All Football Tips w/c 16th December

Palace v Brighton
As Mackem points out, this is the A23 derby and it can get spicy. We have Craig Pawson this evening who reffed this fixture in March and dished out 6 yellows. He also had Palace away to Spurs in September and Palace picked up 3 yellows. Another point worth considering is Palace are without their regular left and right backs through injury. This could provide Brighton with a little space down the flanks. I have guests who drink competitively so I will going with a half stake on both bets but those of you who are enjoying peace and quiet make up your own minds.

Match bookings over 5.5 @ 9/4
Brighton corners over 5.5 @ 31/20

A bit late, but you could take it live.

Cagliari vs Lazio

Both teams have shown good form in front of goal, and neither team are good at keeping clean sheets, so

Bet: BTTS and Over 2.5 goals @1.80

Barcelona v Real Madrid
Home 15/20 Draw 16/5 Away 16/5
With both sides on 35 points from 16 matches (Equates to 83 season points) neither look like the all conquering sides of old. Barca have won all seven home matches this season and I have difficulty seeing Real stopping this run. Barca have, however leaked 20 goals in their 16 matches to date and Real will always carry a goal threat which gives me my bet. On the beer side I can't see Barca running away with this as they have done once or twice recently - Griezmann just does not work in the side with only 6 of the 27 goals scored by the three strikers.
Match Bet and BTTS - Yes
Barcelona @ 33/20
and a few beers on
Barcelona to win by one goal exactly @ 63/20

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC

Phoenix are on a roll right now, having gone undefeated in their last 5 games. They won three (one away) and drew two (both away), and are now sitting on 6th, last play-off spot. Their new coach changed their style and they are now playing an attractive football and create chances. They signed Gary Hooper (former Celtic striker), but he is still starting from the bench due to fitness. He joined the club late so he has some catch up to do. He is supposed to be in the first 11 in January, but until then he provides support in the second half.

Sydney are far ahead at the top, 8 wins and one defeat, 5 points ahead of the second. They have a stingy defence, only 8 goals in 9 matches, but they managed only 2 clean sheets, the second one being last round.

Phoenix on the other hand have played only two games without scoring, the second one being last round. They have only one clean sheet, last round, a 0-0 away to Melbourne Victory.

Phoenix are playing too well right now for them to go consecutive matches without scoring, and they did have a clean sheet last round, so that's over and done with for a while.

Both teams play 4-4-2, so I'm thinking we'll have some corners too.

Bet 1: BTTS & Over 2.5 @1.83
Bet 2: CS 1-1 @7.00 (to cover for overs)
Bet 3: Corners Over 10.5 @2.00

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

City are second on the ladder, 10 points and one game in hand ahead of Victory. Victory are just outside the top 6.
Nonetheless, this is a big derby. In big derbies we all know that current form and position on the ladder go out the window.

So... in the last 9 derbies, going back 3 years, we have not seen more than 3 goals, and that only 5 times. In the last 3 derbies we had three draws.

Victory will bring in the central defender Hoogland, who was injured from the beginning of the season. He will take care of Mclaren, will organize and stabilize Victory's defence.

City is powerful in attack, but with this piece of news I am not sure that we'll see 3 goals here, not sure we'll see City score 2 goals.

Bet: Number of goals in Match - 2 or 3 goals @2.05

Saturday acca - All to win
Exeter
Bristol Rovers
Millwall
Aston Villa
Man City
@ 33/1

For anyone who uses skybet, Harry Kane to score 5 or more goals over the festive period ( games include Chelsea, Brighton, Norwich and Southampton ) @ 8/1. Barring injury, he's almost certain to start every game and the four teams mentioned are leaky

Sadly no skybet account Stokes but would have been on board.
EPL Saturday
Better looking card today but going to skip the Everton match as recent punts on Arsenal have gone t***ts up.
Bournemouth v Burnley
Teams shared 8 goals in last seasons two matches and 6 in the season before.
Second Half match goals over 1.5 @ 11/10
Norwich v Wolves
Looks like the days goals match (I am avoiding Goodison Park which also has possibilities)
Match goals over 3.5 @ 21/10
and a few beers on
Brighton v Sheff Utd
Score draw @ 67/20
Villa v Southampton
Match Flow - Southampton/Villa @ 9/1

Liverpool score both halves @ 21/20

Bradford
Exeter
QPR
Burton
Colchester

14/1

southpaw wrote: Liverpool score both halves @ 21/20

Thanks South, I see the Liverpool match has been postponed.

Bruce wrote:

southpaw wrote: Liverpool score both halves @ 21/20

Thanks South, I see the Liverpool match has been postponed.

Liverpool in World Club final tonight.

Days bets have gone down the tubes but there is someone worse off then me. I find it interminably sad that a gentleman like Bill Kenwright has to sit through a match, pretending to enjoy it, with the Club Owner and his new trophy manager - Ancelotti - who is going to come in and bugger up the football club.
Anyway - this is a betting site and WSB gave me a Christmas gift which I have spent on the Leicester D/C @ 2/1

Likewise vann, Liverpool bet was my only real serious interest for weekend and can’t believe the sitter missed 1st minute.

Gone Liverpool 9/10 @ break. Think the Flamenco defence tires.

Tottenham v Chelsea

Bizarrely, Spurs have yet to play a prem league game against a top 6 team at the new stadium Played plenty of them since they moved in last season, but all away, so no real reference point to how they've done. I completely agree with Mackem regarding Dele. He has thrived since moving back to number 10 and he quite often drifts up top when Kane drops deep. He has a good record against Chelsea and skybet have boosted him in the anytime scorer market. Spurs have won every game Dier has started and lost the one he didnt. They still concede, but he enables the attacking players to get on with it and expected goals have shot up under Jose. Again, I like Mackems Tottenham call, but I'm gonna go for a goals bet at a shorter price as I think they may concede.

Tottenham 2 or more goals @ 17/20 ( main bet )
Dele anytime scorer @ 11/4 ( skybet )
Tottenham 3 or more goals @ 3/1

Ps: I'm waiting for team news as bets are based on Dier starting. If Winks starts with Sissoko then avoid

A rare foray into the world of football. Going to lay Man United at 8/10 and smaller punt draw London derby .

Faced with totally conflicting stats at Vicarage Road today. Games come quick and fast in December but Watford have yet to score a goal this month. In fact they have only scored in 3 of their 8 home matches but did score against Chelsea and Arsenal. Man Utd in their 8 on the road have not kept a single clean sheet So - will Watford score? I'm going yes and, as they have scored 1/3 of their goals in the first 15 minutes this season I'm going first half. The line-ups are not out yet - I presume Ole is asking everyone on the bus who wants to play at this very moment - but I expect Greenwood to get 15-20 min in the second half.

Watford v Manchester United
First half BTTS - yes @ 7/2
Last goal scorer Greenwood @ 5/1

And am joining Mackem on that Chiefs call.

Weekend has been a disaster so going to do something stupid and hunt for that "Oorstood drie in beserings tyd"
Spurs v Chelsea
Over 3.5 match goals @ 15/10

Usually don't put these up but going to run a few spreads on
First Spurs goal short @ 76
and
Shirts over 43

Cooked , Roasted and Toasted - and so ends around the worst punting weekend of my long life. To quote Brent - Stick a fork in me I am done.