Streamed live from 21:00 on Thursday 7th November Brent Graham and the panel look at this weekend's international rugby matches including Ireland v New Zealand and Scotland v South Africa
Live from 21:00 on Thursday 7th November, The Handicap, Rugby Betting Show
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INTERNATIONALS
Bets for the Italy v Argentina, France v Japan and Wales v Fiji matches will be posted in this article
Join me and other punters to share information and bets in the Rugby Forum Thread where I will post any additional bets.
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WALES v FIJI
Posted 09 Nov 09h28
The handicap has been steady at Wales -6.5 throughout the week.
I was hoping for a bigger line on Fiji as expect a much better performance from them with their European based players, but the bookies were well awake to this.
I have thrown Fiji to win into a couple of multiples but I am not convinced by the halfback combination and I quite like the Welsh side Gatland has selected.
The points line is 52.5 and I have no firm view at this point.
No bet for me at the moment and I will post a bet on Sunday morning.
Posted 10 November 13h47
Nothing really jumps out for me in this match and the points and handicap markets have been stable. I am going to go with my initial view that Fiji can push Wales all the way.
BET: 2 units Fiji win at 22/10 at BetoLimp
FRANCE v JAPAN
Posted 08 Nov 08h31
This handicap is -32.5 and while it sounds high I am not convinced it is high enough.
As pointed out by the Oracle on last nights live betting show THE HANDICAP Japan have a decent record against France losing 4 and drawing 1of 5 matches but the losses have never by more than 26 points and they have scored at least 17 points in each game.
Japan look to be battling under Jones though and France are at full strength for this one and I expect a runaway home win.
The question was asked on last nights show, at what point do France start focusing on New Zealand and for that reason I prefer the half time handicap. I can see France coming out hard and then possibly going through the motions in the 2nd half.
BET: 5 units France halftime handicap -16.5 at 9/10 at HollywoodBets*
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The total points line is 67.5, France points are 51.5 and Japan are 16.5. I like France overs and Japan unders but the play here for me is France over 7.5 tries at 12/10. If they don’t take a 3 pointer (I don’t think they will) they would need 8 tries to land the points line of 51.5 and so for me the tries play makes sense.
BET: France over 7.5 tries at 12/10 at Pokerbet*
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ITALY v ARGENTINA
Posted 07 November 23h59
I am really looking forward to this game. Italy showed positive signs in the 6 Nations and Argentina beat all 3 of the Rugby Championship teams at least once.
I thought this handicap would be around 6 points Argentina favourites and the -3.5 is low enough to get me involved.
The points line of 51.5 looks well set.
Any additional bets will be posted in the forum – click here to see what other punters fancy
BET: 4 units Argentina -3.5 at 19/20 at WSB
