Rugby World Cup Round 5 Betting Thread + other rugby

Looks like Am could be called up if Mapimpi is out for the rest of the tournament.

Getting the old gang back together!

Portugal +28.5 @1.90 2u

Pablo wrote: Portugal +28.5 @1.90 2u

Agree on this

Bad wkend for me. Punted against the Tier 2 nations as thought they'd run out of puff after early matches

Also like Portugal +28.5pts
Fiji only need a point and Os Lobos have been the find of the tournament for me

Also like England -18.5 v Samoa. Will wait for team selection as already Q'd England may rest a few and minus might reel back. Samoa have been awful and England have found some form

Uruguay +68.5 ha @1.90 2u

Reece-Zammit starts for Wales v Georgia. Morgan rested. Only 2 Welsh players on 2 tries.

LRZ available @ evens for Wales top tournament tryscrorer.

Feels solid given he's also a likely play-offs starter as well.

Still spitting my dummy about after Australias lacklustre performance .

This week , Italy plus 27.5 is a first fancy .

Georgia plus 18.5 against Wales a small fancy .

How's my (conspiracy) theory:
Eddie's powerful (rugby sponsors) friends in Japan have agreed to make big donations to Fijian rugby programs.
In return Eddie ensures a Japanese team into SR (Fiji and Samoa in already).
Fiji then lose to Portugal (good for global rugby), and Australia go into QFs.
I just can't workout how Japan gets to beat Argentina to go into QFs, but it's in the mix somewhere.
Couldn't happen, right ?
Portugal win is 11.50 at Sunbet

Kirky wrote: How's my (conspiracy) theory:
Eddie's powerful (rugby sponsors) friends in Japan have agreed to make big donations to Fijian rugby programs.
In return Eddie ensures a Japanese team into SR (Fiji and Samoa in already).
Fiji then lose to Portugal (good for global rugby), and Australia go into QFs.
I just can't workout how Japan gets to beat Argentina to go into QFs, but it's in the mix somewhere.
Couldn't happen, right ?
Portugal win is 11.50 at Sunbet

Oh!
Are you implying that the Sunwolves will return to Super Rugby?

Quill wrote:
Oh!
Are you implying that the Sunwolves will return to Super Rugby?

Maybe. If that's what's been agreed. It's just a theory based on Eddie's (alleged) interview call/discussion with Japan rugby from last week.
It's an everyone wins scenario, backed by big money
Stuff like that happens in most other sports, and although we believe rugby is super-clean, it's really only a matter of time. No ?

Kirky wrote:

Quill wrote:
Oh!
Are you implying that the Sunwolves will return to Super Rugby?

Maybe. If that's what's been agreed. It's just a theory based on Eddie's (alleged) interview call/discussion with Japan rugby from last week.
It's an everyone wins scenario, backed by big money
Stuff like that happens in most other sports, and although we believe rugby is super-clean, it's really only a matter of time. No ?

So Eddie's phone call to Japan was not really an interview, so he's telling the truth there!
What it was, was actually his way of making it through the group stage and shut a few voices!

It is not a sci-fi theory, it happens elsewhere indeed, in various shapes and forms.

Shall we place the bets on Portugal to win?

Quill wrote:

Kirky wrote:

Quill wrote:
Oh!
Are you implying that the Sunwolves will return to Super Rugby?

Maybe. If that's what's been agreed. It's just a theory based on Eddie's (alleged) interview call/discussion with Japan rugby from last week.
It's an everyone wins scenario, backed by big money
Stuff like that happens in most other sports, and although we believe rugby is super-clean, it's really only a matter of time. No ?

So Eddie's phone call to Japan was not really an interview, so he's telling the truth there!
What it was, was actually his way of making it through the group stage and shut a few voices!

It is not a sci-fi theory, it happens elsewhere indeed, in various shapes and forms.

Shall we place the bets on Portugal to win?

Does anyone know what hotel did the Wallabies book for next week?

NZ vs Uruguay

Roigard to score a try in both halves - 6/1 (Sportingbet)

Roigard to score a try & Uruguay 3+ points - 12/10 (Hollywoodbets)

Uruguay have been competitive all tournament it would be a mistake not to back them here. I rewatched the game vs Namibia and I like how they came back after being down early. Always a sign of a team that is gelling and playing well together.

AB's missing Savea, Smith, Retallick, Ioane, Laulala, and Tele'a. This is very clearly a B side. The bench should see decent minutes including the likes of Christie and Clarke whom have both have been terrible, Christie in particular. There is a guy in Hawkes bay sniffing coke off a broken Ranfurly shield that is better than him HA!

Tough opposing the ABs after watching the demolish the Italians but this isn't the same team.

Uruguay +69.5 / + 57.5 @ $3.50
Uruguay over 0.5 try
Uruguay Over 6.5 points

NZ v Uruguay
Main bet: 2nd Half = Highest scoring half

Not a tryscorer market expert, and I rarely bet in that market, but Richie Mounga anytime tryscorer at @2.72 looks crazy for me.

In other bookies just @1.95

So as a betting noob, can someone tell me what the unit? So like below it says 0.5 unit.

BET: 0.5 unit Finlay Christie Last Try Score at 22/1 (was 18/1)

thanks

Good afternoon. Sportingbet has odds available for teams' total world cup points.

I like England's overs.
They currently have 132 points.
Their handicap is 221.5.

They should play another 4 matches in this World Cup.
Samoa
Fiji
Semi
3 rd place match.

I can see them getting 35 against Samoa, another 30 against Fiji and then needing 25 points more with 2 games left. Surely. 3rd and 4th place games are usually big scores.

9/10, I’m taking that.

van Dyk wrote: So as a betting noob, can someone tell me what the unit? So like below it says 0.5 unit.

BET: 0.5 unit Finlay Christie Last Try Score at 22/1 (was 18/1)

thanks

A unit is a part of how much you establish to bet for yourself as a maximum bet, normally between 2% and 5% of your bank, of your funds reserved for betting.
For example if your bank is 1,000 dollars (rand or whatever currency), your maximum bet should be 20. Then depending on how you feel about a bet, that is so-so or stronger, you decide the amount to bet on it.

You divide the 20 dollars into units, say 5 units for the sake of our calculation. That makes a unit equal to 4 dollars.
If you feel strong about a bet, you say I bet 5 units, that is you bet your maximum on it, that is 20 dollars.
If you don't feel so strong about it, you say 0.5 units, or 1 unit or 2 units. Then that means that the amount you bet is 2 dollars (0.5 units), 4 dollars or 8 dollars, respectively.

Also, the number of units you play depends on the odds. Like in your example, the odds are very big at 22/1, so there isn't much sense to put your full size bet on it, no matter how strong you feel about it, as even with half a unit you can win a lot. You can minimize the risk by placing a smaller bet, as it compensates with the size of the odds.

Sometimes you will see on this forum some people saying 6 units, which means they feel very strong about a bet, so strong that they are willing to increase their stake on it. That is when the odds in play are around 1.80 - 2.20 (every country has their own number style, fraction, decimals, plus/minus).
Bigger than that and you can decrease the size of your bet, the number of units you are willing to risk.

This is just one way of looking at it. If you do a google search, I am sure you will find other explanations as well.

Thanks guys for a proper explanation, much appreciated.

Took a nice stretch at Palacebet. Damian McKenzie, Codie Taylor and Jordie Barrett all to score a try @ 4/1

Pablo wrote: Not a tryscorer market expert, and I rarely bet in that market, but Richie Mounga anytime tryscorer at @2.72 looks crazy for me.

In other bookies just @1.95

Only 25 minutes needed

I'm getting punished for fading the All Blacks.

Sale Sharks over 60.5 points @2.62 2u

Fra vs Ita

Either team to score a penalty in the first 10 minutes @ EVS. Solid strike

Not sure if anyone watched the Canterbury v Auckland game this morning, but Nick Briant is a cowboy.

High tackles no cards.
Deliberate knock ons, play on.
Last try was a clear lost forward and awarded.

Brent Graham wrote: On we go and nice to see Leicester get his 2 tries last night although wasn't a big play

France v Italy Preview


Backing France to reach 20 by the break

France over 19.5 FHP

I really like that bet, as I also think France start hard and try to break Italy early.
5U France TT o19.5 HT @1.84 (unibet)

BOL!

Thankfully I got caught up by work yesterday as I would have backed Uruguay on the plus . Earlier in the week I made Italy one of my better bets though I'm not as confident as I was . I do like the pointers with regard to breaking Italy early and am hoping that they can bounce back from that humiliating defeat to the All Blacks . Before that defeat they were touted a decent side and I'll give them another chance .
Italy plus 28.5 for a medium strike .

No footie of interest this evening so perfect chance to make an arse of one's self on the rugby boards

Italy under 14.5 points @ 9/10

Maxed on work all week so barely even looked at upcoming games.

Will be able to watch tonight, so going-

Italy over 13.5 @ 5/6

14 would be nice hey vann?

Like a lab rat back for more punishment on Italy.

Italy over 14.5 at 9/10 and Italy +28.5 at 9/10.

At this rate I’d be happy for France to go 40-50 clear and let Italy in for 2 mercy tries later on. A massacre on cards already.

surely this Italian couch is going to resign at half time

Fuk me , fuk off Italy , shocking

The crowd got that Italian try chalked off. Ref shat himself - nothing wrong with the clearout. French back line 2 yards offside and ignored leading up to it too.

Yes you guessed it I'm on +28 lol

Stupid Marius lol I was already celebrating my Italy HT score +6.5. I really dislike the amount of boooing happening at all the games. Do you guys think Italy will get a try in the second half haha

Getting a bit more involved today -

Wales v Georgia over 49.5 @ 10/11

I do think this ground has been strong for points, has best surface of venues and perfect conditions again.

England v Samoa over 52.5 @ 10/11

Conditions also clear, I think Samoa have a crack here and either plays into englands hands who get a lot of counter attacking space, or Samoa get a few tries and scoreboard keeps ticking over.

Ireland Scotland - Scotland plus is where I’m probably heading but will see how afternoon punting goes first.

Looking for a few from Rees Zammit today as have him @ evens for top wales tournament tryscorer.

Saracens over 57.5 points @2.62 2u

I think Wales puts Georgia way in good conditions. Highest ever margin between the two is 28 points I think they beat it here.
Wales Over 33.5
Wales -18.5 / -26.5 @ $2.9

Prefer under 52.5 in the England V Samoa game. England has been strong defensively and Samoa also impressed on D while struggling in attack except for the final 15 minutes vs Japan. Expect a similar score to the Japan and Argentina game. 30ish to 10 ish.