think the cap will be set not where I would set it)
Griquas +18.5 v Sharks
Lions -17.5 v Pumas
Stormers -4.5 v Cheetahs
New Zealand are currently -20.5 v Argentina in the Tri Nations
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- CLrugby
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Counties (+1.5) - South
Northland (+11.5) - Waikato
Otago (+10.5) - Tasman
Wellington (-23.5) - Manawatu
BOP (-1.5) - NH
Taranaki (+4.5) - HB
Cant (+2.5) - Auckland
@Chris_Lacharge
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- bradie82
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Second spot for me is Counties Manukau @ 1.91 on the board - once again I lay Southland as canot understand how they can be favorite away
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- CLrugby
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bradie82 wrote: Seeing Canterbury dog at home is like seeing Southland favorite away - that never happen so last time I went with Manawatu on the board, this time i ll take Canterbury @ 2.15 on the board - Auckland just need 1 point to secure top spot and might even not need any if Tasman does not do the job in Otago
Second spot for me is Counties Manukau @ 1.91 on the board - once again I lay Southland as canot understand how they can be favorite away
Agree I am heavy so far on both Canterbury +2.5 and Counties +1.5, these odds won’t last long and we can always counter bet if something happens with the lineups. I don’t expect Counties to drop a last match home (I guess Reid will play) and well Canterbury will be playing their survival and we saw last week that they still have a taste for blood
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- RuggaBugga
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I make the Cantabs good things as Auckland may rest their to top players for the Semi's
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- Shazzadude
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I think there is a good chance Auckland, Otago and Hawke’s Bay rest players this week.
Canterbury bashed in from +4.5 to -3.5 by savvy punters
Kiwi living in Australia
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- bradie82
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RuggaBugga wrote: Auckland are guaranteed top spot no matter what happens. They are 5 points ahead of Mako and Mooloos. If they end on level points then the winner of the head to head match in the season gets the higher position. Auckland have beaten both Tasman and Waikato so they cannot be shifted from pole position.
I make the Cantabs good things as Auckland may rest their to top players for the Semi's
Thanks for that info, did not realise it was settled that way but even better for the bet then
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- Brad Breath
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Read is done for the season, has played the quota of games allowed by his Japanese club.
Irrespective I agree with the bet, been opposing Counties all season, but not at home vs the Stags
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- Laraxwell
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Ulster -12.5pts v Glasgow
Ulster not as affected by other sides with Autumn Nations Cup call ups
M Coetzee and Sam Carter named in side tonight
Discarded Irish internationals incl Jack McGrath and John Cooney also in there
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- Quill
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Edinburgh vs Cardiff Blues
Edinburgh have a depleted squad for this match. Thirteen players are on international duty, nine are injured and one is in quarantine. 23 first team players, that's an entire matchday team. Their coach named 7 academy players in the squad.
Cardiff not missing many to international duty.
I took Cardiff +5.5 @1.84.
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- CLrugby
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Shazzadude wrote: Auckland are guaranteed top seed. A three-way on 34 points is possible, but the tiebreaker there is most competition points earnt playing the other two, which Auckland wins. Tasman and Waikato are playing for second place.
I think there is a good chance Auckland, Otago and Hawke’s Bay rest players this week.
Canterbury bashed in from +4.5 to -3.5 by savvy punters
Canterbury is now at -9.5 (from +3.5 this morning). Glad to have placed a nice hammer early morning. I will keep an eye on the lineups to counter bet if needed but 12 points handicap drop in few hours is a massive shift.
@Chris_Lacharge
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- RuggaBugga
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The loser of the "NZ Rugby Fix" you ask? Definitely North Harbour, they will go down to BoP, Wellies will win with a BP and Cantabs will do the job against Auckland which will see NH relegated ...
Its easier to read the crystal ball when there is money inside of it
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- Brad Breath
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Quill wrote: Pro 14
Edinburgh vs Cardiff Blues
Edinburgh have a depleted squad for this match. Thirteen players are on international duty, nine are injured and one is in quarantine. 23 first team players, that's an entire matchday team. Their coach named 7 academy players in the squad.
Cardiff not missing many to international duty.
I took Cardiff +5.5 @1.84.
Have taken the same bet, modest stake though, Welsh rugby is on its @rse at the moment and the midfield is a bit concerning.
Also had a speculative dabble at Edinburgh HT/Blues FT @ 9.5
Both Edinburgh prop replacements are debutants, so they could wilt late in the game.
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- bradie82
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- Chiefie
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Cardiff won’t get anywhere near this + handicap.
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- Chiefie
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- Kirky
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If Harbour win, then BOP goes (back) down - gonna be a tuff match that one..RuggaBugga wrote: The loser of the "NZ Rugby Fix" you ask? Definitely North Harbour, they will go down to BoP, Wellies will win with a BP and Cantabs will do the job against Auckland which will see NH relegated ...
Both Tasman and Waikato need to do better than the other one - at stake is a home semi for the one who is highest - currently Tasman. But if Mooloos get BP and Tasman don't, the Mooloos get home semi. Both should beat their H/caps. No reason for Otago to fight back as they have home semi from being top, and Northland don't have much to fight for either.
Argh, this can mean trouble for me again, putting money on these flip-floppers
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- bradie82
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- CLrugby
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@Chris_Lacharge
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Int-Rugby/ireland-v...betting-preview.html
I'm going 2 of 5 units, Ireland to win by 1-12 points inclusive 16/10 BetXchange
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- kompos
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Int-Rugby/italy-v-s...betting-preview.html
2.5 of 5 units Scotland -9.5 points 9/10 BetXchange
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- bradie82
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Connacht -6.5 @ 1.94 on 888
Was expecting a higer cap so no brainer for me
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- Shazzadude
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You could point to the Manawatu game as a letdown spot for Southland where they probably should have won, but one of the interesting points to note is the travel factor for Southland. When Southland travelled to Manawatu, they would have either caught two flights to get there (Invercargill to Christchurch and then a flight to Palmerston North, plus a small bus trip to Feilding) or a two hour flight to Wellington and a two and a half hour bus ride to Feilding. It was a bit simpler for them travelling for tomorrow's game-one two hours flight straight to Auckland, and Pukekohe's half an hour away from Auckland airport.
Counties did beat Taranaki, but that did require Kieran Read pulling off a performance that was better than anything he did in last year's world cup. Counties are 0-4 on the handicap this season without Kieran Read playing (2-3 with him playing).
Both teams have something to play for, Southland win and they need Waikato to beat Northland to make the semis, while Counties have pride on the line. The weather's going to be great for tomorrow's game, I'm currently tossing up between Southland +2.5, and Southland team total over 23.5
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- Shazzadude
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Northland have moved their home game to Kaikohe this round, 80 km north of Whangarei, their usual home ground. This will mean Waikato will have a five hour plus bus journey from Hamilton tomorrow (anything less than a 6 hour drive teams have to travel by bus rather than plane).
Wellington have named a full strength side.
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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- CLrugby
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Shazzadude wrote: Otago have named a full strength side against Tasman; this caused the line to move from +10.5 to +8.5. Tasman also named a strong side.
Northland have moved their home game to Kaikohe this round, 80 km north of Whangarei, their usual home ground. This will mean Waikato will have a five hour plus bus journey from Hamilton tomorrow (anything less than a 6 hour drive teams have to travel by bus rather than plane).
Wellington have named a full strength side.
I have walked away from Otago Tasman I don’t like to bet against a Top Team after a heavy loss they will have a point to prove and Otago have been unpredictable this year from one week to another.
Wellington I have taken some -23.5 but a light one
On Counties we see it differently (and that’s fine!), they really have more talents than Southland in my eyes and I expect few players to be a bit more fresh as well, Roigard at 9 is a massive +.
Cheers!
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- Brent Graham
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- Muller
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Southland
Otago
Wellington
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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- Laraxwell
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I have Georgia +51 AH in a multi that I am now tempted to cash out. All not doom and gloom for Georgia though - their U20's are on the up. You expect players to grow inches playing England too, so I hope that will ride the Lelos to some scoreboard respectibility.
Good luck all with your weekend bets!
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- Shazzadude
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Bet365 has suspended markets for the game, I’m on Northland +11.5 and a sprinkle on ML
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- CLrugby
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Shazzadude wrote: Waikato lineup looks rather experimental this week, with Beaudein Waaka slotting in at first five, Baillyn Sullivan at fullback and Hamilton Burr moved from lock to blindside. River Reihana left out of the squad, and Louis Rogers starting at 12 who hasn’t played all season.
Bet365 has suspended markets for the game, I’m on Northland +11.5 and a sprinkle on ML
I found the point spread decent on that one as well Northland is at 19.5 on dry afternoon conditions in Kaikohe ...
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- Quill
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The prospect of playing finals should give them a boost.
Bet 1: Southland +2.5 @1.88
Bet 2: Under 51.5 @1.75
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- Brent Graham
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RuggaBugga suggested the HT cap in last nights show (live comments) but I have sworn off that market and will instead go for New Zealand overs at the break
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- Brent Graham
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Waiting for points lines for my main play but Oracle's confidence in the Lions has me getting involved on the handicap.
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- CLrugby
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Great call(s) guys on the Under, definitely the best bet on that match.
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- Brent Graham
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The lads were divided on lst nights show but TheCroweTips did mention he thought a few points may decide it and my early play is either team by 7 or less at Sunbet
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Sharks -10.5 ht
Sharks -19.5 ft
Sharks over 36.5 points
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- bradie82
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- CLrugby
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Chiefie wrote: So I’ve decided to bet on over 29.5 points in the woman’s origin. It’s currently 6-6 at HT. I’ve counted 5 clear missed chances. I don’t know why I do this. Watching women’s rugby league, or betting overs on this game.
Nice Sixth sense here!
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- CLrugby
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CLrugby wrote: France - Fiji is likely to be cancelled as they are COVID cases popping up in the Islanders squad. If that is the case there will be some interesting bets to place on Top14 - If players are released to their respective clubs (and they should). Racing and Toulouse could be the ones getting a strong boost.
I don't believe they would be released at all - to me the question is : will they play the following weekend vs Scotland and will Galthier stick with the squad he announced yesterday?
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- landrews77
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Going with Pumas +23,5@11/10 WSB
And Cheetahs +6,5 @8/10 WSB.
The double pays about 2,57.
Have a good punting weekend
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- coil
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Also on the unders in the Irish match , weather is ok , but games between the 2 normally fall within this range and I'm expecting improvement from Wales here and am on the plus 9.5.
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- mackem
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