NRL 2021
- Zambusta
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This was a fruitful punting area for me last year. Hoping to spot more value plays again this year.
All tips welcome.
Good luck punters!
Storm and Rabbitohs kick it off on Thursday 11 March.
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- Couch Critic
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Twitter: @HDiemont
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- Zambusta
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This will increase fatigue, especially for the beginning part of the season until the players get used to it and become fitter.
Historically Round 1 has not seen a lot of points in games, so value on unders is the play. However with the new rules there should be more penalties especially until the players adjust.
On the back of how the Titans ended the season last year and with their new signings, I will look to back them in Round 1 but only for smalls.
Titans -3.5
I'm not much for outright bets but this one looks interesting. Ryan is going to take over the kicking now that Cameron Smith has left and he normally bags a number of tries.
Papenhuysen top point scorer for the season @10
Also keep an eye out for the Dogs, they have the Panthers attack coach now and they were scrappy last year.
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- mackem
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In the meantime, he has put together an overview of how the NRL works for those who might not be familiar
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...l-2021-overview.html
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- mackem
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...11th-12th-march.html
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- Joeywallace
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- Zambusta
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Joeywallace wrote: What do you guys think of eels over 13.5 regular season wins at 19/20 on bet 365. Its golden to me.
Like some other punters on this forum, I don't normally like to lock up my funds for such a long period with such low odds.
Another Round 1 punt for me...again not massive until I see the effects of the new rules etc:
Knights vs Bulldogs
Under 40,5 points
Historically been a low scoring affair + Round 1 scores leaning towards unders + no Kalyn Ponga for the Knights
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- Couch Critic
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- Kendolph
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Some anteposts
Wooden spoon
Dragons 9/2
Sea Eagles 25/1
Top Try
Latrel 100/1
Campbell Graham 40/1
Top points
Papenhuyzen 9/1
Top Bulldogs try scorer
Nick Cotric 7/2
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- Brad Breath
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GF winner: Rabbits @ 6.50
Top points:
Papenhuzen @ 10
Flanagan @ 34
To miss top 8: Eels @ 2.20
And small play on opening game:
Rabbits by 1-12 @ 3.25
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- Couch Critic
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It's Bunnies all the way for me on the outright as well as Papenhuyzen for the points. I love the Sea Eagles wooden spoon play Kendolph - thats a solid value punt imo.
Nothing major for me in the 1st game. Just looking forward to what should be a cracking opener.
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- Zambusta
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mackem wrote: NRL for Thursday and Friday 11th, 12th March from Couch with a whole host of best bets and tryscorers
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...11th-12th-march.html
"as quiet as the Royal family after an Oprah interview"
You crack me up Couch!
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- Delon
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- Quill
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- Chiefie
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Climbed in to +20.5 rabbits when they went 18-0.Quill wrote: I took total points over 40.0 @1.90.
I actually was laughing when I placed the bet.
I enjoy easy wins.
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- Quill
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Chiefie wrote:
Climbed in to +20.5 rabbits when they went 18-0.Quill wrote: I took total points over 40.0 @1.90.
I actually was laughing when I placed the bet.
I enjoy easy wins.
Like a skilled hunter.
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- Couch Critic
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Nothing stands out for me tomorrow. But I will throw Bulldogs +10.5 into a few multies for the weekend. For the rest only a few exotic flutters on a Friday.
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- Quill
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Bet 1: Bulldogs +6 @1.84, Pinnacle
Bet 2: Under 40.0 points @1.81, Pinnacle
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...13th-14th-march.html
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- Chiefie
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Was on under 45.5 in Knights v Bulldogs. 75th min try. They can all suck a fart.Quill wrote: Knights vs Bulldogs
Bet 1: Bulldogs +6 @1.84, Pinnacle
Bet 2: Under 40.0 points @1.81, Pinnacle
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- Quill
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Broncos vs Eels over 36.5 @1.47
Force vs Rebels over 38.5 @1.40 for a total odds of 2.05.
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- Quill
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Agree with you.Chiefie wrote:
Was on under 45.5 in Knights v Bulldogs. 75th min try. They can all suck a fart.Quill wrote: Knights vs Bulldogs
Bet 1: Bulldogs +6 @1.84, Pinnacle
Bet 2: Under 40.0 points @1.81, Pinnacle
Hear! Hear!
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- Zambusta
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It's early days but watching the games there seems to be a lot of fatigue.
New rules may definitely be leading to more points.
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- Quill
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Same game multi: Eels win + Alt Total over 36.5 @2.05
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- Quill
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Correct.Zambusta wrote: I agree Quill.
It's early days but watching the games there seems to be a lot of fatigue.
New rules may definitely be leading to more points.
And despite the fact that in the past the beginning of the season was low scoring, now it appears to be the other way around. High scores now, to become gradually lower, as the players get used to the rules and get fitter deeper in the season.
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- Chiefie
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Quill wrote:
Correct.Zambusta wrote: I agree Quill.
It's early days but watching the games there seems to be a lot of fatigue.
New rules may definitely be leading to more points.
And despite the fact that in the past the beginning of the season was low scoring, now it appears to be the other way around. High scores now, to become gradually lower, as the players get used to the rules and get fitter deeper in the season.
Any other dumb shits go for over 41.5 in the broncos v eels game? No? Just me. Cool.
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- Zambusta
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Panthers 1st half: More than 12,5 points
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- Zambusta
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Warriors showed history isn't being repeated as slow starters, Roosters were on fire against a Manly team that may finish bottom this year on that performance.
My strongest fancy of the 1st round Panthers over 12,5 miraculously didn't come through despite them absolutely smashing the Cowboys in the first half, everywhere except on the scoreboard. The Panthers did however show that they are still going to keep up their record of being impenetrable in the first 20 min. So first half unders on opposition points and tries looks a good play going forward.
My early interest for Week 2 is this...wrong favourite here.
Warriors +1,5
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...18th-19th-march.html
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- Brad Breath
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Have put Warriors +2 with Panthers, Rabbits & Chooks all to win @ 3.60
See the money is coming for the Eels, but I can't see them getting up.
Smaller play on Storm 1-12 @ 3.10
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- Quill
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Wet weather today here in Western Sydney (Bankwest Stadium), it rained all day, so I'm very tempted by the unders, especially in a match involving the Eels.
Hope for a wet, slippery, game-played-with-a-bar-of-soap shitfest.
Bet: Under 38.0 @1.81, Pinnacle.
Elsewhere Under 36.5 @1.90
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- Kendolph
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Some Rabbitohs -8 available which looks a cracking bet. Will be opposing the Sea Eagles definitely until Turbo is back, probably after as well.
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- Couch Critic
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Zam and BB I hear you guys on the Warriors but I like the Knights 6, 7 & 9 so will always be tough opposing them.
Rabbitohs to absolutely SMASH the Sea Eagles is my favourite play of the weekend lads.
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- Quill
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NSW is drenched in rain and there will be floods this weekend too.
The Warriors play in Gosford, Central Coast, wet weather.
I like the Warriors to win and the unders.
Bet 1: Warriors @1.92, pinnacle
Bet 2: Under 38.5 @1.91, pinnacle
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- mackem
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- mackem
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- Kendolph
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Roosters also on the -2 to best the inconsistent Rabbitohs
Really tempted by the odds against on the Bulldogs in the garbage v garbage clash with Brisbane.
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- Quill
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Total points Under 37.5 @1.90, sportsbet.com.au
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- Zambusta
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- mackem
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- mackem
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- Kendolph
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Do think the Broncos can score enough points to keep the margin within 20.
Leaving Rabbitohs game for now.
Bets
Panthers -18
Broncos +20
Dragons +8
Titans +4
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- Couch Critic
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I agree on all of those. My preference is for combinations of the alternative caps on those plays.
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- Zambusta
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Also, overs points for all three favourites.
Panthers first 20 min concrete wall, won't be broken by this Manly attack.
Sea Eagles vs Panthers
1st half under 20.5 points
Panthers over 2.5 1st half tries
Manly 1st half unders points or tries
I also really like Cronulla, underrated this season IMO
Sharks -8,5
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- Chiefie
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Zambusta wrote: I'm in full agreement on the multi at lower minuses for Panthers/Rabbitohs/Storm...I also took it early in the week.
Also, overs points for all three favourites.
Panthers first 20 min concrete wall, won't be broken by this Manly attack.
Sea Eagles vs Panthers
1st half under 20.5 points
Panthers over 2.5 1st half tries
Manly 1st half unders points or tries
I also really like Cronulla, underrated this season IMO
Sharks -8,5
Absolutely flew into Panthers -8.5 First half handicap, ended 22-6. Now need them to finish the business at -18.5 for the game.
Wakanda forever!
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- Brad Breath
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In Bunnies camp too, very hard to see Dogs staying within 20
Also like the Warriors +6.5 vs the Chooks on Sunday
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- Zambusta
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You don't need any more motivation for the champs!
Storm over 30,5 points
Storm over 5.5 tries
Olam anytime @2
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- Zambusta
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Zambusta wrote: I'm in full agreement on the multi at lower minuses for Panthers/Rabbitohs/Storm...I also took it early in the week.
Also, overs points for all three favourites.
Panthers first 20 min concrete wall, won't be broken by this Manly attack.
Sea Eagles vs Panthers
1st half under 20.5 points
Panthers over 2.5 1st half tries
Manly 1st half unders points or tries
I also really like Cronulla, underrated this season IMO
Sharks -8,5
Sharks do the business
Cowboys looking abysmal and will continue to oppose them.
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- mackem
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