Super Rugby Trans-Tasman, Rainbow Cup, Premiership, VC semi's 24- 30 May

Hello fellas! Long time reader of the forum, first time posting here. Caps out for Super Rugby on 365 and a few that I fancy:

Force +22.5
The Force have been in some really scrappy affairs lately and this just seems like too many points, especially against a team like the Canes who have shown real inconsistency this year. The Canes have started to put a more positive foot forward against the Aussie teams, but couldn’t even cover the 22.5 against the Tahs and Rebels. I think Force cover this with relative ease.


Crusaders -31.5
I don’t know if there is a big enough number to put me off the Crusaders after seeing what they did to the Reds this past weekend. May have a bit of a wait to see about a Crusader team points over bet, but will probably just pull the trigger on the -31.5 and bet the team points over as well.


Chiefs -7.5
I just think the gulf in class between the Aussie and NZ teams has become evident. Chiefs are trending upward and the Reds might still be a bit shell-shocked from the 63 points that the Crusaders put on them. Historically the Chiefs have had the Reds’ number, and a single digit handicap is too good for me to pass up.


Brumbies +14.5
I think the Brumbies will relish the chance to get back in front of their home fans and set things right from their trip to NZ. (EDIT: The match is in Auckland, not Canberra. My mistake.) This handicap seems like a bit of an overreaction to the Blues beating up on the weaklings of Aussie rugby. I think the Brumbies we saw hang with the Crusaders is a lot closer to the true Brumbies compared with what we saw last week against the Chiefs. And don’t even get me started on the Blues inconsistencies! I don’t think there is a person among us who hasn’t gotten a kick in the ass from the Blues at some point this season.



If I had to give my pick of the weekend it would be Force +22.5. Love to hear to your guys’ thoughts on this weekends games.

BuggerBoy wrote: Hello fellas! Long time reader of the forum, first time posting here. Caps out for Super Rugby on 365 and a few that I fancy:

Force +22.5
The Force have been in some really scrappy affairs lately and this just seems like too many points, especially against a team like the Canes who have shown real inconsistency this year. The Canes have started to put a more positive foot forward against the Aussie teams, but couldn’t even cover the 22.5 against the Tahs and Rebels. I think Force cover this with relative ease.


Crusaders -31.5
I don’t know if there is a big enough number to put me off the Crusaders after seeing what they did to the Reds this past weekend. May have a bit of a wait to see about a Crusader team points over bet, but will probably just pull the trigger on the -31.5 and bet the team points over as well.


Chiefs -7.5
I just think the gulf in class between the Aussie and NZ teams has become evident. Chiefs are trending upward and the Reds might still be a bit shell-shocked from the 63 points that the Crusaders put on them. Historically the Chiefs have had the Reds’ number, and a single digit handicap is too good for me to pass up.


Brumbies +14.5
I think the Brumbies will relish the chance to get back in front of their home fans and set things right from their trip to NZ. This handicap seems like a bit of an overreaction to the Blues beating up on the weaklings of Aussie rugby. I think the Brumbies we saw hang with the Crusaders is a lot closer to the true Brumbies compared with what we saw last week against the Chiefs. And don’t even get me started on the Blues inconsistencies! I don’t think there is a person among us who hasn’t gotten a kick in the ass from the Blues at some point this season.



If I had to give my pick of the weekend it would be Force +22.5. Love to hear to your guys’ thoughts on this weekends games.

Welcome BuggerBoy. Just a note on your comments. Brumbies play the Blues at Eden Park and not in Canberra.

Ahh my mistake. The app I use for scores for some reason has the game listed as being in Canberra. I’m still siding with the Brumbies plus, 14.5 just seems like an overreaction to both the Blues playing above themselves the last few weeks and the Brumbies dip against the Chiefs.

BuggerBoy wrote: Ahh my mistake. The app I use for scores for some reason has the game listed as being in Canberra. I’m still siding with the Brumbies plus, 14.5 just seems like an overreaction to both the Blues playing above themselves the last few weeks and the Brumbies dip against the Chiefs.

Totally agree. Plus 14.5 to the Brumbies is very generous.

Will however look to back the Reds. Chiefs have been travelling ever since their final vs the Saders. From Hamilton to Perth, back to Hamilton and now travel to Queensland.

If firms had put out -50 Crusaders I'd have looked at it and thought, yeah fair.

Bet of the week -31 the Saders.

Agree with the plus on the Force, def a close second, Hurricanes just constantly flatter to deceive, won't shut the Force out, over 3 scores is tasty.

Two Varsity Cup matches today. Strange team picked by Wits. UJ look more settled. Will give UJ +11.5 a decent go.

Pukke to beat CUT at 8/10

Big journey for the Force this week, 6 hours from Perth to Auckland, and then another hour from Auckland to Napier. It’s been a long time since they’ve had to travel that far

Good stake from me on UBB tries over, minus handicap, bigger handicaps and tries by the centres + picamoles and maynadier second half

Ardie Savea and Ruben Love also likely to be back from injury for Hurricanes - key players, especially because Orbyn Ledger has been rubbish at flyhalf all year. Should be big crowd in Napier.

i.stuff.co.nz/sport/rugby/super-rugby/12...el-with-julian-savea

Points the main focus this weekend.

On the caps, I do like a couple of them:

Reds +9.5 at 15/20

Brumbies +14.5 at 9/10

Force +24.5 at 15/20

Rebels +17.5 @ 10/11

Game now moved from NZ to Sydney, Highlanders have to fly in day before, it’s a fair old trip and game is a afternoon kick off Sunday. Rebels been in Sydney since earlier this week.

Hurricanes over 36.5 @ 10/11

Asafo Aumua to score a try @ 0.68 (sunbet)

blesbok007 wrote: Asafo Aumua to score a try @ 0.68 (sunbet)

You can get Aumua anytime @ 0.83 with WSB if you have an account with them

Force over 16.5 points at 17/20

Bookie Basher wrote:

blesbok007 wrote: Asafo Aumua to score a try @ 0.68 (sunbet)

You can get Aumua anytime @ 0.83 with WSB if you have an account with them

Ahhhhh I love the sound of hookers in the morning!! Get on lads!

Bookie Basher wrote:

blesbok007 wrote: Asafo Aumua to score a try @ 0.68 (sunbet)

You can get Aumua anytime @ 0.83 with WSB if you have an account with them

I’ve already taken Aumua at 13/10 with Spreadex if you have an account with them!

southpaw wrote: Hurricanes over 36.5 @ 10/11

Is this with a European book South - if so which one?

Northerner wrote:

Bookie Basher wrote:

blesbok007 wrote: Asafo Aumua to score a try @ 0.68 (sunbet)

You can get Aumua anytime @ 0.83 with WSB if you have an account with them

I’ve already taken Aumua at 13/10 with Spreadex if you have an account with them!

Taking Gareth Evans anytime at 6/1 as well with Spreadex. Between 2/1 and 3/1 most other places

Also adding my teaser parlay that I’ve got for the weekend:

Force +28.5
Crusaders -26.5
Brumbies +20.5
Chiefs Win

Odds = 4.45

Hopefully the Force can get us off to a winning start this weekend!

Aumua lands @ 5/1 for first tryscorer in the GFTG chat

Brad Breath wrote:

southpaw wrote: Hurricanes over 36.5 @ 10/11

Is this with a European book South - if so which one?

sorry BB only seen now. Yes Paddy Power (5/6 with boost to 10/11). I ended up having to take some 5/6 as they limit me on the boosted 10/11.

southpaw wrote:

Brad Breath wrote:

southpaw wrote: Hurricanes over 36.5 @ 10/11

Is this with a European book South - if so which one?

sorry BB only seen now. Yes Paddy Power (5/6 with boost to 10/11). I ended up having to take some 5/6 as they limit me on the boosted 10/11.

No worries, got on in play, at PP too oddly.

All over Quins -6.5 v Bath @ 1.80

pukke +14.5 at 9/10 v uct

Sale +3.5 vs Bristol

Cardiff Blues over 18.5 points @ 1.91

Glou-LI over 46.5 X Bris - Sale under 60.5 at 19/20

Gloucester - Irish
Over 52.5 at 15/20

Sale - Bristol
Under 54.5 at 15/20.

Big strike on Reds +7.5

Nice start this morning, on to tomorrow -

Saders Tahs - over 4.5 2nd half tries @ 8/10

Blues -6.5 2nd half cap @ 10/11

Chiefs over 3.5 tries @ evens

Enjoy.

Hello ladies.

Penrith Panthers over 7.5 tries.
Tahs Saders over 55.5 points
Double of 17/10.

Thrown the kitchen sink at that 6am double.

Coil, make it happen.

Not the start I was looking for with the Force falling to bits, but on we press!

I suspect things are going to get very ugly for the Tahs in NSW. Found a bet that I love, on top of the Crusaders -31.5 I’ve already taken:

Crusaders over 0.5 tries in the first 10 minutes @ 1.80 (bet365)

**Crusaders have scored a try in the first 10 minutes in 5 consecutive matches, while the Tahs have conceded a try in the first 10 minutes in 5 consecutive matches. Looks a beauty!**

First 10 minutes try was looking dicey, but it gets there with 90 seconds to spare!

southpaw wrote: Nice start this morning, on to tomorrow -

Saders Tahs - over 4.5 2nd half tries @ 8/10

Blues -6.5 2nd half cap @ 10/11

Chiefs over 3.5 tries @ evens

Enjoy.

Added a few exoctics for game 2 -

1st Blues Try Sotutu 12/1
Last try scorer A Ioane 14/1

southpaw wrote: Nice start this morning, on to tomorrow -

Saders Tahs - over 4.5 2nd half tries @ 8/10

Blues -6.5 2nd half cap @ 10/11

Chiefs over 3.5 tries @ evens

Enjoy.

Great punting South.....joined you on the last one...and gave up at half time. Staggered to see the final score! Well done...

Thrasher6 wrote:

southpaw wrote: Nice start this morning, on to tomorrow -

Saders Tahs - over 4.5 2nd half tries @ 8/10

Blues -6.5 2nd half cap @ 10/11

Chiefs over 3.5 tries @ evens

Enjoy.

Great punting South.....joined you on the last one...and gave up at half time. Staggered to see the final score! Well done...

Cheer, Gave up myself, went outside to mow lawn, checked Twitter 2 min to go saying could they complete the unthinkable.

Some top picks on forum this weekend, well done all.

4/4 on my main game punts, but very nervous about Rebels +17.5 tomorrow. Hoping travel has taken some edge off Higlanders.

Couldn’t believe it, 5 min to go Rebels minus cap was cruising, then Highlanders fast try and wow they surely had to score at end, as you say Brent wrong decision by Smith, just had to pass.

Reds the big influence next 2 weeks with their remaining fixtures blues and Canes.