Super Rugby is back and in this blog Brent Graham will keep an eye on the betting for round 1 as well as put up a bet in all 5 fixtures.
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BLUES HALF TIME HANDICAP NEVER IN DOUBT
Posted 15 Feb 10h08
Defence seemed optional in the Drua game and they sadly fell sort of the win but what a game Blues v Chiefs was.
The half time handicap looked dead and buried for 39 minutes but somehow arrived and as my good punting mate Coil and I like to say "never in doubt" LOL
Massive credit to Brad Breath for highlight the halftime/fulltime Blues/Chiefs at 10/1
Going to leave my involvement to the minimum in the Force match and will post remaining rugby bets in the URC Blog
FORCE v PASIFIKA
Posted 15 Feb 00h09
The handicap is currently Force -6.5 and the points line is 55.5. Conditions are hot but dry and after the 1st 2 games on Friday I cannot bring myself to go for the unders.
There has been some money for Pasifika with the cap in from +7.5 and I am going to go one step further and suggest they can win the game.
BET: 2 units Moana Pasifika win at 22/10 at WSB
TIME FOR A NEW WEATHER SITE
Posted 14 Feb 12h07
A mixed start with Crusaders overs arriving and the unders in Sydney missing.
The big disappointment for me was the weather site linked to below. The forecast looked awful right until kick off when in fact it had stopped raining hours ago and under 48.5 always looked too low. I like the way they set the weather out but with this sort of accuracy it is time to look for an alternative.
As Arnie would say "I will be back" with the Force match play tonight.
DRUA v BRUMBIES
Posted 14 Feb 07h20
This is almost a choice game with money coming for the Drua although there is still some 29/25 (1.16/1) dangling about on the Drua.
It is never easy to play in Fiji and with hot conditions expected the under 48.5 points is tempting but having seen a tweet from The Admiral backing the Drua I am going to hitch my wagon to that one.
BET: 4 units Drua win at 1.16/1 at Betxchange
BLUES V CHIEFS
Posted 14 Feb 07h03
What a match to start the season and as The Mossman said on last nights THE HANDICAP our rugby betting show these are the teams he would back to play in the final.
He also pointed out he fancied the Blues to beat the handicap of -5.5 which has been stable all week.
His preference though given the Chiefs bench strength was for the Blues to lead by 3 points or more at the break a bet I am happy to follow (this will certainly make the newsletter in some form - click here to get my weekly mail due out late Friday or early Saturday)
BET: 5 units Blues -2.5 1st half handicap at 9/10 at Hollywoodbets
WARATAHS V HIGHLANDERS
Posted 13 Feb 23h19
This line was -6.5 on Monday and it has moved to -7.5 so it has been fairly stable. I saw some under 50.5 points on Wednesday but that is as low as 46.5 in places with 48.5 also on offer.
The weather forecast doesn't look great with rain and wind about and I am going to bet that we get 48 points or less in this fixture for the 3rd time in a row.
BET: 3 units under 48.5 points at 0.92/1 at Betxchange
CRUSADERS V HURRICANES
Posted 13 Feb 23h04
There has been money for the Crusaders who have moved from -1.5 to -3.5 and the points line is 53.5.
The Crusaders were terrible last season failing to make the quarters but I expect a much stronger season from them.
In their last 5 home matches of last season they scored at least 28 points and I am going to take the 9/10 over 27.5 rather than 1.73/1 they score over 3.5 tries.
Conditions look decent although there is some wind forecast
BET: 4 units Crusaders over 27.5 points at 9/10 at Pokerbet
SUPER RUGBY ON THE HANDICAP
Posted 13 Feb 07h04
The Mossman joins me from New Zealand live tonight at 21h00 to talk Super Rugby Pacific Week 1 betting - click here to watch and set a reminder on You Tube
A quick look at the handicaps shows very little movement but some money for the Crusaders, Waratahs, Drua and Pasifika on the handicaps which have seen 1 point shifts.
WEATHER LINKS FOR WEEK 1
Posted 11 Feb 17h55
Here are links to weather at the 5 grounds this weekend
Crusaders v Hurricanes, Friday 08h05, Appolo Pojects Stadium, Christchurch (Grass) - Breezy but clear
Waratahs v Highlanders, Friday 10h35, Allainz Stadium, Sydney (Matrix "Ready to Play" Turf) - Rain and wind forecast
Fijian Drua v Brumbies, Saturday 05h35, HFC Stadium, Suva, (Grass) - possible rain and very hot, likely humid
Blues v Chiefs, Saturday 08h05, Eden Park, Auckland (Grass, Hybrid) - cool, possible rain
Force v Pasifika, Saturday 10h35, HBF Park, Perth (Grass) - clear, hot
Handicaps have been stable
HANDICAP AND OUTRIGHT BETTING
Posted 09 Feb 22h21
Below the current betting
Friday
Crusaders -1.5 v Hurricanes
Waratahs -6.5 v Highlanders
Saturday
Fijian Drua +2.5 v Brumbies
Blues -5.5 v Chiefs
Western Force -8.5 v Moana Pasifika
OUTRIGHT BETTING
