UFC Fight Night takes place at the Mexico City Arena on Saturday 29 March and if viewing from South Africa the card will spill over into the early hours of Sunday morning.
We look at the main fight featuring Brandon Moreno and Steve Erceg as well as two supporting fights from a betting perspective.
Click here for betting on the full fight card.
BRANDON MORENO vs STEVE ERCEG
Flyweight – Main Event:
Brandon Moreno is a Mexican born fighter who has over 8 years of UFC experience behind him. He is known for his striking and grappling but mostly for his insane stamina. He has fought a total of 16 times, winning 10 of these, with 5 losses and 1 draw.
He fought amongst the top of the division between 2020 and 2023 where he took part in 6 consecutive title fights and won 3, losing 2 and drawing the remaining bout. The last time he stepped into the octagon was in November when he beat Amir Albazi by decision.
Steve Erceg is a talented Australian striker who started his career within the institution flawlessly after winning his first 3 fights. He then had a shot at the title where he was beaten by decision when matched against Alexandre Pantoja.
He then met with Kai Kara-France in his most recent fight held in August and he added to his losses when he was knocked out in round 1.
BETTING – click here to bet
Moreno 1.40
Erceg 3.00
PREDICTION:
I think that Moreno has been matched against some top-notch opposition lately which has tarnished his record somewhat. He possesses years of experience at a high level, and he will lengthen Erceg’s losing streak with a decision win.
MANUEL TORRES vs DREW DOBER
Lightweight Co-Main Event:
Manuel Torres is a dangerous finisher from Mexico who has had a solid run since his debut back in 2022. He has stepped in the octagon 4 times, winning his first 3 fights by round 1 finish with 2 by TKO/KO and the third by submission.
Ignacio Bahamondes was the man to break his winning streak with a round 1 knock out in September last year.
Drew Dober is a UFC veteran from America who has fought under the organization for nearly 11 years. His form has been very inconsistent, and he has been seen on both winning and losing runs in the past.
He does not have a pretty record across his last 4 fights, having lost 3 and picked up just 1 victory. It is also important to note he was defeated in both his fights last year with the most recent one being a doctor’s stoppage loss to Jean Silva in round 3 back in July.
BETTING – click here to bet
Torres 1.95
Dober 1.90
PREDICTION:
Despite Dober holding incredible experience, I believe that Torres has will win this fight and he will get it done by decision after a tough battle. This is an outcome that the bookies do not expect given the fact that Torres fights tend to finish early and we get a tasty 12.00 (see bets below)
KELVIN GASTELUM vs JOE PYFER
Middleweight Fight:
Kelvin Gastelum, fighting out of America, is known for his stopping power, however with his fighting record dating back to 2013 and a high percentage of his losses coming by decision, he perhaps lacks stamina.
His form over the last 6 years features 6 losses and only 3 wins, although he did win his last encounter with Daniel Rodriguez by decision in June.
Joe Pyfer is a brutal striker and skilled grappler from the USA and despite his career in the UFC being short it has been successful so far. He has fought 6 times and won 5 of these with 1 loss, it is important to note all of his wins have been via stoppage.
He met with Marc-Andre Barriault in June and dominated from the start, winning via knock out less than two minutes into the fight.
BETTING – click here to bet
Gastelum 3.50
Pyfer 1.33
PREDICTION:
I think that Gastelum is reaching the end of his career and Pyfer seems fresh and fierce, I think Pyfer wins this one by early TKO/KO
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Important Details:
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SUGGESTED BETS:
Moreno vs Erceg
Moreno by decision at 2.15
Torres vs Dober
Torres by decision at 12.00
Gastelum vs Pyfer
Pyfer by early TKO/KO at 3.60
A 92.88 TREBLE
All 3 of my bets to land works out to a massive 92.88 and you can use this code to populate your bets slip if you want to follow 28987311
THE WIN TREBLE IS 3.63
All 3 fighters to win by any means is 3.63 – Code 28987341
Note: All prices are correct at time of writing but subject to change.
